Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS72 KILM 231207
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIELD BETWEEN THE PONDS...NC STATE PARK LAWA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
807 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND COOL WEATHER TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3700 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
MAX ADI.............49.
MAX LVORI...........6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1494-50484 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............1      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54     63     67     69
RH..................63     47     40     37
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 6   NW 6   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........1300   2300   3200   3700
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 8   NW 9   NW 10  NW 14
LVORI...............3      2      1      1
ADI.................5      25     35     49
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...11     21     33     50

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MAX ADI.............21.
MAX LVORI...........6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (919-15869 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............0      1      3      5      5      5
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64     55     51     50     48     46
RH..................46     68     79     81     85     89
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 3    NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     5      5      5      10
MIX HGT (FT)........1400   300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 12  W 5    NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   NW 5
LVORI...............2      3      4      5      5      6
ADI.................21     4      4      2      2      2
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...16     1      1      1      1      1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3700 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MAX ADI.............46.
MAX LVORI...........9.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1035-37260 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............6      6      10     12     11     11
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43     44     57     67     71     72
RH..................98     94     58     41     37     39
20 FT WIND..........N 3    N 3    NW 3   NW 2   W 2    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........300    300    1900   3000   3600   3700
TRANSPORT WIND......N 5    N 5    N 8    N 10   N 10   NW 9
LVORI...............9      6      3      1      1      1
ADI.................2      2      4      39     45     41
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...1      1      16     32     37     36

$$
FORECASTER...ZOUZIAS
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN SHORT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141023.FIELD.01/ILM






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