Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS72 KILM 261127
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SLASH PLANTATION...NC STATE PARK LAWA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
727 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH LATE
WEEK. HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WILL MOVE NORTHEAST...PASSING WELL EAST
OF THE CAROLINA COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A WARMING TREND
WILL DEVELOP MID AND LATE WEEK...WITH MORE TYPICAL LATE SUMMER
WEATHER EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND. THE RISK FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-5500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH.
MAX ADI.............51.
MAX LVORI...........6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (575-57269 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............10     25     25     24
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................78     82     83     83
RH..................60     52     47     46
20 FT WIND..........NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........2000   4400   5200   5500
TRANSPORT WIND......NE 16  NE 12  NE 9   NE 10
LVORI...............1      1      1      1
ADI.................44     45     39     45
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...37     51     48     57

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
MAX ADI.............30.
MAX LVORI...........6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-31624 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............20     13     11     14     22     16
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................82     76     71     68     65     63
RH..................49     61     72     80     85     91
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   NE 3   NE 3   NE 3   N 2    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........3900   300    BLW100 300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......NE 8   NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   N 3    N 5
LVORI...............2      3      3      5      5      6
ADI.................30     4      4      2      2      2
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...32     1      0      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4200-4500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX ADI.............41.
MAX LVORI...........7.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............13     7      6      6      5      5
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................63     65     73     81     84     87
RH..................94     91     64     47     40     37
20 FT WIND..........N 3    N 4    N 4    N 4    NE 4   N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........100    300    1700   3100   3900   4500
TRANSPORT WIND......N 5    N 5    N 12   N 13   NW 6   NW 7
LVORI...............6      6      3      1      2      2
ADI.................2      2      5      41     21     27

$$
FORECASTER...BACON
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN SHORT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140826.SLASH.01/ILM






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