Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000
FNUS71 KILN 251645
FWSILN

Spot Forecast for Unit 30 Rx...USFWS
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1245 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EDT on March 25.
Please contact our office if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A southerly flow ahead of low pressure will provide warm temperatures, mostly dry weather,
and mixing heights around 6000 ft. Showers and a few thunderstorms will develop
tonight through Sunday when the low is forecasted to travel to the Western
Great Lakes.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms late.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds at 10 mph.
Slope/valley........South winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late.
Mixing height.......5500-6600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 20 to 25 mph.

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76  80  82
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20
Temp............74  74  75
RH..............46  46  46
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..11  10  9
20 FT wind gust.20  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 6.0 6.6
Mixing wind dir.S   S   S
Mixing wind spd.23  23  21

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Then showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms in the late evening
                    and overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southeast winds around 10 mph.
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......5700-6300 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-900 ft
                    AGL.
Mixing winds........Southeast 9 to 18 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........82  81  80  81  84  85  87  92  94  95  98  99
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC         CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  40  50  50  60  60  70  80  80  80  80  90
Temp............74  72  69  67  65  63  62  61  60  59  58  57
RH..............47  49  54  59  63  67  70  75  76  80  83  86
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...6.3 6.0 5.7 3.5 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9
Mixing wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE
Mixing wind spd.18  16  14  12  10  9   10  12  12  12  10  10

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers and a chance
                    of thunderstorms...then a chance of showers
                    late.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds between 5 and 10 mph.
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......900-2400 ft AGL...increasing to 5600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........99  98  97  97  96  95  93  91  89  89  88  87
Weather cov.....DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).80  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  60  50
Temp............57  56  56  57  58  60  61  63  64  64  65  65
RH..............89  93  93  88  86  81  78  73  70  68  65  63
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   6   7   8   8   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.0 4.8 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6
Mixing wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW
Mixing wind spd.13  15  17  18  20  20  18  17  17  18  20  21

$$
Forecaster...Haines
Requested by...Brian Winters
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705198.0/ILN
.EMAIL brian_winters@fws.gov



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