Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FNUS72 KJAX 271243
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK  C-102...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
743 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...ELEVATED DISPERSION LEVELS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT ELEVATED TODAY...AS THE REGION WILL BE
BETWEEN A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING FROM THE WEST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH LIGHTER NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS
IN STORE. RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO TREND LOWER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...
BUT SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. A COLD FRONT IS THEN
EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SIGNIFICANT FOG IS NOT EXPECTED
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR PATCHY FROST OR A LIGHT
FREEZE INLAND LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 18
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 29 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO INCREASING TO 56 LATE IN THE
                    MORNING INCREASING TO 72 TO 82 IN THE
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 69.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........6      8      10     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............49     59     63     63
RH..............56     41     36     39
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 15   W 17   W 18
20 FT WIND GUST.15     25     25     30
DISPERSION IDX..56     73     85     79
LVORI...........1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....70 DECREASING TO 10.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP............55     49     45     43     42     40
RH..............55     71     79     82     79     79
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 7    NW 6   NW 6   NW 6   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10
DISPERSION IDX..70     9      7      7      7      7
LVORI...........1      3      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO AROUND 70 LATE IN THE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........6      6      4      4      3      3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39     40     48     54     58     58
RH..............76     70     51     41     36     37
20 FT WIND......NW 5   N 6    N 8    N 8    N 8    N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     15     15     15
DISPERSION IDX..8      43     73     55     33     23

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...J  RAMSAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150127.BEARC.02/JAX


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.