Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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000
FNUS74 KLCH 271603
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR TNC-COMP  0376...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1103 AM CDT MON JUL 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA. ISOLATED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE UPPER HIGH WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT WESTWARD LATE IN THE WEEK...ALLOWING
FOR A MORE TYPICAL WEATHER PATTERN CONSISTING OF SCATTERED DAILY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700-8800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40  41  43  44  41
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP (F)........94  96  97  98  97
RH (%)..........51  46  45  42  45
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   3   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.7 8.1 8.4 8.8 7.7
MIX HGT (KM)....2.3 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   5   6   7   7
TRANS SPD (M/S).2   2   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX....4   4   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........37  34  27  20  13  13  12  12  12  12  12  17
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........SCH
TEMP (F)........95  92  89  86  84  82  80  79  78  78  77  76
RH (%)..........48  54  59  65  72  77  82  85  88  91  94  97
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.6 5.6 4.1 2.7 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4
MIX HGT (KM)....2.0 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   9   9   10  12  12  12  12  10  9   8   7
TRANS SPD (M/S).4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   3
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........23  28  29  29  30  30  29  29  31  33  35  34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP (F)........75  76  78  82  87  91  94  97  98  98  98  97
RH (%)..........97  94  91  79  70  58  49  43  41  41  41  42
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   3   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.0 3.6 5.1 6.7 7.1 7.4 7.8 7.2
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   5   5   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   7
TRANS SPD (M/S).3   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3

$$

FORECASTER...LANDRENAEU
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN BENEDICT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150727.TNCCO.01/LCH


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