Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Chicago, IL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
000
FNUS73 KLOT 141437
FWSLOT

Spot Forecast for Miller WUI Piles...National Park Service
National Weather Service Chicago IL
Issued by National Weather Service MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
837 AM CST Tue Nov 14 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (815) 834-0666, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy then
                    becoming mostly cloudy.
Temperature.........41 at ignition...Max 48.
RH..................79 percent at ignition...Min 63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 8 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 8 to 10 mph.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 100-1400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 18 mph.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..53.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /10900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /22500 knot-ft/.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........17  23  29  44  59  74  76  78
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............41  43  46  47  48  48  48  47
RH..............79  73  68  65  63  65  63  65
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   9   9   10  9   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.1 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.190 180 180 180 180 180 180 170
TRANSP WIND SPD.16  17  18  17  16  14  14  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
VRATE KT-FT/100011  17  23  15  7   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers after midnight.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight.
                    Rain showers early in the morning.
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 14 mph with gusts to around
                    25 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 2400, then 1-8 strikes.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..N/A.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........80  85  90  95  96  97  98  98  99  100 100 99
WEATHER COV.....                        CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............46  45  44  44  44  44  44  44  44  44  44  44
RH..............68  70  73  73  73  73  76  76  76  79  79  79
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..11  11  11  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.160 160 170 170 170 170 180 180 180 180 180 190
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  15  16  16  17  17  18  18  18  17  16  16
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  30  30  30  80  80  80
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/10001   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy then
                    becoming mostly sunny. Rain showers in the
                    morning, then slight chance of light rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 51.
RH..................Min 71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 12 mph.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......100-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 24 mph decreasing to 13 to 14 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..53.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1100-20800 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........99  98  98  98  94  87  84  73  51  41  34  20
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............44  45  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  51  50  49
RH..............82  82  82  83  83  83  80  77  74  71  71  71
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..11  11  12  12  12  11  11  10  10  10  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.190 200 210 210 220 240 240 250 260 270 270 280
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  17  20  21  23  24  24  21  17  14  13  13
CHC OF PCPN (%).90  90  90  90  90  90  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
VRATE KT-FT/10001   2   4   5   10  16  21  13  6   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Cronce
Requested by...Michael Grismer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718772.0/LOT


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.