Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Chicago, IL

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FNUS73 KLOT 141352
FWSLOT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COWLES DUNES...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
752 AM CST FRI NOV 14 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...SCATTERED SNOW FLURRIES AND LIGHT WEST TO
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AROUND NOON.  HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR CLEARING SKIES
AND AN END TO THE SNOW FLURRY POTENTIAL BY EARLY AFTERNOON.  NO
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.  WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY WESTERLY
THROUGH THE DAY...STARTING OUT AT AROUND 10 MPH AND DECREASING THROUGH
THE DAY TO ARND 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.  NO LAKE BREEZE OR EASTERLY
COMPONENT TO THE WIND DIRECTION IS EXPECTED TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED FLURRIES IN THE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........27 AT IGNITION...MAX 31.
RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500-4000
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..28.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /45000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /60000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........81  75  76  55  56  56  51  40
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....SW  SW  SW
TEMP............27  28  29  30  31  31  30  29
RH..............73  71  66  60  58  56  58  60
20FT WIND DIR...290 280 280 280 270 270 270 260
20FT SPEED(MPH).8   8   7   6   6   6   6   6
20FT SPEED(KT)..7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
20FT GUST(MPH)..17  16  16  15  15  14  13  12
20FT GUST(KT)...15  14  14  13  13  12  11  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.310 300 290 290 280 280 270 270
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  13  12  10  10  10  10  9
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
VRATE KT-FT/100045  42  39  39  40  37  27  14

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 21.
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (500-8000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........35  33  28  26  25  22  20  19  17  16  19  25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............28  27  27  26  25  25  24  24  25  24  23  22
RH..............63  65  68  71  74  71  74  74  74  77  81  81
20FT WIND DIR...260 260 260 260 250 250 250 250 250 240 240 240
20FT SPEED(MPH).5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20FT SPEED(KT)..4   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
20FT GUST(MPH)..12  12  13  13  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
20FT GUST(KT)...10  10  11  11  11  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.270 270 270 270 260 260 250 250 250 250 250 240
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  12  12
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
VRATE KT-FT/10004   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   5   8

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 32.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..28.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (12000-29500 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........28  31  37  40  44  52  56  61  70  75  81  94
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............21  21  23  24  26  29  30  32  32  32  31  30
RH..............84  84  77  74  68  58  55  51  51  51  56  63
20FT WIND DIR...240 230 230 230 230 230 230 220 220 210 210 220
20FT SPEED(MPH).5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20FT SPEED(KT)..4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
20FT GUST(MPH)..12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  12  12
20FT GUST(KT)...10  10  11  11  11  11  11  11  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.240 240 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 220 210
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  10  10  10  12
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
VRATE KT-FT/100012  16  20  23  26  29  30  29  27  24  22  21

$$
FORECASTER...KREIN
REQUESTED BY...MEGAN KORTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141114.COWLE.01/LOT






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