Suppression Forecast
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FNUS74 KLUB 040118
FWSLUB

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR DELNORTE...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
718 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1906 CST ON FEBRUARY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS HALL COUNTY THIS
EVENING.  A BIT OF A NORTHERLY/NORTHEASTERLY SHIFT IS EXPECTED BY AROUND
9 PM THOUGH OVERALL...DUE TO WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS...WIND DIRECTION WILL
VARY CONSIDERABLY OVERNIGHT THOUGH SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN LARGELY UNDER
10 MPH.  WINDS TO BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AFTER SUNRISE AND INCREASE TO
10 TO 15 MPH BY MID DAY.

.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-31.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-8800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 28 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CST)      1 AM   3 AM   5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........57     41     15     5      3      3      3      2      6      9      15     21     27     33     39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............29     27     26     26     28     40     48     52     51     47     41     39     36     35     33
RH..............50     52     63     66     59     37     25     19     20     23     30     34     41     46     53
20 FT WIND......NE 2   NW 3   NW 3   W 3    SW 3   SW 5   SW 6   SW 6   S 5    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      10     15     15     10     10     10     10     10     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 1   NW 2   NW 2   W 2    SW 2   SW 4   SW 4   SW 4   S 4    S 4    S 4    S 4    S 4    S 4    S 4
EYE LVL WND GST.5      5      5      5      5      10     15     15     10     10     10     10     10     15     15
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      3      4      4      4      4      4      4      4      4      4      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500-8300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........40     41     43     45     46     48
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............33     33     39     46     51     52
RH..............54     53     42     32     26     25
20 FT WIND......S 6    SW 7   SW 9   W 11   NW 14  N 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     25     30     30
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 4    SW 5   SW 7   W 8    NW 10  N 11
EYE LVL WND GST.15     15     20     25     30     30
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...ZIEBELL/JURECKA
REQUESTED BY...TEXAS A M FOREST SERVICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160203.DELNO.01/LUB


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