Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 281221
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR MIKLES...U.S.FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
721 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN SITE
LATE THIS MORNING BRINGING WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST. OTHER
THAN A FEW HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS CLOUDS, THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
WITH LITTLE FANFARE. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN BEHIND IT.
.TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 85.
RH..................89 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 5700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 7497 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............50  57  63  70  74  78  81  82  83  84  82
RH..............89  75  64  54  47  41  37  36  35  33  36
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   3   5   6   7   7   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.    5   5   5           10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  13  13  13  14  14  14  15  15  16  16
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9
                    TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 2300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 3046 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
TEMP............79  74  70  67  65  63  62  61  60  59  58  58
RH..............40  47  53  58  61  65  66  68  69  70  72  71
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   7   6   5   5   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10              5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  17  20  21  21  21  18  16  14  12  10  9
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.THURSDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 5719 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1 EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............57  56  57  60  64  67  69  71  72  73  73  72
RH..............72  74  74  69  62  56  52  48  46  45  44  47
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   9   9   10  12  12  12  12  13  13  14  15
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...J GOUDSWARD
REQUESTED BY...JEFF HENDERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160928.MIKLE.01/LZK



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