Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 110842
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH OF HEADQUARTERS PRESCRIBED FIRE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
342 AM EST SUN DEC 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON DECEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (305) 229-4522, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWER CHANCES WILL REMAIN HIGH INTO THE AFTERNOON, BEFORE
GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF BY EVENING. GUSTY EASTERLY WIND WILL ALSO
PREVAIL, WITH SPEEDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH EXPECTED FROM INITIATION
TIME THROUGH SUNSET. SLIGHTLY DRIER AND LESS BREEZY CONDITIONS
WILL COMMENCE TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING,...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....13...INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE
                    MORNING,...THEN INCREASING TO 35
                    EARLY...DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
CEILING (FT)........4000...INCREASING TO 4500 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........84  84  81  81  81  79  79  79  72  72  72  76
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............69  71  74  75  76  77  78  78  77  76  75  74
RH..............97  93  89  84  82  79  76  77  78  81  84  87
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND DIR..060 080 080 090 090 090 090 100 100 100 090 090
20 FT WIND SPD..7   9   10  10  10  10  10  9   8   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
MIXNG WIND SPD..14  17  21  21  20  18  18  17  16  15  13  10
DISPERSION IDX..16  26  35  38  38  37  36  34  31  23  15  10
LVORI...........5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
CHC OF PCPN (%).50  50  50  50  50  30  30  30  30  30  30  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CEILING (KFT)...4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 12

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING,...THEN A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 13 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....11...DECREASING TO 4 AROUND MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.
CEILING (FT)........4500...INCREASING TO 12000.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1300-2400 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 7 TO 12
                    MPH EARLY.
DISPERSION INDEX....4...INCREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE
                    MORNING,...THEN INCREASING TO 24
                    EARLY...DECREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
CEILING (FT)........12000.

$$
FORECASTER...KONARIK
REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM K GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1604041.2/MFL


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