Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 270930
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for COLLIER INCIDENT REQUEST...COLLIER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
National Weather Service Miami FL
530 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 EDT on April 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light and variable winds over the spot, below 5 mph, will persist
through mid morning. Patchy ground fog my lead to reduced
visibility at times, before diurnal heating and mixing occurs. By
late this morning, southerly winds will begin to increase to
around 10 mph, turning southwesterly by the afternoon. Thus,
expecting generally good dispersion values. Min RH values may
decrease to the lower 50s during peak diurnal heating, but only
for a few hours. Mostly sunny skies are expected today with dry
conditions continuing into Friday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL...increasing to 3400-4800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 10 mph...becoming south 14 to 16
                    mph early.
Dispersion index....3...increasing to 12 late in the
                    morning,...then increasing to 31...increasing
                    to 50 early...increasing to 61...decreasing to
                    50 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......Clear.

Time (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  34  24  24  24  26  26  26  12  12  12  6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............68  71  73  76  82  85  87  89  90  90  89  88
RH..............97  92  88  85  67  61  57  54  52  52  54  55
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind dir..090 090 090 110 150 170 180 200 210 210 220 220
20 ft wind spd..2   2   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 ft wind gust.5   5   5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.4 2.4 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.8 4.4 3.9 3.4
Mixng wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Mixng wind spd..2   2   5   7   10  14  15  16  16  16  15  14
Dispersion idx..1   1   4   12  31  46  54  61  63  59  53  46
LVORI...........8   7   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1500-2500 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-500 ft AGL
                    until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 13 mph...decreasing to around 3
                    mph around midnight.
Dispersion index....34...decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............6.
Ceiling (kft).......Clear...increasing to 25000 early in the
                    morning.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 12 mph with
                    gusts up to 20 mph through early afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL...increasing to 5000-5700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph...increasing to 14 to 15
                    mph early.
Dispersion index....4...increasing to 16 late in the
                    morning,...then increasing to 36...increasing
                    to 57 early...decreasing to 51.
LVORI...............6.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

$$
Forecaster...Thomas
Requested by...RICK ZYVOLOSKI
Type of request...Wildfire
.TAG 1707830.1/MFL


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