Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 121126
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Spot Forecast for Everglades SE RX...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Miami FL
726 AM EDT Thu Oct 12 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on October 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A tropical wave will push westward towards the peninsula today,
bringing in deep tropical moisture. Expect an increase in shower
activity with isolated thunderstorms by this afternoon. North
east winds will be brisk today, averaging around 10 mph, with
higher gusts possible, creating generally good dispersion values.
Scattered showers/storms and east-northeast winds are forecast to
persist through the night and into Friday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated showers
                    through early afternoon. Scattered showers with
                    isolated thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming northeast 5 to 12 mph
                    through early afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400,...then 1-8 strikes.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL...increasing to 2600-3600 ft
                    AGL early.
Transport winds.....North 2 to 10 mph...increasing to northeast 12
                    to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....5...increasing to 18 late in the
                    morning,...then increasing to 41...increasing
                    to 54 early...decreasing to 41...decreasing to
                    29 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  38  38  67  67  67  77  77  77  76
Weather cov.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        ISO ISO ISO ISO
Temp............73  78  81  84  86  86  87  87  86  84
RH..............95  86  77  73  69  67  66  65  67  72
20 ft wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 ft wind dir..350 000 020 030 030 030 030 030 040 040
20 ft wind spd..5   6   7   8   10  12  12  12  10  9
20 ft wind gust.6   7   10  11  12  14  14  14  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   10  16  20  18  15  13  12  12  12
Dispersion idx..7   18  41  54  44  38  31  29  28  26
LVORI...........6   4   3   3   1   3   3   3   3   3
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers with isolated thunderstorms until just
                    after midnight,...then isolated showers early
                    in the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph...becoming light. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    until just after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0200,...then No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....16...decreasing to 5 until just after midnight.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........76  76  76  76  76  70  70  70  71  71  71  68
Weather cov.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Temp............84  81  80  79  78  77  77  77  77  76  76  75
RH..............73  76  80  83  85  86  88  89  89  91  92  92
20 ft wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 ft wind dir..040 030 030 030 030 030 030 020 020 020 020 020
20 ft wind spd..8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3
20 ft wind gust.10  8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  9   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
Dispersion idx..19  12  6   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   3
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  20
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Scattered showers
                    through the day. Scattered thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming east 5 to 9 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms through early
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0800,...then 1-8 strikes until
                    1400,...then 9-15 strikes.
Mixing height.......300-2000 ft AGL...increasing to 2400-4000 ft
                    AGL early,...then decreasing to 1500 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....6...increasing to 20.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........68     71     71     70     81     81
Weather cov.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Temp............75     75     83     87     88     87
RH..............93     96     78     68     66     67
20 ft wind dir..N      N      NE     E      E      E
20 ft wind dir..020    020    060    070    080    080
20 ft wind spd..3      3      6      8      8      9
20 ft wind gust.5      5      7      10     11     11
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    2000   3200   4000   2400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 5    N 5    NE 7   E 9    E 9    E 9
Dispersion idx..3      6      14     22     24     20
LVORI...........6      6      4      3      2      3
Chc of pcpn (%).20     40     40     40     50     50
LAL.............1      2      2      2      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Thomas
Requested by...Anthony Curella
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717147.0/MFL



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