Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 292251
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
351 PM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1525 PDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS WILL PRECEDE A DRY
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING. WHILE THE COLD
FRONT WILL PRODUCE SOME GUSTY WINDS OVER RIDGES AND THE EAST SIDE,
IT WILL ALSO BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES, SLIGHTLY HIGHER
HUMIDITIES, AND A SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT TO OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES. ANOTHER ROUND OF BREEZY WINDS IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE
FRONT ON SATURDAY, ESPECIALLY OVER THE RIDGE LINE AND DOWN THE
BEAVER CREEK DRAINAGE. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A LAYER OF VERY
DRY AIR TO DESCEND TO AROUND 5000 FEET SATURDAY NIGHT, LEADING TO
INCREASED OVERNIGHT FIRE ACTIVITY. AFTER A BRIEF PERIOD OF WARMER
AND DRY CONDITIONS LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, ANOTHER
DRY FRONT IS EXPECTED MIDWEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95 BOTTOM TO AROUND 75 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 TO 20 PERCENT BOTTOM TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 2 TO 4 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500-8500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 TO 75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 8000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    500-700 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
                    MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST AT AROUND
                    5 MPH OVERNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85 BOTTOM TO 67 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 TO 25 PERCENT BOTTOM TO 30 TO 35 PERCENT TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPSLOPE WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST
                    TO NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
                    OF AROUND 10 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE BEAVER CREEK
                    DRAINAGE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    3000-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT UPSLOPE WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST
                    TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...MIKE DEMELLO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140829.BEAVE.01/MFR







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