Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 071036
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH GULLEY BRANCH FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
636 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0632 EDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND AN INLAND TROUGH WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK. A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA DURING THE WEEKEND...THEN MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    22 MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............15     18     30     51     50     45
WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RN/FG  RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................78     80     84     87     89     88
RH..................88     80     69     60     56     59
20 FT WIND..........SW 5   SW 5   SW 7   S 9    S 10   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....              15     15     20     20
LVORI...............4      3      1      1      1      1
ADI.................13     31     47     51     64     67
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............43     39     40     40     41     43
WEATHER COV.........S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............S CHC
TEMP................86     82     80     78     77     75
RH..................63     74     80     84     87     93
20 FT WIND..........S 9    S 8    S 8    SW 7   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     10     10     10     10
LVORI...............1      3      4      4      4      5
ADI.................61     15     14     14     19     16
HAINES INDEX........3      4      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............47     49     48     48     47     44
WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD                      S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............ISOLTD                      S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................75     79     85     89     91     90
RH..................95     85     67     57     54     58
20 FT WIND..........SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   SW 7   S 8    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     15
LVORI...............5      4      1      1      1      1
ADI.................16     36     69     78     81     88
HAINES INDEX........4      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...COLLINS
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150707.NORTH.01/MHX


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