Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 251240
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Hyde Park...USFWS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
840 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on March 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
Southwest winds expected through 4 PM...becoming more southerly
5-8 PM.

High pressure will extend over the area from offshore through
early next week. A cold front will move through Wednesday. A
warm front will move through from the southwest Friday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusts to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 5600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 mph...increasing to 15
                    mph late in the morning.
Vent Rate...........Max 84000 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 64.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.23 to 30.32 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............23  26  28  30  34  36  37  37  37
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............58  63  67  70  72  73  74  74  73
RH.................80  70  63  57  53  49  48  48  49
20 FT wind dir.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd.....6   7   9   9   9   9   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust....    15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)......1.2 2.2 3.2 4.0 4.8 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.5
Transp wind dir....SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd....10  14  17  17  15  14  14  13  13
LVORI..............3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI................16  38  57  64  63  60  57  56  54
Haines index.......4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3
VRate mph-ft/1000..13  32  55  68  74  77  74  72  69
Stability class....F   F   F   B   B   B   B   B   B

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph until early
                    morning...becoming light.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 12 mph...decreasing to around 2 mph
                    late.
Vent Rate...........Min 575 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 10.
ADI.................Min 1.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.23 to 30.25 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............35  29  27  25  21  19  21  24  26  30  39  43
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............71  68  65  62  60  58  56  55  54  53  52  52
RH.................53  59  65  72  78  83  90  93  96  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd.....7   7   7   6   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust....15  10  10              5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......3.7 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd....12  12  10  10  9   9   9   8   7   6   3   2
LVORI..............1   3   3   3   4   5   6   6   8   9   10  10
ADI................43  7   7   4   4   4   4   4   3   2   2   1
Haines index.......4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..44  22  3   3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
Stability class....B   B   B   B   B   B   F   F   F   F   F   F

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 5500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 9 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 50254 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 10.
ADI.................Max 29.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.18 to 30.28 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............43     46     59     64     68     61
Weather cov........
Weather type.......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............51     53     61     68     72     72
RH.................100    96     79     63     53     53
20 ft wind.........S 2    SE 3   S 4    S 6    S 7    S 8
20 ft wind gust....       5      5             15     15
Mix hgt (ft).......300    300    3000   4700   5500   5300
Transport wind.....S 1    SE 2   S 6    S 9    S 9    S 9
LVORI..............10     8      4      2      2      2
ADI................1      2      15     26     29     29
Haines index.......4      4      5      5      4      4
VRate mph-ft/1000..0      1      19     42     50     49
Stability class....F      F      F      C      C      C

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy...then becoming partly
                    cloudy...then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph in the
                    evening...becoming light...then becoming south
                    around 5 mph late.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 919 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Min 2.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.12 to 30.22 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%)............56     45     43     42     40     48
Weather cov........
Weather type.......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............70     64     61     59     57     56
RH.................57     70     76     79     83     88
20 ft wind.........SE 7   SE 5   S 4    S 4    S 3    S 4
20 ft wind gust....15            5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft).......4400   2800   1100   300    300    300
Transport wind.....S 10   SE 10  SE 7   SE 5   SE 5   S 3
LVORI..............2      3      4      4      5      6
ADI................29     7      4      3      2      3
Haines index.......4      5      4      4      4      4
VRate mph-ft/1000..44     29     7      1      1      1
Stability class....C      B      B      F      F      F

$$
Forecaster...Merrell
Requested by...Gregg Buckalew
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705186.0/MHX
.EMAIL gregg_buckalew@fws.gov



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