Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 210941
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Spot Forecast for CHBSF Unit 20 North...FFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
441 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Northeast to east winds in the morning will become
east southeast this afternoon as low level moisture increases
from the Atlantic as a slow moving frontal boundary lifts northward
toward central Florida. The highest rain chances around 70 percent will
occur during the afternoon hours from noon to 6 pm. A chance of showers
will linger into the early evening with low clouds and fog expected to
develop after midnight tonight. Some fog could become dense after 5 AM.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the morning. Showers likely and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming east 5 to
                    7 mph early in the morning. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......300-1200 ft AGL increasing to 2200-2400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 8 mph increasing to 9 to 17 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 6 to 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 18 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 32 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 5 early in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 4 in the late morning and
                    afternoon increasing to 6 late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  84  84  84  91  91  91  91  91
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
LAL.............1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............69  71  72  72  72  72  71  71  69
RH..............81  79  79  79  79  79  81  81  87
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.    10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  17  17  17  15  12  9   7   6
Dispersion idx..18  29  32  34  32  24  18  13  9
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms early in the
                    evening, then chance of showers in the evening.
                    Areas of fog early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1900, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......300-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 1 to 5 mph.
Dispersion index....4.
LVORI...............6 increasing to 10.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........91     77     77     77     66     66
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE        AREAS
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   FOG
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............67     65     64     64     64     63
RH..............93     100    100    100    100    100
20 ft wind......NE 5   NE 5   NE 2   N 2    N 1    NW 1
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....900    300    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..NE 5   NE 3   NE 2   N 1    NW 1   NW 1
Dispersion idx..6      2      1      1      1      1
LVORI...........6      10     10     10     10     10

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning. Slight chance of showers
                    in the morning. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL increasing to 1700-3100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 2 to 10 mph increasing to around 12
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 28.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 3.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........66        65        65        76
Weather cov.....AREAS     S CHC     CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....FOG       RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    S CHC     S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40        40        40        40
LAL.............1         1         2         2
Temp............63        70        76        78
RH..............100       87        71        67
20 FT wind......N 1       N 2       N 5       NE 7
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1200      2600      2500
Transport wind..NW 2      N 5       NE 7      NE 10
Dispersion idx..1         7         20        30
LVORI...........10        5         3         3

$$
Forecaster...Volkmer
Requested by...Wil Kitchings
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719036.0/MLB
.EMAIL wil.kitchings@freshfromflorida.com



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