Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 172205
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Stark 262 Rx...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
505 PM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2100 EST on February 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light surface and transport winds will cause poor
dispersion tonight and early tomorrow morning. Areas of dense fog
expected to develop over the burn site after 2 AM and linger through
the morning hours, with visibilities decreasing below 1/4 mile.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of dense fog
                    late in the night.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 5 mph shifting to the north around 1
                    mph late in the night.
Dispersion index....1.
LVORI...............6 before midnight increasing to 10.

TIME (EST)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  16  16  16  36  36  36  48  48
Weather cov.....                        ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....                        FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  67  65  64  62  61  61  60  60
RH..............84  87  90  94  100 99  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   1   1   1   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   N   N   NW
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1
Dispersion idx..2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
LVORI...........5   6   7   7   8   9   10  10  10

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph early in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL increasing to 3600-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 0 to 1 mph early in the morning,then
                    increasing to 6 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 38.
LVORI...............10 in the morning decreasing to 1 in
the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........48     57     36     36     21     21
Weather cov.....AREAS  AREAS
Weather type....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............59     63     71     77     81     80
RH..............100    87     73     60     51     51
20 ft wind......NE 0   NE 0   NE 2   E 3    E 5    E 7
20 ft wind gust.                     5
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1000   2400   3700   4400   4600
Transport wind..SW 1   SE 1   N 3    E 6    SE 7   SE 8
Dispersion idx..1      1      10     25     36     42
LVORI...........10     8      7      2      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Smith
Requested by...David Quisenberry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1801970.1/MLB
.EMAIL Davidquisenberry@fs.fed.us



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