Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 200940
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAL SCOTT 12...SJRWMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
540 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND MORE STABLE AIRMASS WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST NEAR THE BURN SITE...MAINLY FROM MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT AROUND 5 TO 7
MPH AND MAY VARY IN DIRECTION. HOWEVER GENERALLY EXPECTING WINDS
INITIALLY OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP AND
MOVE INLAND TODAY...BUT IT LOOKS UNLIKELY IT WILL REACH THE BURN
SITE. IF IT DOES MOVE FAR ENOUGH INLAND THEN IT WILL NOT ARRIVE
UNTIL NEAR SUNSET.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26 INCREASING TO 45 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                        TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............82  86  89  90  92  93  95  95  94  92  89  87
RH..............79  70  61  58  52  51  46  46  47  51  57  61
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.                                    10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 DECREASING TO 2 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3
                    TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 30 IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...PETER HENN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140820.HALSC.01/MLB






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