Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 271319
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD L-15...E.N.R.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
719 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON FEBRUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A NORTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH SATURDAY THEN BECOMES
EASTERLY ON SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS
THROUGH SUNDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT THEN PATCHY LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHEAST 16 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24 INCREASING TO 46.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....D BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........50     52     52     52
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............49     54     56     55
RH................47     38     38     43
20 FT WIND DIR....NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE
20 FT WIND SPD....15     14     14     14
20 FT WIND GUST...24     21     21     21
MIX HGT (FT)......2000   3100   3100   3100
MIX HGT (M).......610    940    940    940
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNE    NE     NE     NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD...17     16     16     16
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8      7      7      7
DISPERSION........36     48     48     44
LVORI.............1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      C
CWR...............0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-NORTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
STABILITY CLASS.....D BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........53     53     53     35     35     35
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............51     49     47     46     45     44
RH................54     60     66     69     71     73
20 FT WIND DIR....NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE    NE
20 FT WIND SPD....14     14     14     14     14     14
20 FT WIND GUST...21     21     21     21     21     22
MIX HGT (FT)......900    900    900    1000   1000   1200
MIX HGT (M).......270    270    270    300    300    370
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNE    NNE    NE     NE     NE     ENE
TRANSP WIND SPD...15     15     16     18     18     18
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      7      7      8      8      8
DISPERSION........15     15     16     16     16     18
LVORI.............2      2      3      3      3      3
STABILITY CLASS...D      D      D      E      E      E
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-NORTHEAST 20 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....D BECOMING C EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING D LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........53     53     53     63     63     63
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............43     47     52     57     58     58
RH................75     72     63     60     58     60
20 FT WIND DIR....ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE
20 FT WIND SPD....14     14     14     14     14     14
20 FT WIND GUST...23     23     23     22     22     23
MIX HGT (FT)......1300   1300   1700   2100   2100   2100
MIX HGT (M).......400    400    520    640    640    640
TRANSP WIND DIR...ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE
TRANSP WIND SPD...20     20     20     20     20     21
TRANS SPD (M/S)...9      9      9      9      9      9
DISPERSION........31     31     37     38     38     39
LVORI.............3      3      2      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...D      D      D      C      C      D
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150227.JACKS.01/MOB







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