Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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216
FNUS74 KMOB 251355
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for G-29 RX...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
755 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on February 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A warm, moist southerly flow will remain in place
over the burn area through Monday morning. A few brief light rain
showers could pass over the area through this afternoon, followed
by higher rain and thunderstorm chances overnight through Monday.
Afternoon dispersions over the burn area will be fair.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy light fog possible tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1800 increasing to 3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 31 by noon.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........65     60     57     56     65
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40     40     30     30     30
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2
Temp............73     75     76     75     72
RH..............87     79     76     79     84
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..6      8      9      7      5
20 FT wind gust.       11     12     8
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   2700   3000   2800   2800
Transp wind dir.S      SW     SW     SW     S
Transp wind spd.14     15     14     12     9
Dispersion idx..28     31     26     23     18
LVORI...........4      3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of
                    showers in the evening, then showers likely
                    after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 2100, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph after
                    midnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....8-13.
LVORI...............6-8.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........70     73     76     78     83     87
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40     40     40     70     70     70
LAL.............2      2      1      1      1      1
Temp............71     70     69     68     67     66
RH..............87     90     93     97     100    100
20 FT wind dir..S      SE     SE     S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..4      3      4      5      5      5
20 FT wind gust.       4      5      6             6
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   1000   900    800    800    800
Transp wind dir.S      SE     SE     SE     S      S
Transp wind spd.8      7      7      9      10     13
Dispersion idx..5      5      6      7      9      10
LVORI...........6      7      8      8      8      7

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely in the
                    morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
                    the day. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......800 increasing to 2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....17-20.
LVORI...............3-5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........92     94     96     97     93     87
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     60     60     50     50     50
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      2
Temp............66     69     72     75     75     73
RH..............100    94     83     74     72     75
20 FT wind dir..S      SW     SW     W      W      NW
20 FT wind spd..6      6      7      8      7      6
20 FT wind gust.7      8      10     11     10     7
Mix hgt (ft)....800    1100   1400   1600   2000   2200
Transp wind dir.S      SW     SW     NW     NW     N
Transp wind spd.13     12     12     13     12     10
Dispersion idx..17     18     19     20     20     20
LVORI...........5      5      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Tom Murrie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802488.0/MOB
.EMAIL thomas.murrie@us.af.mil



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