Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 021216
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR F29...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
716 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


.DISCUSSION...FAIR SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THIS
MORNING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO A SOUTHEAST THEN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE FRONT DEVELOPS ALONG THE COAST AND PUSHES INLAND.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON
AND DISSIPATE BY EARLY EVENING.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LIGHT FOG RESTRICTING VISIBILITY FROM
1 TO 3 MILES IS POSSIBLE AROUND SUNRISE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 700 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5000 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 65 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 53 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING C LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........41     41     36     36
WEATHER COV.......              SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............87     91     94     94
RH................67     56     51     51
20 FT WIND DIR....ENE    ENE    S      SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....3      3      5      7
20 FT WIND GUST...                     14
MIX HGT (FT)......4000   4000   7300   5000
MIX HGT (M).......1220   1220   2230   1520
TRANSP WIND DIR...E      E      SSE    SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      7      9      13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      4      6
DISPERSION........31     31     65     53
LVORI.............1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      C
CWR...............10     10     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST-NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....53 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........36     41     41     41     36     36
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............90     83     79     77     76     75
RH................60     75     86     91     92     92
20 FT WIND DIR....SSW    WSW    SW     SW     WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....7      6      5      5      4      2
20 FT WIND GUST...14     13
MIX HGT (FT)......5000   2800   500    500    300    100
MIX HGT (M).......1520   850    150    150    90     30
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     WSW    W      W      W      WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     16     9      9      8      6
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      7      4      4      4      3
DISPERSION........53     19     6      6      4      3
LVORI.............1      3      5      5      6      6
STABILITY CLASS...C      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............30     10     10     10     10     10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4700 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO WEST-SOUTHWEST 12
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 71 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 61 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING C LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........36     8      8      8      17     17
WEATHER COV.......       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............74     79     89     93     94     92
RH................95     82     58     50     50     55
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    NW     WNW    WNW    SSW    SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      2      4      4      6      9
20 FT WIND GUST...                            13     17
MIX HGT (FT)......100    100    3400   3400   6700   4700
MIX HGT (M).......30     30     1040   1040   2040   1430
TRANSP WIND DIR...WNW    WNW    W      W      W      WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      6      8      8      12     15
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      4      4      5      7
DISPERSION........3      2      33     33     71     61
LVORI.............6      5      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      B      C
CWR...............10     20     20     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...8
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150802.F29__.01/MOB



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