Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FNUS73 KMQT 221038 AAA
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANAHER PLAINS RX...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
638 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL KEEP WINDS
RELATIVELY LIGHT. HOWEVER...THESE LIGHT WINDS WILL BE ENHANCED BY
DAYTIME HEATING AND A NORTHWEST WIND LAKE BREEZE OFF LAKE SUPERIOR.
THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER
GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...ALLOWING THE RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND A WARMER AIRMASS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF ANY RAIN LOOKS TO HOLD
OFF UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM
THE PLAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (486) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (913) BY
                    LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (408)
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5700 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO
                    2300-3700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     49     52     53     51
RH..............34     29     26     24     27
33-FOOT WIND....NW 7   NW 11  NW 11  NW 10  NW 9
20-FOOT WIND....NW 5   NW 8   NW 8   NW 7   NW 7
WIND GUST.......10     14     15     14     13
VINDX KT-FT/100.725    913    857    687    206
TRANSPORT WIND..N 17   NW 18  NW 17  NW 16  NW 10
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   5700   5700   4900   2300
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    4 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........0      2      3      5      9      13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     40     36     34     34     36
RH..............30     45     59     67     70     70
33-FOOT WIND....W 5    W 5    S 4    S 6    S 8    SW 11
20-FOOT WIND....W 4    W 3    S 2    S 4    S 6    SW 9
WIND GUST.......
VINDX KT-FT/100.86     33     28     40     42     54
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    W 13   W 17   W 18   W 21   W 23
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   300    200    300    200    300
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........17     17     18     18     23     27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     56     67     70     72     71
RH..............62     45     33     32     31     32
33-FOOT WIND....SW 12  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 14
20-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 11
WIND GUST.......       16     17     20     19     17

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MURPHY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.DANAH.01/MQT


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