Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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FNUS75 KMSO 021044
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Bear Creek Fires Black Bear Cabin
National Weather Service Missoula MT
444 AM MDT WED SEP 2 2015

Forecast is based on request time of 2118 MDT on September 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will move through the fire area this
afternoon, bringing some increased west winds. Behind the front,
widespread precipitation is expected to develop tonight into
Thursday. Wetting rains are expected on the fire, with 0.25" or
more possible by the end of the day Thursday. Precipitation and
cloud cover will keep temperatures much cooler on Thursday.

.Today...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy.
  Slight chance of showers.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent.
* Max Temperature.....66-71.
* Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 3-8 mph becoming west 8-12 mph.
  Gusts up to 18 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......Less than 100 ft agl increasing to 7000 ft
  agl in the afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........2 very low.

.Tonight...

* Sky/Weather.........Becoming cloudy. Chance of showers in the
  evening. Showers likely after sunset.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...70 percent.
* Min Temperature.....39-44.
* Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 6-13 mph with gusts up to 18 mph in the
  evening, becoming variable 2-4 mph.
* Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl decreasing to 1500 ft agl after
  midnight.
* Mixing Winds........West 15 mph.
* LAL.................1.

.Thursday...

* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Showers.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...70 percent.
* Max Temperature.....53-58.
* Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Northwest around 5 mph.
* Mixing Height.......1500-2500 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines Index........2 very low.

$$
FORECASTER...JennK

REQUESTED BY...Jim Flint
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150901.BEARC.02/MSO


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