Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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000
FNUS75 KPIH 290043
FWSPIH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
643 PM MDT SUN AUG 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1800 MDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT WEAK SOUTHWEST FLOW MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE AREA BRINGING SLIGHTLY WARMER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS. THERE WILL BE A WEAK WAVE MOVE OVER WESTERN MONTANA
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING THAT WILL SLIGHTLY INCREASE THE
WINDS OVER THE BURN SITE FROM AROUND 9 PM TO 3 AM. WINDS WILL PICK
UP SLIGHTLY ON TUESDAY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES. TUESDAY
EXPECT EVEN SLIGHTLY WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WITH A HAINES
INDEX OF 6. WEDNESDAY WILL BE EVEN BREEZIER AS A SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH IN THE EVENING BRING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOSTLY DRY WITH A TRACE TO
.06 PRECIPIATION EXPECTED. EXPECT THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS OF AROUND
35 MPH. MODELS ARE INDICATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
REDEVELOPING THURSDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE BRINGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH WITH MODERATE WINDS...SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79 TO 83.
RH..................MIN 13 TO 17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6
                    TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57 TO 61.
RH..................MAX 28 TO 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    UP TO 18 MPH...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81 TO 84.
RH..................MIN 10 TO 14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 TO 10  MPH WITH GUSTS
                    AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6
LAL.................1.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 TO 12 MPH WITH
GUSTS NEAR 22 MPH. LATE AFTERNOON ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING WIDELY SCATTERED  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. HAINES INDEX OF 5.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 26 MPH. WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. EXPECT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON. HAINES
INDEX OF 4.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 14 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR
28 MPH. HAINES INDEX OF 4.

$$
FORECASTER...WYATT
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS CHURCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160828.BLACK.01/PIH



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