Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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781
FNUS72 KRAH 211325
FWSRAH

Spot Forecast for BD 11...NC State Parks
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
925 AM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on September 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact this NWS office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A mid to upper level trough will drift across the Carolinas today,
then linger while weakening through the end of the week. Surface
high pressure will otherwise ridge south across the middle Atlantic
states for the next several days.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light and variable winds. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000-3700 ft AGL...increasing to 4500-5700 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9...increasing to 29 late in the morning.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........6.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........36     37     49     44
Weather cov.....              ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     20     20
Temp............75     81     84     85
RH..............76     63     53     51
20 ft wind......N 3    NE 4   NE 4   NE 4
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   3700   5100   5700
Transport wind..NE 8   NE 9   E 9    E 8
LVORI...........4      2      1      1
ADI.............9      27     33     33
Visibility (sm).7      7      6      6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light and variable winds. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......2700-4000 ft AGL...decreasing to 300 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....East 1 to 7 mph.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................24...decreasing to 2 early in the evening.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........41     32     22     20     20     19
Weather cov.....ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     10     10     0      0
Temp............83     76     73     70     69     68
RH..............55     74     79     87     87     90
20 ft wind......NE 3   NE 2   NE 2   NE 2   NE 1   NE 1
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....4000   300    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..E 7    NE 3   E 3    SE 3   S 1    E 1
LVORI...........2      5      5      6      6      6
ADI.............24     2      2      2      2      2
Visibility (sm).6      7      7      7      7      7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL...increasing to 5000-5500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 1 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5...increasing to 30 late in the morning...then
                    increasing to 44 early in the
                    afternoon...decreasing to 29 late.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........7.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........13     20     31     31     31     27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............67     67     74     80     83     84
RH..............90     90     71     56     49     48
20 ft wind......N 1    NW 1   N 2    N 3    N 3    NE 3
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....300    400    3100   4400   5300   5500
Transport wind..NE 1   N 5    N 6    N 9    N 10   N 9
LVORI...........7      4      4      2      1      1
ADI.............1      8      8      30     44     44
Visibility (sm).7      7      7      7      7      7

$$
Forecaster...LOCKLEAR
Requested by...Thomas Crate
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1716100.0/RAH
.EMAIL thomas.crate@ncparks.gov



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