Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FNUS74 KSJT 032127
FWSSJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT MCKAVETT COMPLEX...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO
427 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1554 CDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT AND TOMORROW ACROSS
THE BURN AREA. EXPECT GENERALLY LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS OVERNIGHT...
ALTHOUGH GUSTS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ON RIDGETOPS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER TO NEAR 75 PERCENT
BY TUESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER HOT DAY IS ANTICIPATED TOMORROW.
EXPECT SOUTHERLY 20 FOOT WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY...BACKING TO
THE SOUTHEAST WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 DECREASING TO 4. LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AFTER SUNSET.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........22     37     33     28     28     32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............97     93     87     82     79     76
RH..............28     32     41     49     56     69
20 FT WIND......SE 10  SE 8   SE 7   S 5    S 3    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10            5      10
HAINES INDEX....6      6      6      6      4      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 INCREASING TO 6. HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........36     39     39     39     31     31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74     75     86     91     95     97
RH..............73     73     53     42     35     32
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 5    S 8    S 8    S 7    SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      4      6

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6. MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........31     27     27     27     28     28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............97     93     87     83     80     77
RH..............31     35     45     53     62     76
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 10   S 10   S 10   S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....6      6      5      5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 INCREASING TO TO 6. HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........28     40     40     40     19     19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75     76     86     91     95     97
RH..............79     76     53     41     34     31
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 10   S 10   S 10   S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      4      5      6

$$

FORECASTER...JOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150803.FORTM.02/SJT



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