Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA

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000
FNUS76 KSTO 180511
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST for Shakefiddle VMP...CAL FIre
National Weather Service SACRAMENTO CA
911 PM PST Sat Feb 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2100 PST on February 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Cold front will be moving over the burn site on Sunday bringing much
colder temperatures shifting winds and light rain and snow showers to
the site through Sunday night. Cold and drier northwest flow over the
burn site on Monday (Washington`s Birthday Holiday).


.TODAY (SUNDAY)...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain and snow showers likely in
                    the afternoon. Rainfall amounts less than .10" through
                    1600.
Max temperature.....43-48 in the morning...falling to 33 to 38 after
                    1500-1600.
Min humidity........62-67 percent in the morning rising above 80 percent
                    after 0900-1000.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South to southwest winds up to 7 mph.
 Ridgetop...........South to southwest 15 to 22 mph in the morning becoming
                    southwest 9 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Rising to 3500 ft AGL by midday then lowering to
                    2000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South to southwest 7 to 14 mph.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain and snow showers likely in
                    the evening, then a chance of snow showers after
                    midnight. Rainfall amounts from .10" to .25"
                    from 1600-2200 with a dusting of snow.
Min temperature.....25-30.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 4 to 7 mph diminishing after midnight.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest 9 to 15 mph diminishing after midnight.
Mixing height.......Lowering to ground level overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest up to 9 mph diminishing after midnight.
CWR.................70 percent.
LAL.................1.

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY (MONDAY)...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers.
                    Amounts up to .01" to .02".
Max temperature.....33-38.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 4 to 8 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest 7 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......Rising to 3000 to 4000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest up to 7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...JM
Requested by...Charles Blankenheim
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802000.2/STO
.EMAIL charles.blankenheim@fire.ca.gov



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