Suppression Forecast
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129
FNUS72 KTAE 292134
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Bumpy Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
534 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1800 EDT on March 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several days.
Patchy fog is likely to develop again tonight. A cold front will
approach the region on Thursday night bringing a chance for showers
and thunderstorms. Transport winds will be strong out of the south
ahead of the cold front. Dry conditions are expected for the weekend.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog developing after
                    midnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........77 at request...Min 59.
RH..................54 percent at request...Max 90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 5 mph at request. Winds becoming
                    light after sunset.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL at request decreasing to 400 ft AGL
                    by midnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 4 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....27 decreasing to 2 early in the evening.
Max LVORI...........8.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........21  20  26  24  19  17  19  23  25  24  24  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  75  73  70  67  64  63  63  62  62  61  61
RH..............54  58  64  71  78  87  90  87  90  87  90  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   6   6   6   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Dispersion......30  23  3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
LVORI...........1   1   3   3   3   6   6   6   7   8   8   8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Patchy fog in the morning then becoming
                    mostly sunny.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 80.
RH..................Min 54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 9 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph increasing to south 15
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 in the morning...increasing to 63 by late
                    morning and increasing to 95 in the
                    afternoon.
Max LVORI...........8 in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27  34  32  29  26  25  26  31  40  45  46  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............61  62  62  66  70  75  76  78  79  79  78  78
RH..............90  90  90  81  73  64  62  56  54  54  58  60
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   3   6   7   8   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.            5   5   5   10  10  10  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.3 3.2 4.2 5.1 4.9 4.7 4.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.2   2   3   3   3   17  17  17  18  18  18  18
Dispersion......2   2   5   6   9   46  63  79  96  73  71  85
LVORI...........8   8   4   4   4   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$

Forecaster...Godsey
Requested by...Drew Page
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1705230.3/TAE
.EMAIL andrewwpage@fs.fed.us



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