Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 210947
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
446 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 21/1200 UTC THRU FEB 24/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


...CENTRAL-NORTHERN CA INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...

GUIDANCE REASONABLY AGREES THAT A MAIN LOW REACHING THE OR COAST
THIS MORNING...SUPPORTING IMPULSE/JET ENERGY ALOFT...AND LEAD
BAROCLINIC LEAF EXPANSION INLAND AND OVER THE NWRN U.S. TODAY WILL
SUPPORT A WIDESPREAD SWATH OF MODERATE TO TERRAIN ENHANCED
PCPN/ELEV SNOWS ACROSS THE REGION. INCREASED WPC CONTINUITY
ACCORDINGLY TO ADDRESS RECENT SATELLITE AND MODEL
TRENDS...ESPECIALLY AS PER THE MESO MODELS. THIS INCLUDES SOME
1-2" LIQUID AMOUNTS DAY1 FOR SW OREGON INTO THE OREGON
CASCADES...WITH DECREASING ACTIVITY INTO TUE NIGHT WITH MAIN
LOW/SHORTWAVE PASSAGE. FOR DETAILS ON WINTER WEATHER AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS AND INLAND ACROSS THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST ROCKIES AS
DYNAMICS/HEIGHT FALLS SQUEEZE OUT PCPN...PLEASE SEE THE WPC WINTER
WEATHER DESK QPFHSD DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS.

FARTHER SOUTH UNDERNEATH...GUIDANCE ALSO AGREES THAT WHILE
ADDITIONAL ERN PACIFIC RIPPLES ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO FEED UPON A
DECAYING ATMOSPHERIC RIVER MOISTURE FEED THROUGH TUE IN THE WAKE
OF MAIN MID-UPPER TROUGH/JET SUPPORT...THE BULK OF HEAVY PCPN FOR
N-CENTRAL CA WILL ON A DECIDEDLY DOWNWARD TREND AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PROGRESSES INLAND. LINGERING
MECHANICS THOUGH REMAIN IN PLAY FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AND HIGHER
ELEVATION SNOWS ACROSS CENTRAL-NRN CA...PARTICULARLY INTO THE
CENTRAL SIERRA WHERE TOPOGRAPHIC LIFT ENHANCES LIFT WITH THE
LINGERING MOISTURE PLUME. AGAIN...PLEASE SEE THE WPC WINTER
WEATHER DESK QPFHSD DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS.


...CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...

THERE IS IMPROVED MODEL AGREEMENT THAT THE INITIALLY FULL-LATITUDE
UPPER TROUGH WILL SPLIT WITH A VIGOROUS SRN STREAM TROUGH
DEEPENING AND CLOSING OFF WITH NEG TILT AT MID LEVELS ON A GRADUAL
BUT STEADY ESEWD TRACK INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO TUE INTO WED. FAVORABLE UPPER DIFLUENCE AND LINGERING
INSTABILITY/MOISTURE INLAND OVER THE E-CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES
SHOULD STILL PROVIDE PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION WITHIN AN AREA OF
MODEST TO LOCALLY HEAVY POCKETS OF PRECIP THAT MAY LEAD TO RUNOFF
ISSUES GIVEN PWS AOA 1.25". EXPECT SOME WIDESPREAD 1" AMOUNTS
CENTERED OVER SRN AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE...WITH BEST POTENTIAL
FOR 2-3" VALUES CLOSER TO THE COAST AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE NERN
GULF OF MEXICO. FOLLOWED A GLOBAL AND MESO MODEL COMPOSITE BLEND
THAT SEEMS REASONABLY WELL CLUSTERED AND IN LINE WITH WPC
CONTINUITY.


...MIDWEST / GREAT LAKES...

SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE SYSTEM PROGRESSION ACROSS
THE OH VALLEY/GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST WILL HAVE LESS MOISTURE TO
CONTEND WITH BUT FAVORABLE LEAD THETAE FLOW AND DYNAMIC SUPPORT
WILL SUPPORT A
SUUPORT A SWATH OF LIGHT TO LOCALLY MDT PCPN ACROSS THE REGION AS
PER A FAVORED MODEL CONCENSUS.


DAYS 2 AND 3...


...WESTERN UNITED STATES

SHORT WAVE ENERGY AHEAD OF A LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST
COAST ON DAY 2 SPINS UP SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN
AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES...RESULTING IN LOCALLY HEAVY
PRECIPITATION. THE POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH COMES ASHORE DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 2...REACHING A POSITION FROM THE ROCKIES
THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST STATES BY THE END OF DAY 3. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

A SHORT WAVE AHEAD OF A POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH
APPROACHING THE WEST COAST EARLY ON DAY 2 CROSSES THE SIERRA
NEVADA RANGE BEFORE TRACKING OVER THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THE BEST LIFT WITH THE MID LEVEL
SYSTEM...COMBINED WITH UPSLOPE FLOW...WILL MAKE THE MOST OF THE
MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN (AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DROP BELOW
0.25 INCHES) TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF
STRETCHED FROM THE SOUTHERN WASATCH RANGE IN UT TO THE ROCKIES IN
FAR SOUTHWEST WY AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CO. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
FORMING IN THE FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKIES WILL AID THE UPSLOPE
FLOW OVER THE CO ROCKIES...WHERE LOCALLY HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE.

AS THE POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH COMES ASHORE OVER OR/CA
OVER THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 2...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOCUSED ON THE
OR COASTAL RANGE...WHERE THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR 0.25
TO 0.05 INCHES OF QPF. BOTH THE 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GFS HAD LOCALLY
HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS OVER THE OR COASTAL RANGE...BUT EACH HAD THE
MAXIMUM QPF IN DIFFERENT LOCATIONS. THE UPSLOPE FOCUSES DECREASING
MOISTURE ON THE NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA RANGE IN CA...WHERE 0.25
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED.

FINALLY...SHORT WAVE ENERGY DROPPING OUT OF WESTERN CANADA
PROVIDES LIFT OVER NORTHERN MT DURING DAY 2. THE COMBINATION OF
LIFT AND UPSLOPE FLOW MAKES THE MOST OF THE PALTRY MOISTURE IN THE
COLUMN TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF IN THE
ABOVEMENTIONED AREAS. AS THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY EXITS MT EARLY ON
DAY 3...THERE IS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND LIFT REMAINING FOR AN
AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SPINS UP ALONG THE CO FRONT RANGE LATE ON DAY
2 BEFORE EXITING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING DAY 3. ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE LOW...STRENGTHENING UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS SOUTHERN WY
FOCUSES MOISTURE ON THE LARAMIE MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHEAST EXTENT OF THE WIND RIVER RANGE. THERE WAS A STRONG MULTI
MODEL SIGNAL FOR STRIPES OF 1.00 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF IN THESE
LOCATIONS... WHICH WAS EXTENDED INTO THE FAR NORTHERN ROCKIES IN
CO. ANOTHER QPF AXIS (WITH AMOUNTS NEAR 0.75 INCHES) WAS PLACED
OVER FURTHER SOUTH DOWN THE CO ROCKIES CHAIN.

HEAVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF THE WESTERN UNITED STATES ON DAYS 2 AND 3. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST SUITE OF WPC WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...UPPER MS VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE
UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES ON DAY 2 PUSHES A SURFACE
LOW ALONG A SIMILAR PATH. LIFT AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED
TO AID IN THE PRODUCTION OF A SWATH OF QPF ACROSS THIS AREA. THE
00Z GFS APPEARED TO BE TOO WEAK AND TOO FAST WITH THE MID LEVEL
LIFT...SO THE WPC QPF LEANED MORE HEAVILY TOWARD THE 00Z ECMWF/12Z
ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN.

AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSES THE NORTHERN PLAINS DURING
DAY 2...A LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.50 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER ALONG THE TRACK OF A CLIPPER LIKE SURFACE LOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT WAVE. THE BEST LIFT OVER THE WARM FRONT
OCCURS OVER EAST CENTRAL MN ACROSS FAR NORTHERN WI INTO THE UP OF
MI...WHERE AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED. THE
00Z ECMWF CONTINUED THAT MODELS TREND OF HIGHER QPF WITH THIS
FEATURE...WHILE THE 00Z GFS/NAM AND 00Z UKMET (WHICH MADE A FAIRLY
SIGNIFICANT DOWNWARD TREND IN ITS QPF FROM ITS 12Z SOLUTION) WERE
MUCH LIGHTER. WHILE THERE IS A MOISTURE SOURCE SOUTHWEST OF THE
SYSTEM...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE 00Z ECMWF IS TOO HIGH WITH ITS
QPF AMOUNTS...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON THIS SOLUTION...WITH
AMOUNTS REDUCED TO SOME DEGREE.


...CENTRAL PLAINS/MID MS VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES DURING DAY 3...AND LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE AIDS IN
CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WHICH TRACKS TO THE UPPER
MID MS VALLEY. INCREASING MOISTURE AND LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE
WILL PRODUCE AN AXIS OF LOCALLY HEAVY QPF STRETCHING FROM ME
ACROSS IA INTO IL/SOUTHERN WI. THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD
WITH RESPECT TO THE PLACEMENT OF THE AXIS OF MAXIMUM QPF...WITH
THE 00Z GFS MUCH FURTHER NORTH THAN THE GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS.
THE 00Z ECMWF CONTINUED THAT MODELS CONSISTENT HANDLING OF THE MID
LEVEL SYSTEM...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MAINLY ON THE 00Z
ECMWF/12Z ECWMF ENSEMBLE MEAN.

SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKING FROM UT/SOUTHWEST WY EARLY ON DAY 3
WILL AID IN CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKIES. THE
SHORT WAVE AND RESULTING SURFACE LOW THEN MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. A LOW LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR OVER
NE/KS INTO IA AND IL. THE MOISTURE BECOMES ENTRAINED IN A
DEVELOPING MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING STRETCHING ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NE...WHERE AN AXIS OF 0.75 TO 1.00 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED. DEPENDING ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE BANDED
PRECIPITATION...HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE BANDED
LIFT EXITS.

FURTHER EAST...MOISTURE IS LIFTED OVER A WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM
THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS IA/NORTHERN IL INTO SOUTHERN WI/SOUTHERN
MI. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL (MAINLY ELEVATED) INSTABILITY
TRANSPORTS OVER THE WARM FRONT AS WELL. MAINLY ELEVATED CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF IN
THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREA (WITH THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWING LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ALONG THE WARM FRONT). AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THERE IS A
FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD CONCERNING THE PLACEMENT OF THE AXIS OF
HIGHEST QPF. THE 00Z GFS IS MUCH FURTHER NORTH WITH ITS
MAXIMUM...PUSHING THE BEST LIFT AND INSTABILITY ACROSS THE UPPER
MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES. AT THIS POINT...THE 00Z GFS
APPEARS TO BE AN OUTLIER...SO NOT MUCH OF THIS SOLUTION WAS
INCORPORATED INTO THE WPC QPF.

THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE...AND THREE HOUR FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY IN THE 1.50 TO 2.00 INCH
RANGE...SO WHILE HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...ORGANIZED FLASH
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.


...FL/SOUTHEAST...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WILL TRACK
ACROSS SOUTH FL DURING DAY 2...BEFORE MOVING OVER THE BAHAMAS
DURING DAY 3. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID
LEVEL SYSTEM (AND ITS SURFACE REFLECTION) WILL FEED CONVECTION
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF THE FL PENINSULA...MAINLY
DURING DAY 2. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE
MOVEMENT OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM (AS WELL AS THE PLACEMENT OF THE
HIGHEST QPF)...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS.

AS THE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW TRACKS FROM SOUTH OF KMOB TO SOUTH FL
DURING DAY 2...CURVED BANDS OF CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. A 20 TO 25 KNOT LOW LEVEL
SOUTHEAST INFLOW TRANSPORTS 1.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR INTO
THE DEVELOPING CONVECTION...WHICH BECOMES FOCUSED ON THE SOUTHWEST
FL COAST EARLY (DUE TO LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE THERE). AN AXIS OF
1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THE COAST...AND HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE WHERE THE BANDS HANG UP. ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE SHOULD ALLOW THE CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST
COAST OF FL...WHERE LOCAL 1.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. THE
CONVECTION SHOULD BE DIURNALLY ENHANCED...AND SHOULD BEGIN TO WANE
AS THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION MOVES EAST. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE ARE GENERALLY ABOVE 3.50 INCHES...SO ORGANIZED FLASH
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

AS THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION EXITS FL FOR THE NORTHERN
BAHAMAS...THE LAST OF THE DEEP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL
AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF FL. FOR THE MOST PART...QPF AMOUNTS ON
DAY 3 SHOULD BE LESS THAN 0.50 INCHES...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WHERE BANDS OF CONVECTION TRAIN BRIEFLY
BEFORE EXITING.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

SCHICHTEL/HAYES


24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 540775 540769 539767 538758 535750 532742 529734 525730
      522726 521722 516717 508708 498702 494699 492697 488697
      478696 464671 461673 457680 450694 442703 434710 423718
      418723 416726 412727 407737 402750 400758 397765 395774
      393781 391787 386792 382796 374798 367799 361802 351807
      333823 328827 319829 311830 301830 278823 271823 264822
      257823 252826 247828 244832 240845 245859 252871 262877
      260894 261899 268899 272902 273910 277913 283913 290911
      291920 292923 295925 304924 313924 317926 316931 316937
      319942 324945 331946 338946 343944 355939 364933 367927
      369924 372923 375921 380921 384920 386918 392913 396908
      405901 409895 413891 429874 437866 442863 449860 455858
      463857 471856 474856 475858 474863 474873 476880 476886
      477889 481894 483895 485892 486885 488878 489869 492854
      495836 494830 491828 490816 488807 484800 476791 473773
      471766 467760 464757 462756 462753 466752 470749 476747
      484746 490747 496753 499759 505777 509784 511791 518802
      522807 527807 530807 532805 534803 536800 538795 540788
      539779 540775
 0.01 529186 530180 530175 529166 528145 523138 518132 514124
      512119 513112 513100 512094 508086 506078 505068 504058
      504047 503037 503031 504027 505018 502997 501992 501984
      500973 499959 499948 497939 495931 493927 491926 487934
      487943 487953 490962 490975 489979 487974 486966 485962
      484957 483952 480951 476952 475958 474969 472980 472993
      472002 471011 471025 471035 470043 468053 470068 471087
      467095 465099 461098 455092 447088 443088 441084 443082
      445083 449085 454086 456083 456079 456071 453065 437059
      432059 427055 421053 416053 413054 408055 405053 403054
      399056 398060 399063 395062 392061 389061 389063 387067
      387072 390080 394084 400088 398098 396107 391111 385114
      383117 382122 382130 384137 386145 383153 383159 384164
      387171 389181 388185 385187 372180 363179 357180 353185
      352190 350193 346182 345187 343189 339193 341199 342204
      345206 366230 372234 377240 380241 382244 388248 401256
      408259 414258 424263 427265 432266 437264 452260 465256
      469256 471259 476265 485277 489283 494288 501291 505289
      509285 511275 511270 509265 505260 492250 488249 484246
      480237 478230 478227 482228 488227 493233 503243 509247
      512245 512240 510233 507228 497215 493209 485206 478207
      473197 475194 478190 480189 484190 488191 490193 494194
      496193 502193 505193 508196 511197 513200 519199 529186
 0.01 474121 474119 475116 474114 474113 473111 471113 471115
      472118 473121 473122 474121
 0.01 462126 462121 461119 460114 458116 456118 453120 451121
      449122 448126 448131 450133 452131 454129 457129 461128
      462126
 0.01 437201 435199 435195 436187 436181 438181 439178 439171
      436166 433162 431157 428145 424147 421152 421156 422159
      426163 428167 427170 424173 421178 420187 421193 425197
      428200 434202 437201
 0.01 423829 421828 419830 416833 414835 411840 409845 408848
      404852 405857 408854 411849 413847 416842 418839 420834
      422831 423829
 0.01 403859 401858 399858 398858 396858 394859 392860 392861
      391863 391865 393867 394867 396865 398864 399862 401861
      403859
 0.01 385095 386086 383081 380076 378069 377064 375062 371061
      368063 368070 370077 370082 371084 373089 376094 381097
      385095
 0.25 490165 492147 491141 489134 488130 484125 476129 472130
      469133 465137 461140 457142 452143 446141 443137 440134
      438133 436135 434138 434142 434150 435156 438161 445167
      447169 447173 444179 441193 442199 444204 447204 447202
      450197 460195 467187 469183 473179 480175 486170 490165
 0.25 475219 459209 455209 451212 442215 431217 426218 420218
      405204 397197 385191 376186 370183 364182 360184 358188
      363193 366197 373204 381211 384215 390217 395219 399220
      404223 402226 397227 391225 387224 382224 378223 377221
      372216 366215 362211 357203 348197 344195 346200 352209
      359216 367222 375224 380228 386236 394242 404247 410250
      417252 428254 438255 455244 459242 461238 462232 465226
      475219
 0.25 469826 470821 469816 466811 464809 460808 455808 453813
      451820 449826 447834 449838 451840 456841 461839 466835
      468828 469826
 0.25 453100 453097 451094 445094 434092 429088 425088 424091
      426098 425101 422103 420104 417105 411102 408100 407102
      403109 400115 400118 402121 404124 408125 414123 421122
      428124 434120 439118 443119 446117 450112 453100
 0.25 412148 412147 412146 411144 409145 409146 408147 407149
      406151 405154 406155 407156 409154 409153 410152 411150
      412148 412148
 0.25 412073 412071 412068 410067 408068 407068 405070 405071
      404072 405072 406074 406075 408076 410076 411075 411074
      412073
 0.25 360821 359817 356817 349822 343827 340834 337842 333843
      328844 321841 314840 280835 271835 265835 260837 253841
      252844 251849 254857 259863 272869 274872 274878 272882
      272886 277891 284895 288900 292903 296904 304901 311900
      316900 319901 326906 330906 333905 340902 347899 350897
      352895 352891 348885 346881 347877 351870 353865 353860
      353853 354841 357837 358830 360821
 0.25 345932 343930 341928 339927 337926 334924 332926 331930
      332933 334936 337936 338936 341936 343934 345932
 0.50 484153 484148 483142 484140 482135 481132 478137 480143
      476146 467144 459147 456149 452150 444145 442142 438142
      437146 437151 439155 441159 445162 449164 452163 456160
      464166 466169 464174 457180 456184 456187 458188 462186
      464183 467172 475170 479168 481164 484153
 0.50 462223 461218 458216 450216 443217 438219 431220 427221
      425226 424230 420230 414229 413226 415221 414217 411216
      406212 401205 397200 389196 376188 370184 365184 362185
      362188 364192 368196 373202 380207 386212 392214 401217
      405219 408221 408226 405230 399231 392231 390235 393239
      399243 407246 421250 429250 435249 442247 447243 452228
      457226 462223
 0.50 463824 463822 463819 461818 460820 460821 459822 459825
      460826 462827 463824
 0.50 450102 451098 448096 443097 440096 436098 433095 431093
      429092 428094 431099 430104 428105 423107 419111 414112
      410112 409110 407111 406114 409117 415116 419114 422113
      426114 431118 434116 438113 445114 449109 450102
 0.50 356207 356205 354203 352203 351204 352205 354206 354207
      355207 356207
 0.50 343862 340858 337853 332850 327849 307843 295841 284839
      278839 270841 265842 261845 260851 263856 271862 279869
      280872 280875 278880 278886 283889 287891 290895 294899
      300897 311893 317892 325893 335895 339894 340889 338885
      336880 336876 340868 343862
 1.00 476159 476156 475156 474156 473156 472155 470154 469153
      468152 467152 466151 464151 463151 463154 463156 465158
      466159 466160 468161 470162 471162 473162 474161 475161
      476159
 1.00 450222 449220 446220 443220 436223 432225 430228 427233
      423234 414234 411238 413242 417244 421246 426247 430246
      436242 437237 435232 437228 440226 448224 450222
 1.00 446109 446107 445106 444104 442105 440105 442107 443108
      444109 445109 446109
 1.00 400211 399206 396203 390199 384195 378191 371187 366187
      367192 369194 375200 380204 386208 395211 400211
 1.00 332865 322857 309851 296846 288843 281842 277843 274846
      273851 283860 288867 286875 285878 285883 292885 300886
      305886 315884 323883 326882 327878 328873 330870 332865
 1.50 431241 432238 428237 425236 422236 420236 416236 415239
      417241 418243 422244 424244 427244 430243 431241
 1.50 396208 394204 391202 386198 383196 379194 375191 371189
      368189 369192 372195 375197 378200 381203 385205 390208
      395208 396208
 1.50 325868 320866 317862 312858 307854 297851 292849 290847
      287846 281846 278846 280850 287858 291862 290870 290877
      290880 292881 300882 307882 314880 319877 323873 325868
 2.00 426242 427240 426239 424239 423238 421238 419237 418239
      419240 421241 422241 424242 426242 426242
 2.00 390204 389203 387201 386200 384199 382198 380199 382201
      383202 385203 387204 389204 390204
 2.00 376194 376193 374192 372191 371190 370190 371191 371192
      372193 374194 376194 376194
 2.00 318873 317868 314867 310860 306856 298855 291853 289855
      291857 294859 294864 292872 295876 301880 307879 314876
      318873
 3.00 306876 305875 304874 303873 303874 302876 303877 305876
      306876
 3.00 300870 300868 299867 297866 296868 295869 295870 295871
      297872 299870 300870

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 544177 543165 541154 537130 536125 533120 528115 526111
      523109 519106 518101 512092 509083 507076 506069 504062
      501060 495053 492038 490010 489004 489997 487987 486978
      486970 489961 492951 495940 505925 507912 507902 508896
      508876 509869 509862 508847 508838 509831 511817 511810
      512804 512798 510794 508779 505767 505761 507757 511750
      512746 512742 513739 513732 514727 513718 514713 512696
      510690 507685 502680 494684 488692 485698 483694 481692
      479688 480681 477676 470677 463677 459679 457683 458698
      455707 455729 455734 454740 452752 451759 450765 450772
      449775 449779 450788 451792 452795 457803 460807 461816
      458828 457834 457840 460841 461844 463849 463855 463861
      462867 462874 460887 459899 459902 456903 452903 448903
      446908 452929 454941 455948 455957 452966 450971 450977
      452983 455989 456997 455000 453000 451003 451006 450016
      445024 443027 440026 435018 431007 430002 429996 429984
      429980 426974 424971 420969 415971 412977 412983 410996
      412004 417011 417016 414017 411015 409017 407021 407029
      404036 403039 399041 397045 395052 394055 391058 386058
      384061 372074 371093 367101 366109 367113 368116 367119
      364122 362128 363130 362134 359136 359141 360146 359149
      360156 362161 366161 371151 375148 379147 387146 390149
      388155 386166 388177 394183 396185 399189 397194 394195
      388193 385189 380183 373180 367180 362179 358180 354180
      350183 348186 346190 346195 347198 352198 354203 359202
      364201 370202 377208 384212 388215 390218 391226 390229
      388231 381234 372233 371236 373241 376248 382255 413278
      418280 424281 430282 432281 435282 445280 448280 453278
      458274 461271 463266 470261 476255 479255 483255 486254
      488249 490244 494241 493237 493233 496232 500231 500227
      499220 496215 494212 495208 494202 492201 486202 483204
      475209 470210 464211 460210 455211 451213 449213 448210
      450206 450200
 0.01 450200 451185 450183 447182 443181 441183 438187 435186
      433184 431168 430162 431154 429150 432145 437146 440149
      443154 443158 445162 450170 451173 454174 458170 461165
      460161 464161 469167 479170 482166 489170 493171 497174
      500180 502186 505192 508191 513190 516185 520183 524184
      529186 533192 534194 538189 544177
 0.01 447131 447126 444121 443118 440114 435114 431116 430123
      432128 433133 435135 438136 440132 445133 447131
 0.01 414696 412680 410673 408673 405675 401683 398688 399695
      401711 403727 408731 410734 410738 411746 414748 416745
      416738 417736 417731 415715 413699 414696
 0.01 426091 426089 426087 425084 423086 423088 423091 424093
      426091
 0.01 416797 416791 414786 413780 411777 407775 405778 401786
      397797 396802 393798 389794 384795 382797 380796 378789
      374779 368773 363767 361764 361761 361754 363743 368733
      371724 377714 379705 381693 380689 378685 374676 367669
      362670 361673 362677 362680 360685 356694 353702 350711
      344728 336747 334752 331757 323764 320767 315766 308760
      306756 305752 302749 297748 279744 269743 254745 244748
      235751 228755 224757 221760 216768 213773 212779 214789
      218800 219803 221809 222815 222821 222827 224831 229837
      236843 243848 255850 263854 277864 282869 290874 296880
      304884 310884 314881 321875 326872 330872 332870 335870
      339871 347873 357872 365866 371860 379852 382841 385830
      386820 393801 395804 395809 394814 395821 396826 399830
      403832 410831 413826 414819 414812 416797
 0.01 389102 390098 388095 385095 383096 381097 379101 377101
      374101 372102 370106 371109 375111 378110 380108 382106
      384105 388104 389102
 0.25 532171 532168 531165 530165 529164 528164 529167 530169
      531170 532171 532171
 0.25 522160 522154 521147 517135 512125 509120 506116 497095
      489073 484063 480059 478058 476059 473064 471069 470078
      471087 473099 477112 483132 487141 493151 499158 503161
      510164 514165 518165 521163 522160
 0.25 494825 494815 492809 490801 489798 485796 481801 479807
      476822 476838 474846 470853 469866 468877 469888 470895
      472902 473905 471908 469915 469923 470931 469949 469956
      471958 475942 477928 479908 483897 488882 491868 491848
      491836 494825
 0.25 459245 458238 456236 452235 446235 441233 438228 433224
      426224 421226 415228 409232 405235 401239 400246 402250
      406252 421255 433253 446250 455245 459245
 0.25 450078 449077 449075 448073 446072 446075 448077 449078
      450078
 0.25 412216 413214 413212 413210 413209 411209 410209 409209
      408209 406210 404212 404214 405216 406217 408218 410217
      412217 412216
 0.25 416175 417170 417168 415165 414160 413158 413155 410152
      407154 407158 411158 412161 412164 411167 411170 412174
      414176 416175
 0.25 420057 418053 415052 411053 406056 400062 393068 388075
      386080 386083 388085 394090 398094 399099 399106 396110
      388114 381119 379122 376128 376132 381134 385133 390130
      401113 408112 412113 411108 413082 417074 419058 420057
 0.25 396212 396210 395209 393207 392207 390206 388207 388208
      390209 390211 391212 393212 395212 396212
 0.25 374803 374798 373794 372790 369791 367794 366798 362804
      359812 359821 361830 364838 367839 370837 374830 375821
      373810 374803
 0.25 314813 315808 313803 309799 305792 301785 295772 291765
      286758 274754 268752 259751 250753 244755 237759 231763
      226767 223774 224782 227790 230796 231805 230813 230818
      231824 235829 240833 246835 255837 261839 267842 281848
      286851 291854 299856 304855 305852 306848 305844 301839
      307826 311820 314813
 0.50 512147 512141 510136 506127 500120 496112 490104 487101
      486103 486109 487115 490126 492136 497143 500147 504150
      509150 512147
 0.50 424244 426242 424241 422241 421240 419239 417239 416239
      415239 414240 412240 410241 409242 410242 411243 413244
      415244 416245 418245 420245 422245 424244 424244
 0.50 414068 415063 411064 407069 401072 395078 392078 393082
      397080 401082 404081 404090 403096 404101 408094 409084
      409077 414069 414068
 0.50 390123 391121 390119 388120 387120 386121 385122 384122
      382124 381126 382128 384128 386127 388125 390123 390123
 0.50 307808 303797 298786 295781 292776 285767 282764 277763
      264763 253765 247767 241770 237773 234777 233781 232786
      234790 236795 235802 235816 237821 240825 244829 249831
      258834 268839 277843 283844 290843 292841 292837 290831
      290827 293826 299819 302814 306810 307808
 1.00 297803 297797 295792 289785 284780 280779 273780 266783
      260790 256791 254794 250794 244795 243798 245802 249804
      245807 244812 247816 248820 248823 251826 258830 265833
      274836 281838 283834 281829 277822 276816 275809 276805
      280803 286802 291804 295804 297803
 1.00 270800 271797 270796 269796 268795 266794 265794 264794
      262794 260794 260795 262797 262798 263798 265800 266801
      268801 270800 270800
 1.50 291797 290793 289791 287788 285786 283785 279785 276785
      273787 272789 273791 275793 277795 280796 283797 285798
      288798 291797
 1.50 272830 270828 267827 265826 263825 260823 257823 258825
      259828 262828 264829 267831 268831 270831 272830
 2.00 286793 286792 286791 284789 282789 280790 279792 280793
      282794 283794 284794 286794 286793

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 515259 516251 515245 514239 511233 508224 508216 499215
      488213 484213 479212 473211 469212 464211 461212 456211
      451208 452194 452191 455189 458189 462188 465184 470178
      474174 479172 481171 483171 486169 489167 492167 494169
      497172 503175 516168 521158 522149 523144 519131 520120
      518111 512104 509094 507082 506069 503057 501052 499048
      497041 494038 492035 490035 487032 482031 476031 471030
      468031 465043 466055 464057 461057 459056 458052 454043
      451029 445010 446995 447987 448981 452957 455947 457937
      461927 463919 464913 464906 465901 465887 464872 464863
      462857 461849 460842 459837 457830 455820 451814 449809
      449806 451806 455806 459808 469809 473810 473817 473823
      471830 467841 468856 477860 488874 492874 498873 501870
      503866 507856 510843 515788 515781 515776 517771 519766
      521758 524746 524732 522712 520698 518686 515670 514662
      512655 510647 509642 506636 503633 497629 494627 490626
      482625 479624 476627 469644 468651 465657 462660 461661
      460666 462678 461683 458688 451704 446714 445717 443724
      442736 439741 437742 435739 430741 427745 424746 422743
      420740 420733 424724 428714 429703 430692 428685 424683
      419691 414701 411710 409720 406729 403740 402746 403753
      403761 403767 400776 399781 394784 389785 386787 381788
      378785 376779 377774 377768 374765 370765 368769 362778
      354797 352801 353806 358813 357819 356823 350832 347836
      346840 347848 349853 352860 357868 359872 362874 368878
      375873 380868 384863 386858 389855 390858 389861 389864
      387868 387873 386879 386888 388892 388898 387904 387909
      385915 385923 382935 379947 379951 380956 378961 378966
      380978 381985 380992 379005 379046 370050 363053
 0.01 363053 359054 357056 355063 356071 361076 368077 372079
      374086 372095 374098 378100 380102 380107 373122 373125
      375130 378133 383139 385145 388148 392149 397146 401140
      401134 403130 409127 411125 414126 417128 419133 418139
      416144 417151 418156 414162 410164 406163 403162 400165
      396168 391173 389176 388180 388185 389188 391191 394191
      401188 406184 411181 417180 420179 422182 423187 421192
      411201 406205 405210 406214 412217 407222 402223 396226
      389239 384242 381246 382250 387254 391257 394257 400260
      408263 417266 422270 430272 437272 444274 450277 465282
      473286 478290 487293 492290 497287 500279 500274 499271
      497263 492257 489252 485245 481238 484240 486243 489245
      492245 495245 497249 500254 504259 509262 513261 515259
 0.01 471140 470135 467132 464127 461124 458123 455120 460115
      464114 466111 464108 461109 456108 454105 453100 451099
      450102 449109 448116 448119 446119 439122 434122 430126
      428130 427137 427144 428149 430159 431164 434169 439175
      442176 444176 447174 448171 447167 447162 448155 450150
      451146 454144 470143 471140
 0.01 459776 459771 457769 455766 452765 447768 442772 439774
      438777 440784 443791 445798 448799 449794 452789 455784
      458778 459776
 0.01 455093 455091 456088 454087 453088 452089 450090 450092
      452095 453095 455093
 0.01 361733 359727 356725 349727 345730 341731 335734 329735
      325733 317727 314724 308722 304720 301717 298713 294715
      290718 284720 274725 255733 246739 240747 227760 218766
      217769 216775 216782 215788 216793 216796 218798 220803
      223806 227809 232810 242808 252804 259805 260811 264822
      267825 271827 274830 278832 288837 298839 304838 308835
      312826 315802 322793 327786 332778 334773 337768 343759
      345755 349752 357743 360738 361733
 0.25 512692 511680 509671 503657 499651 495647 493651 490659
      484671 482685 480693 477699 474705 470711 470719 474725
      482732 485739 486743 486749 485755 484763 484774 486784
      488790 492797 496801 499800 502798 505792 506784 510769
      510750 510730 510713 512692
 0.25 453253 453247 452244 447242 440243 433244 427246 420247
      414250 416255 418256 425258 433259 441259 446258 452253
      453253
 0.25 444072 441063 440055 436046 435042 435036 435017 435005
      435992 433973 432962 434950 437932 440914 441901 441892
      440867 438846 436837 431833 427832 425828 429821 431819
      432816 432809 432803 431792 431787 429782 427781 424784
      422787 419788 415790 413794 409800 406806 405817 406828
      408835 411842 412848 411854 409872 406893 404910 400929
      393965 391976 395984 399989 404986 406983 408986 408994
      405003 402011 399020 398028 397038 394046 392050 391056
      390060 387062 382067 379075 381082 385087 388089 392090
      397090 401092 403095 404101 405109 408112 412110 418106
      422102 424093 431092 434083 439076 444072
 0.25 413075 413074 412073 413071 412069 411070 411073 410075
      411077 411078 413076 413075
 0.25 314781 313772 311764 310758 309751 306748 298741 295738
      292733 289730 287729 284730 267741 262744 260748 258753
      254757 249764 245768 244772 247776 251780 261782 267788
      270793 273797 282801 291804 297804 304802 307800 310795
      313788 314781
 0.50 502741 502739 501736 501734 501731 501730 500731 499734
      499737 499739 498740 497742 497743 497745 497748 497750
      498752 499751 501749 501747 502744 502743 502741
 0.50 498771 499768 499765 499763 498760 498758 497756 495756
      494758 494761 494762 494764 493766 493769 493771 495774
      496774 496773 498771 498771
 0.50 431071 432063 431057 428046 426042 424035 426028 426020
      426004 427999 426994 422994 417996 414998 413003 413008
      412014 409024 407029 406037 406044 404049 403053 403056
      406060 410061 414060 419062 422066 420071 418076 416081
      412084 411091 412094 413095 417092 419088 423086 426087
      431071
 0.50 434890 434878 434871 433866 432863 429861 424865 420859
      417860 415865 413884 410903 409913 407922 406931 407937
      409939 414944 419944 424939 428932 432914 433904 434892
      434890
 0.50 426803 426801 425799 425798 423797 422797 420797 418797
      417799 417802 418804 418806 418809 418811 419812 421812
      423811 423810 424809 425808 425805 426803 426803
 0.50 397076 398071 396069 394068 392068 389069 387071 385074
      385075 386079 388080 391081 394080 396078 397076
 0.50 307782 304775 302770 299761 296756 290742 288739 286739
      280741 275746 274753 273760 270765 267772 269777 276788
      279794 284798 299798 304793 307786 307782
 1.00 425079 425077 424074 423074 422076 421076 421079 422080
      423081 425079
 1.00 425058 425057 425056 423054 422053 420052 418051 416050
      415050 413051 412052 413054 414055 416056 417057 418057
      419058 421058 423058 425058 425058
 1.00 424898 424895 424893 423892 423893 422894 422895 421898
      420899 420900 420901 422901 423900 424898 424898
 1.00 295777 295775 293771 293767 292765 289764 286764 283764
      281767 280769 280770 281773 282776 284779 286781 288782
      292781 295780 295777

$$





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