Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 131004
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
604 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 13/1200 UTC THRU JUL 16/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...


...PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST AND OHIO VALLEY INTO NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC...

AN ACTIVE PERIOD IS IN STORE FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY/MIDWEST INTO SOUTHERN LOWER MI AND THE OHIO VALLEY. A RARE
JULY SYNOPTIC SETUP WITH THE ANOMALOUS DEEP UPPER LOW PIVOTING
INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION
WILL COMBINE WITH THE FAVORABLE PRE-FRONTAL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE
IN GENERATING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WITH HEAVY TO IN SOME AREAS
POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS.  THE SHORTWAVE/VORT MAX
CUTTING UNDERNEATH A DIGGING ANOMALOUS UPPER TROUGH WILL SET THE
STAGE FOR VERY FAVORABLE RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION UPPER JET STREAK
DYNAMICS (DEEP LAYER ASCENT) VIA A 90-110 MB 250 MB JET MAX.
MEANWHILE...1.75 TO 2.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL
CONTINUE TO POOL INTO THE INITIAL SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WHICH
UNTIL MONDAY MORNING WILL REMAIN OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN SURFACE
COLD FRONT.

THE MODELS...ESPECIALLY THE HIGHER RESOLUTION/MESOSCALE GUIDANCE
VIA THEIR SIMULATED REFLECTIVITY OUTPUT CONTINUE TO SHOW THE
MULTI-CELLULAR/ LINEAR CONVECTION ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST/UPPER
GREAT LAKES REMAINING PROGRESSIVE...THOUGH AS PER CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS THE CONCERN IS THAT THE TAIL END OF THE ACTIVITY WILL GET
HUNG UP SOMEWHAT ALONG THE EASTERN NE/KS...IA/MO BORDERS INTO
IL...OR ESSENTIALLY ALONG THE PORTION OF THE FRONT THAT IS MORE
W-E ORIENTED (MORE PARALLEL TO THE MEAN FLOW). FARTHER
NORTH...WITH THE STRONGER WESTERLY 0-6KM BULK SHEAR WITH MORE OF A
SW-NE ORIENTED SURFACE FRONT...EXPECT THE CONVECTION TO CONTINUE A
SWIFT EASTWARD PROGRESSION...THUS ANTICIPATE THE EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL RISK TO DIMINISH QUICKLY ACROSS LOWER MI AND NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY THIS MORNING.

BY THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...THE ATTENTION WILL TURN TO
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY
AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC...WHERE AS PER THE SETUP
CURRENTLY UPSTREAM OF THIS AREA...THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL BECOME
MORE PARALLEL TO THE MEAN LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW THAN OTHERWISE. THE
AFOREMENTIONED ANOMALOUS DYNAMICAL SUPPORT (STRENGTHENING RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION UPPER DIVERGENCE AND LOW-MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS)
WITH THE STRONG HEIGHT FALLS INTO THE NORTHERN TIER STATES (500 MB
ANOMALIES 3-3.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL) WILL BE
JUXTAPOSED WITH A MOISTURE-RICH ENVIRONMENT AS PWATS REMAIN NEAR
2.00 INCHES. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
RATES...LOCALLY OVER 2 INCHES PER HOUR...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTN/EVENING WITH MUCAPES IN THE 1000-2000 J/KG RANGE.
MOREOVER...AS THE WSW LOW LEVEL INFLOW INCREASES AND BECOMES
NEARLY ALIGNED WITH THE 850-300 MB FLOW OVERNIGHT...THE MODELS
SHOW CORFIDI VECTORS WEAKENING WHILE HAVING MORE OF AN EASTERLY
COMPONENT (OPPOSITE OF THE CELL MOTIONS)...SUGGESTIVE OF UPWARD
PROPAGATION AND THUS BACK-BUILDING/TRAINING OF CONVECTION. WPC
NOTED AREAL-AVERAGE QPF BETWEEN 1 AND 2.5+ INCHES FROM SRN IL/IN
EASTWARD THROUGH NRN KY...SRN OH...AND CENTRAL/NRN WV...THOUGH
MUCH OF THE HIGHER RESOLUTION GUIDANCE SHOW ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER
4 INCHES.


...CENTRAL-SOUTHERN CO/NORTHERN NM/WESTERN KS...

THE TAIL END OF A SURFACE TROUGH SINKING SOUTH DOWN THE FRONT
RANGE OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND WEAK SHORT WAVE DYNAMICS DROPPING
SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH ERN CO ON THE ERN SIDE OF THE GREAT BASIN
RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR LINGERING MODERATE-HEAVY RAINFALL EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. THIS GIVEN THE PERSISTENT HIGH PWATS...AROUND 2 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE AVG...ALONG WITH THE EASTERLY (UPSLOPE) FLOW.
MEANWHILE...THE CONTINUED MOIST ENVIRONMENT (PWATS 1-1.25+ INCHES)
ALONG WITH THE LLVL EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW AND WEAK INSTBY (MUCAPES
~500 J/KG) WILL LIKELY GENERATE ADDITIONAL SCATTERED/NUMEROUS
CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS THIS AFTN/EVENING AND AGAIN INTO THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD. WHILE THE AREAL-COVERAGE OF THE HEAVIER RAIN CORES IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE AS WIDESPREAD...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
ADDITIONAL...MORE ISOLATED AREAS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS...PARTICULARLY SINCE THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES HAVE
LOWERED FOLLOWING THE RECENT ACTIVITY.


...SOUTHWEST...

AN UPPER LOW TRACKING WEST ACROSS NRN MEXICO AND UNDERNEATH THE
STRONG UPPER RIDGE CENTER OVER NV/UT WILL SET THE STAGE FOR
SCATTERED MONSOONAL CONVECTION WITH SOME SPOTS OF BETTER
ORGANIZATION. THE MOST OPPORTUNE AREAS INCLUDE WRN NM AND ERN
AZ...ESPECIALLY ALONG/NEAR THE MOGOLLON RIM... AS WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY STILL SHOWS ANOMALOUS MOISTURE CHANNEL SET UP THROUGH THIS
REGION. WPC FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE.


...SOUTHEAST...

A DECAYING SURFACE FRONT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST AND GULF COASTS WITH
A WEAK SHEAR ZONE/VORT LOBE ALOFT WILL AGAIN SET THE STAGE AGAIN
FOR MOSTLY DIURNAL AND SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY FROM COASTAL SC/SERN GA
TO SRN LA/SOUTHEAST TX AND ACROSS FL. THE COMBINATION OF THE WEAK
FORCING AND STEERING WITH POOLING OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE...PWS
AOA 2 TO 2.25 INCHES... SHOULD YIELD SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS. NO
DEFINITIVE LARGE SCALE AREAL AMOUNTS OR ORGANIZATION IS
ANTICIPATED FROM COASTAL SC TO SRN GA/NRN FL TO SRN LA/SERN TX BUT
THE MOST OPPORTUNE AREAS APPEAR TO BE SRN LA AND SERN SC... WHILE
ENHANCED SEA BREEZE RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FL
PENINSULA. OVERALL WPC FOLLOWED A COMPROMISE OF THE MODEL DATA
WITH THE QPF...AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD AVERAGE LESS THAN AN
INCH FOR MOST ON A 20KM SCALE...HOWEVER AS HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR
SEVERAL DAYS... ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 1-3+ INCHES WILL BE LIKELY
GIVEN THE DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE ALONG WITH THE SLOW STORM MOTION.

HURLEY


DAYS 2/3...


...MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR AND INSTABILITY ALONG AND AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT CROSSING THE REGION WILL FUEL CONVECTION THAT WILL
PRODUCE HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ON DAYS 2 AND 3. THERE IS
STILL SOME MODEL SPREAD CONCERNING THE EVOLUTION OF THE MID LEVEL
CLOSED LOW AND ITS LONG WAVE TROUGH...AND THE POSITION OF THE COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE EAST COAST...PARTICULARLY ON DAY 3. THE QPF WAS
BASED MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET...IN AN ATTEMPT
TO MITIGATE SOME OF THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE FASTER 00Z GFS AND
SLOWER 00Z ECMWF.

A SHORT WAVE EJECTED FROM THE STRONG CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT
LAKES WILL RIDE ALONG A COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM WESTERN PA/NY
STATE ACROSS OH VALLEY WILL ENHANCE LIFT ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND BETWEEN 14/21Z-15/06Z. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES JUMP ON THE NOSE OF A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET TO
GREATER THAN 2 INCHES (WHICH IS ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE NORMAL) ACROSS NORTHERN MD...SOUTHEAST PA... NJ AND
SOUTHEAST NY DURING THIS TIME. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE
INSTABILITY WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS...INDICATING THE POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG CONVECTION. SURFACE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE LEE SIDE
TROUGH SHOULD ACT AS THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION...AND THE AXIS OF
THE HIGHEST QPF. BASED ON THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE AIR
MASS...HIGH RAINFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE I95 CORRIDOR
ENDING AT 15/06Z. THE HIGH RAINFALL RATES SHOULD RESULT IN A SWATH
OF 1.00 TO 1.75 INCHES OF QPF EXTENDING FROM SOUTHWEST CT THROUGH
THE NYC METRO AREA INTO SOUTHEAST PA. WHILE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY MUCH HIGHER THAN THE QPF
VALUES...THE HIGH RAINFALL RATES COULD TRUMP THE GUIDANCE AND
RESULT IN THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. BASED ON THE ABOVE...A SLIGHT
RISK AREA WAS ASSIGNED TO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MD...SOUTHEAST
PA...MUCH OF NJ...SOUTHEAST NY AND PORTIONS OF CT.

THE NEXT SURGE OF MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR
WITH THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER SHORT WAVE DURING DAY 3. THERE IS SOME
MODEL SPREAD CONCERNING THE PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT AND THEREFORE
THE BEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...AS THE 00Z GFS IS FASTER WITH
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AND THE 00Z ECMWF IS SLOWER (AS IT HAS BEEN
FOR THE PAST FEW MODEL CYCLES). SINCE THE BEST MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY SHOULD BE TIED TO THE SHORT WAVE PASSAGE...A MIDDLE OF
THE ROAD APPROACH WAS USED FOR NOW CONCERNING THE PLACEMENT OF THE
FRONT AND AXIS OF HIGHEST QPF. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SHOULD
REMAIN CLOSE TO 1.75 INCHES AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE INSTABILITY AND A VEERING LOW LEVEL WIND
PROFILE...SUGGESTING ORGANIZED STRONG CONVECTION. GIVEN THE HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT AIR IN PLACE...AND POTENTIAL FOR HIGH RAINFALL
RATES...A LARGE AREA OF 1.25 TO 2.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS STRETCHED
OVER NORTHEAST MD...SOUTHEAST PA...MUCH OF NJ...SOUTHEAST NY AND
MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS WERE PLACED OVER
SOUTHEAST NY STATE...LONG ISLAND AND CT...CLOSEST TO THE BEST
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.

BECAUSE OF THE DIFFERENCE IN TIMING OF THE FRONT (AND RESIDENCE
TIME OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE AHEAD OF IT)...THERE IS A FAIRLY
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IN THE AMOUNTS AND PLACEMENT OF THE
HEAVIEST QPF. THE POSITION OF THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN WAS A BLEND
OF THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF...WITH THE AMOUNTS CLOSER TO THE HEAVIER 00Z
ECMWF AMOUNTS...BASED PRIMARILY ON THE DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE.
RAINFALL ON DAY 2 SHOULD LOWER THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD VALUES...AND
THE COMBINATION OF LOWER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE AND HIGH RAINFALL
RATES WARRANTED THE ISSUANCE OF A SLIGHT RISK AREA EXTENDING FROM
DE THROUGH MUCH OF NJ INTO SOUTHEAST NY AND MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND.


...MIDWEST/OH VALLEY...

HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
WILL FUEL CONVECTION ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND OH VALLEY ON DAY
2...RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.
THERE WAS DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL
SYNOPTIC SETUP...THOUGH THERE WERE STILL SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES
BETWEEN THE FASTER 00Z GFS AND SLOWER 00Z ECMWF SOLUTIONS. IN
ATTEMPT TO MITIGATE SOME OF THESE DIFFERENCES...THE QPF WAS BASED
ON A BLEND OF THE TWO AFOREMENTIONED SOLUTIONS.

A SHORT WAVE EJECTED FROM A STRONG CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES
WILL PARALLEL A COLD FRONT STRETCHING ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND
LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY. THE SHORT WAVE SHOULD ENHANCE SYNOPTIC
SCALE LIFT DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY...AND THE LIFT SHOULD
BE AUGMENTED BY DIVERGENCE IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A 100
KNOT JET STREAKING INTO ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. MODEL SOUNDINGS
EXTENDING ACROSS SOUTHERN OH...KY AND TN SHOWED MODERATE TO STRONG
INSTABILITY...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2.00
INCHES (WHICH IS ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) AND
LOW LEVEL VEERING...SUGGESTING CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION. AS
MENTIONED EARLIER...THE BEST SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS EXPECTED
BEFORE 15/00Z...COINCIDENT WITH THE BEST INSTABILITY. THE CLUSTERS
OF CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF 1.00 TO 2.00
INCHES OF QPF EXTENDING FROM WESTERN TN INTO MUCH OF BY INTO
SOUTHERNMOST OH AND WESTERN WV. THESE VALUES ARE CLOSE TO THE
THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IN SOME LOCATIONS...BUT IT IS HIGH
RAINFALL RATES AND TRAINING THAT RAISE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH
FLOODING. BECAUSE OF THIS...A SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS MAINTAINED
ACROSS MUCH OF TN...KY...SOUTHERN OH AND WESTERN WV.


...GULF COAST/FL/SOUTHEAST...

SEA AND GULF BREEZES WILL ACT AS FOCI FOR QPF ACROSS THE GULF
COAST...FL AND THE SOUTHEAST STATES ON DAY 2. FORCING AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE REGION WILL SET THE STAGE FOR
QPF ON DAY 3. FOR THE MOST PART...THERE WAS DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT
WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...THOUGH THERE WERE
STILL SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH THE FRONT ON DAY 3. IN AN
ATTEMPT TO MITIGATE SOME OF THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE FASTER 00Z
GFS AND SLOWER 00Z ECMWF...THE QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THESE
TWO MODEL SOLUTIONS.

IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONG SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT ON DAY 2 (WITH MID
LEVEL RIDGING STILL IN PLACE)...QPF SHOULD BE FOCUSED ON SEA AND
GULF BREEZE CONVERGENCE. MODEL SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE REGION SHOWED
MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG INSTABILITY AND PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR 1.75 INCHES ALONG WITH WEAK SHEAR. THIS SETUP SHOW
RESULT IN MAINLY 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
REGION...WITH LOCAL 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE COASTS OF THE FL PENINSULA. BASED ON
THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES...MUCH OF THE CONVECTION SHOULD BE
DONE SHORTLY AFTER 15/00Z.

A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE REGION ON DAY 3 WILL AS A THE
FOCUS FOR CONVECTION. A SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF MS/AL DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD WILL PRODUCE
SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT ACROSS THE REGION...AND CLUSTERS OF
CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONT. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOULD A
PRE FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT SIMILAR TO THAT OF DAY 2...THOUGH THE
INCREASED SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT SHOULD RESULT IN A MUCH MORE
WIDESPREAD QPF EVENT. A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
WAS PLACED OVER THE ENTIRE REGION...WITH A SWATH OF 0.50 TO 0.75
INCHES OF QPF PLACED ALONG THE BEST SURFACE CONVERGENCE ACROSS
SOUTHERN MS/AL INTO CENTRAL GA.


...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...

MOISTURE RETURNING NORTH ON A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL FEED DEVELOPING CONVECTION MAINLY
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 3. THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT
WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE QPF WAS BASED
MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

A SOUTH SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE
OF STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MIDWEST DURING DAY 3. THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL PUMP PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.50 INCHES
INTO  WESTERN NE/WESTERN KS/WESTERN OK AND NORTHERN TX DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE DAY. THE INCREASED MOISTURE WILL ALSO PROVIDE
MARGINAL INSTABILITY BACK INTO THIS REGION....PEAKING BETWEEN
16/06Z AND 16/12Z. A SHORT WAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL PROVIDE SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT...AND CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED TO BLOSSOM IN THE PRESENCE OF MOISTURE IN THE NOSE4 OF
THE LOW LEVEL JET. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD PEAK TOWARD 16/12Z...AND
THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SUGGEST THAT THE HIGHEST RAINFALL
RATES WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. BASED ON
THE ABOVE...A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED
HERE...WITH A SWAT OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF PLACED NEAR THE
PATH OF THE LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS WESTERN KS AND WESTERN NE.


...GREAT BASIN/SOUTHWEST/ROCKIES...

MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO FUEL SCATTERED TO BROKEN
CONVECTION ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...SOUTHWEST STATES...AND THE
ROCKIES ON DAY 2. FOR THE MOST PART...THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...WITH
THE MID LEVEL RIDGE THE MAIN FEATURE. BASED ON THIS...THE QPF WAS
BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS...WITH THE 00Z NAM UTILIZED
TO BETTER DEFINE HIGHER TERRAIN QPF MAXIMA.

ON DAY 2...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE ROCKIES
SHOULD SERVE TO FOCUS THE CONVECTION...AS UPSLOPE FLOW SERVES
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.25 INCHES INTO THE
FRONT RANGE OF THE CO AND NM ROCKIES. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED
MARGINAL INSTABILITY...AND THE RESULTANT CONVECTION SHOULD FAVOR
THE HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS AZ/NM AND CO. LOCAL 0.50 INCH AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN NM AND SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL CO...DUE TO THE UPSLOPE FLOW.

FURTHER NORTH...A SHORT WAVE TRACKING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE DAY.
THE SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT SHOULD MAKE THE MOST OF THE MARGINAL
INSTABILITY AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 0.75 INCHES TO
SPARK CONVECTION TIED MAINLY TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN. LOCAL UPSLOPE
SHOULD RESULT IN LOCAL 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES QPF AMOUNTS IN WESTERN
MT AND NORTHWEST WY.

ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWEST...CONDITIONS ON DAY 3 SHOULD
BE CLOSE TO THOSE OF DAY 2...AS MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND MONSOONAL
MOISTURE COMBINE TO PRODUCE QPF DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. THE HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS...BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.50
INCHES...SHOULD BE TIED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM/AZ/CO. FURTHER
NORTH... YET ANOTHER SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL
FOCUS CONVECTION ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WITH LOCAL 0.25 TO 0.50
INCH AMOUNTS IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF WESTERN MT AND NORTHWEST
WY.


HAYES


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 14/12Z
 0.01 529732 525720 521710 518700 513693 508686 503680 501676
      498674 490671 487670 488666 489661 488657 486655 480657
      476654 473649 467640 465637 461635 455638 451640 437651
      429668 426677 423686 421696 418705 417709 414712 408719
      391760 385769 385778 375790 368797 364807 361814 356821
      348834 346838 345842 347845 349846 352845 356846 353851
      349855 348858 349862 353864 356860 363852 366851 365857
      363869 359877 355883 351894 349902 355906 359908 360904
      359937 358952 358958 356962 350987 347997 346002 345007
      345010 342015 341022 341030 343041 343047 343050 340051
      331049 324050 322054 323059 326062 329063 335064 338067
      330071 327072 324076 323080 323085 320083 318080 312079
      310081 307080 292070 282065 277062 270060 261057 253059
      247064 240067 235072 233075 233079 235084 239086 245092
      255106 261113 268117 271118 276119 281120 285124 287129
      293128 297128 304129 309130 312129 318130 320132 332121
      345131 349133 354134 363137 368136 374136 380124 385118
      394112 393109 389109 382110 363116 356109 357106 361103
      364100 366095 366090 364087 363084 367082 369081 372085
      376086 380083 385077 392073 396067 400064 404063 406064
      414066 416064 419063 422068 424072 427075 431079 430083
      427084 424087 423091 424094 428098 432100 437101 441101
      445100 449097 451094 448091 443090 440087 436079 436076
      438074 443076 448079 448075 447072 444068 436063 428055
      426052 425048 426040 423029 420022 413015 413011 418010
      436038 439041 442038 442031 441026 439016 436007 432994
      430980 430963 430957 430951 436930 442909 445899 446887
 0.01 446887 449876 452865 454852 455846 454838 451834 448833
      444841 439849 434861 431869 428879 424891 420902 417911
      410916 406914 403909 401905 402899 404889 407877 409865
      411852 418834 422830 428829 438827 444820 449813 455804
      462797 471812 487823 490826 494826 502821 509816 514814
      516809 524789 526783 527776 527761 528745 528736 529732
 0.01 535989 534982 533978 530970 524949 518931 517924 517917
      517910 515905 513897 511892 507892 503893 500896 495903
      488901 484901 481899 475893 473890 471883 470878 469872
      468862 463856 460854 458857 457862 457867 458877 464898
      466908 466915 465918 465925 463929 460940 459950 459954
      460960 464967 467969 470971 470974 472982 477989 490000
      495003 504004 508004 512006 517007 519005 523005 524004
      529000 532995 535989
 0.01 489218 489214 487211 481211 475213 472214 469212 469207
      468205 464201 457199 457195 459191 463186 467183 467180
      464178 460178 458180 452194 449200 449203 446201 444201
      441197 439197 436196 432197 427200 433229 435235 436238
      434240 432243 433246 436249 441249 451247 463243 467239
      467235 465233 461231 457230 457224 466216 467220 470222
      474222 489218
 0.01 404947 404937 403932 402929 399924 397926 397931 394947
      391965 389972 384975 380977 380979 377988 377993 378997
      382997 382001 385003 387999 389990 394977 398963 401956
      403948 404947
 0.01 381927 381925 382922 382920 380919 379920 379922 378923
      377925 376927 377929 379929 380929 381927
 0.01 367849 367847 367845 367842 367840 367838 366837 364837
      362837 361837 359839 361841 363843 363844 363845 365847
      365849 367851 367849
 0.01 352777 351775 348776 345779 342781 340779 336775 329776
      325777 322779 316781 309783 282785 275784 271784 267785
      263786 261784 254784 245791 242796 239800 237805 238813
      241818 246823 254828 264833 272841 281848 287851 290855
      292871 292879 292884 291887 289895 289899 286901 280902
      278908 275920 275924 274927 273935 274944 276950 288968
      294967 301964 311960 313958 313953 314947 314940 316934
      318927 319918 320900 320886 319869 319861 319856 320851
      320843 321836 322829 325823 327819 331814 338803 344794
      346789 349785 352777
 0.01 277799 275797 273796 271796 271795 269794 268794 266794
      264795 262795 261797 262797 264797 266797 268798 270798
      272799 274800 276800 277799
 0.25 510771 509765 507761 505760 500761 494766 490771 485776
      479782 477784 476790 479792 483793 490793 494792 498791
      504789 508781 510773 510771
 0.25 484702 484696 483692 480685 470678 467678 463680 458686
      449698 440707 432718 427723 421728 416729 411735 406740
      402746 397758 391771 389780 385788 378798 371810 371846
      368862 366870 366878 366883 369884 369894 368912 369917
      371920 374918 376916 382904 384896 385886 387876 389867
      393853 396847 398840 403826 405822 408819 414815 421811
      428810 430805 424801 422800 421796 423791 425788 427784
      430787 432795 433808 435811 437811 441808 446802 451794
      456789 462785 469783 472778 474770 475761 476751 475739
      475734 476729 480723 483712 484702
 0.25 461666 459661 455662 451664 447668 444671 442674 440680
      442681 445678 448674 453673 456674 459671 461666
 0.25 421964 421956 420952 417954 416957 412961 410963 408968
      408975 409980 412984 415985 418982 419976 420971 421964
      421964
 0.25 417052 417047 415044 410040 403043 401043 400039 396037
      392031 389029 389024 383018 379016 374017 368019 365016
      364013 364005 364000 361000 372965 373956 372953 368954
      364961 361971 358979 357984 357990 358998 356003 355009
      354021 354026 356029 359031 360034 359038 355047 354053
      353056 352058 354061 357064 359069 362070 366069 370064
      369059 371057 376062 380064 386064 391060 397057 401055
      403051 399048 399045 404047 406048 406051 409053 412053
      417052
 0.25 402869 403862 402859 400860 399864 398870 397876 397881
      396888 397893 399888 400883 400878 401871 402869
 0.25 385031 386029 384028 382028 380028 379031 378031 378033
      377035 376037 377037 378037 380037 382036 383035 383033
      384032 385031
 0.25 378078 378076 379074 378071 376069 375067 374066 373066
      374069 375069 375071 375073 375075 375078 376080 377078
      378078
 0.25 354120 355116 353115 349110 345102 342091 341086 339082
      338081 332080 332086 334091 334099 338108 341118 343124
      345126 347125 343117 349117 354120 354120
 0.25 335058 334057 332056 330056 329056 327056 326057 327057
      328059 330059 332059 334059 335058
 0.25 329809 330803 328798 326795 321793 319789 315789 310790
      306792 303795 303798 307799 310798 319794 321799 320806
      315811 312814 313818 317818 321817 326814 328811 329809
 0.25 319116 319110 319106 309100 304094 299084 297082 292079
      283075 276071 271068 266068 262069 259072 258075 259078
      261082 272098 272100 269101 264099 260098 260101 262102
      265105 269108 275109 278109 281111 287118 290121 295122
      300120 303121 306125 309126 316119 319116
 0.25 306928 307920 307911 306908 304906 299904 293907 293913
      295920 295925 295927 298929 301928 302932 305934 306928
 0.25 302823 298821 292820 281817 276814 274811 276809 278807
      273803 267802 259805 250810 251814 253816 257818 267823
      272824 279825 285826 290824 294826 298826 302825 302823
 0.25 300945 301943 299941 299943 298945 299946 300945
 0.25 298949 298947 297945 297947 297949 297950 298949
 0.50 468762 467754 462751 457753 452756 446763 440772 438778
      438787 437799 437803 438805 442800 445789 449778 452774
      456771 466766 468762
 0.50 460704 457705 455709 452712 447714 438717 434720 430725
      422731 414736 406744 401753 394773 391787 384795 379802
      376812 375818 376827 374842 372852 370865 370877 372893
      372901 372905 374906 378903 380900 382894 383887 386872
      387861 392851 396840 399828 402818 406808 413800 418790
      418785 417782 414779 413776 414774 417769 436761 440752
      445744 450733 454722 460715 460704
 0.50 393052 392047 389044 385045 381048 372049 369050 365049
      358051 355055 357059 360062 359065 361067 362063 362059
      365056 373053 376053 381055 386056 390054 393052
 0.50 370037 370034 370032 370030 370029 369030 368030 366032
      365034 364035 364036 363038 362041 364042 365042 367042
      368041 369039 369037 370037
 0.50 366976 367974 366972 367970 366968 365969 365972 364972
      364974 363976 362977 362978 362981 362983 363983 364982
      365981 365978 366977 366976
 0.50 348112 348111 347110 346108 345107 344106 343107 342107
      342109 342110 343111 344113 345114 346114 347113 348112
 0.50 342098 341096 341093 340093 339091 338093 338095 338097
      340099 342098
 0.50 315112 314108 312106 309104 306104 300101 294101 287098
      294095 297089 296085 294083 280076 275073 270072 268074
      273089 283099 286104 289112 290115 294116 301116 307119
      309122 311120 315112
 0.50 276822 274818 272814 268813 265811 262809 258809 256814
      259816 263818 266819 270822 274822 276822
 1.00 437741 437739 437737 435737 433737 433740 432742 432744
      434745 435744 436743 437742 437741
 1.00 417748 416743 411744 408747 406750 404755 407759 406764
      407766 410763 413758 414755 416750 417748
 1.00 403790 395790 390798 383802 380807 379812 380824 378835
      374856 373867 374880 374889 374893 376896 378896 379893
      381887 382877 384866 385859 387855 391848 395838 397829
      399818 398805 401795 403790
 1.50 396826 396816 394812 394807 394800 388801 383806 382809
      381814 382818 382823 382832 380840 377848 375864 375871
      376880 378882 380881 382873 382865 383857 391844 393838
      395830 396826
 2.00 392819 391806 389803 387807 384816 384829 382841 382845
      379848 378859 380859 382854 388847 390838 392826 392819
 2.00 381873 381870 381868 381866 380864 379864 378863 378864
      377866 377868 377871 377873 377875 377876 378877 379878
      379877 380875 381874 381873
 3.00 389829 389826 388824 388827 387829 389829 389829
 3.00 388836 388833 388831 387829 386831 385833 385834 385836
      385838 385840 386842 386840 387838 387837 388836

24HR QP VT 15/12Z
 0.01 466622 468627 468635 467646 466655 466659 468661 470663
      474665 476669 474680 470689 465697 462703 462709 468708
      472705 474705 477706 478707 479711 479719 477724 473733
      468739 462746 454754 456778 455785 454796 454803 453807
      452813 453818 464836 469847 471861 473867 475872 478877
      483877 489881 493878 496879 501880 500885 499898 513907
      515910 515914 517918 517925 514937 511942 509947 504955
      501959 500964 496972 493976 490979 482987 475992 466991
      463990 459987 456982 453976 450964 448953 447947 445942
      442935 435931 431929 427932 421941 413957 410969 406981
      404986 401989 394994 390994 389992 387998 389010 388017
      386022 382033 381036 384040 390046 394052 402053 405058
      402058 396058 392061 385066 382069 381075 374080 365084
      368093 364096 363103 363110 364116 368126 364131 358136
      348135 344132 343135 351148 352153 347152 342154 341155
      339157 340159 343166 345170 342173 336169 324166 319164
      314161 308155 304153 305148 315148 321147 320142 316131
      314122 308116 303111 298105 266086 263082 258080 254078
      248077 241072 238063 236054 242046 245044 249046 258052
      271061 278064 282065 285065 286062 284057 284055 291056
      294056 296054 300055 304053 312049 318050 323048 329044
      334041 332036 326029 323020 321014 321007 322993 324988
      324980 325976 324972 321961 319954 316952 313955 307960
      303964 299964 296964 294966 292966 291963 289957 294945
      295940 296934 295931 294928 292929 290931 288927 289923
      288916 287906 287891 286877 285872 283868 279859 271848
      265840 258834 250831 243826 241823 239817 238812 238807
      242799 244795 248791 286776 303769
 0.01 303769 306767 311766 314764 319762 321760 326759 335754
      340751 345749 348747 352744 355743 362737 373726 385715
      395703 401697 406691 411685 414677 417669 421660 426642
      430634
 0.01 534177 534172 532167 528161 515148 512146 508146 503145
      500144 496141 493137 488127 482112 477104 475100 474093
      461081 447068 439067 433068 431073 431077 438081 444083
      448086 450090 446089 428085 412102 408093 404095 400099
      395098 394102 391105 387107 384108 381111 377117 375121
      374127 372134 373138 376147 380147 384145 382135 383127
      386125 391118 394115 397115 401114 404116 410111 410107
      413108 421111 427112 431114 433118 434123 429130 426132
      425134 419140 417146 416153 416158 418161 421157 422152
      424147 428143 432141 435144 445156 448155 450155 450158
      453163 452170 450174 453177 458177 461178 463175 462170
      464167 467168 471168 474163 476165 477169 480178 480193
      483196 485198 485202 481204 478206 476210 475212 478214
      482214 486212 490211 495214 497216 500217 499212 500206
      501202 500197 499191 501186 503184 506185 511186 514185
      518183 520178 525177 531179 534177
 0.01 391202 386195 381188 379185 375182 367178 359180 352183
      351186 355185 365189 372194 375197 380199 383201 389202
      391202
 0.01 371754 369753 367753 366755 364755 362756 360756 359757
      357759 356761 354764 356765 358764 359763 361762 363761
      364760 366758 368758 369757 371754
 0.25 493155 494151 494145 490140 485138 483133 478127 477125
      473124 470125 469128 470135 473140 478144 482148 486152
      490156 493155
 0.25 484922 483911 480902 473882 467866 463858 460854 456852
      454852 451855 448863 446873 444878 444884 443895 445901
      444904 444909 447912 452919 460935 464940 469940 472937
      478933 483927 484922
 0.25 455651 454644 449643 441647 437651 435654 433660 432667
      431672 429678 423687 416695 410704 399717 393724 390736
      389741 386747 382756 373776 371787 368795 364806 359814
      352822 347829 342839 339852 335861 331867 328872 327877
      325888 325896 326904 325918 324932 324939 327943 330945
      334945 339943 341941 345937 349936 356942 358936 359929
      363927 364921 367909 373899 377891 379893 379899 379906
      379914 379923 378928 377941 377948 381950 386949 389944
      390946 390954 388966 389972 391972 395970 398967 405958
      409949 410942 411934 410927 408922 404910 395895 392892
      391886 391878 391873 392871 398862 399855 399848 401835
      404831 408827 422825 424826 427826 430823 437814 443803
      444798 443790 441779 441773 441764 442754 443743 441726
      442712 442706 442697 440690 442686 449676 451671 453666
      455657 455651
 0.25 436100 437098 436095 434094 433092 431091 430090 428089
      426089 425091 426092 427094 427095 429096 429097 431098
      432099 432100 434100 436100 436100
 0.25 429800 429798 428796 427796 425798 424800 423801 422803
      422804 422806 421808 421810 421811 421813 423813 424812
      425810 426809 427808 427806 428805 429802 429800
 0.25 371050 370046 369043 363035 360014 362007 365995 366967
      364958 362954 357951 355960 354974 354980 352983 349992
      345001 344015 343026 344032 342039 338047 331052 327055
      326057 332064 333067 332072 329076 329080 330083 333091
      332101 324103 325107 329110 333112 336115 340122 343126
      346126 347124 346120 352121 355118 353115 348108 345100
      344096 345093 344087 341080 337071 340066 343064 347062
      353063 359062 363057 367054 371050
 0.25 323111 324106 321104 319103 317103 314103 311105 311109
      313111 315113 316115 318117 320115 322113 323111
 0.25 322784 320782 316782 309786 303789 295791 286793 284795
      285798 290801 298804 304806 311805 316799 319793 322785
      322784
 0.25 304089 305087 304086 304085 303084 301083 299082 297082
      296082 295081 294081 292081 290082 289083 288085 290087
      291088 293089 295090 297090 299090 300090 302090 304090
      304089
 0.25 304825 302822 298820 290816 283814 273813 268813 264811
      263808 267806 275806 274803 272802 268801 264801 258802
      254804 252806 254811 253816 255818 261819 268821 276825
      283829 290833 295838 299849 301847 301841 300830 296824
      302827 304825
 0.25 254063 255061 253059 252057 250056 248056 247056 246056
      244058 245060 246061 248062 249063 251064 253064 254063
 0.50 479914 478909 475903 473899 471893 468878 466873 464868
      460866 456865 454867 451879 450885 450890 451894 452899
      450903 451908 455912 462918 466921 470922 474920 478917
      479914
 0.50 451659 450655 448654 445655 441657 440658 438661 438666
      438670 441674 444673 446671 448667 450665 451662 451659
 0.50 435698 435695 432694 428695 423699 418703 410713 403725
      398735 392748 388760 387770 389774 391778 392784 390789
      384792 381796 373806 364817 357824 352828 348833 346838
      344846 344854 341862 335871 332876 331885 332893 331902
      329909 328917 329923 334924 340923 346920 350914 351911
      349909 352903 355903 356908 358909 362908 364904 369891
      372877 375874 378873 382868 384866 387865 390865 393859
      395851 396842 396833 401820 407811 410805 410801 409798
      404794 402791 403788 410775 414764 417759 421753 424748
      428741 430735 432728 434721 434713 435698
 0.50 435768 434763 432766 431769 430771 428776 428779 428784
      429788 431788 433785 434783 434780 435775 435770 435768
 0.50 398922 398920 397917 396915 395917 395920 395922 396924
      398922
 0.50 362992 362987 362985 360982 359983 357985 356989 355993
      354996 353000 353003 353005 356005 358004 360002 361998
      362994 362992
 0.50 351013 351011 349013 351014 351013
 1.00 424729 423723 420721 417722 414725 408732 403740 399747
      397751 396756 396763 399766 404766 408763 413756 417747
      420737 424729
 1.00 393817 393809 392800 390798 387798 383802 380807 377812
      372816 368821 352837 351843 355846 358851 358856 357859
      351868 342875 339879 339888 336902 336906 338907 341903
      348892 353890 359889 363888 364886 366879 370867 373861
      377857 382855 385850 388836 391826 393817
 1.50 415739 414737 412737 410738 409740 408742 408745 409747
      410747 411745 412744 413742 413741 414740 415739
 1.50 387822 387818 386814 384813 383816 380820 379823 376824
      369835 367840 367849 365854 362861 357870 356874 357878
      359880 362878 366867 371853 373849 377844 380830 384827
      387822

24HR QP VT 16/12Z
 0.01 487614 493619 495621 496628 498634 500642 502658 502665
      502674 502679 502686 502697 501706 500713 499719 497730
      496741 493754 492761 490766 488773 485776 484778 481779
      479784 480788 481804 481829 480834 478840 472848 469857
      469863 466867 465871 461875 460880 458884 456886 450887
      446891 442894 425884 423881 418879 411875 409872 408866
      410861 413856 418851 421849 423844 422832 415828 411824
      406825 400830 396831 391833 384839 380847 374855 368865
      361874 356880 351887 348898 346908 343930 341941 336949
      330956 331960 334958 345958 348960 353960 363957 368954
      372954 382954 387956 391956 404969 421982 429994 431999
      434004 438014 441023 443028 445032 454047 466063 469068
      469073 471083 471088 472091 474097 474105 483110 486112
      487116 488123 495127 501133 505142 506151 505154 503159
      500160 492158 488155 483154 473152 470153 465152 459151
      455147 449138 445133 443127 443121 443116 436110 430100
      422096 398121 397124 396129 399137 402141 403146 402159
      396166 384167 380170 380176 382188 385196 385199 383201
      379200 372194 363188 357183 357180 361179 367177 365172
      363161 359157 357153 356149 353145 343133 340131 338127
      336122 332119 328119 327122 324123 320123 315119 311116
      306116 303116 298114 290110 284104 263078 259072 261068
      264068 267070 273070 284070 292066 303062 314060 319060
      322055 325052 327050 329044 329038 326029 325023 323021
      320020 317018 312018 303020 300017 298013 293005 291000
      290993 289989 289983 293965 295955 295940 284935 283930
      282922 268886 266876 266871 266864
 0.01 266864 266854 266843 265830 264827 262826 261821 254817
      247813 247808 242805 239803 236804 228807 227802 228798
      232790 239785 247780 253776 259770 266765 272760 277759
      280756 286755 290753 295751 299748 312738 328729 336724
      343719 350714 358709 373700 378699 382697 394694 404691
      411686 417679 423672 431657 433647 434641 434635 437636
      441635 445632 447628
 0.25 484636 482631 480626 476622 471625 464632 456638 447647
      443651 439655 430673 424681 417689 410695 403702 396710
      387718 366728 357731 344734 336737 325742 316748 309755
      301763 295771 283785 280788 279793 277797 273800 265804
      260804 255806 268820 278837 281846 285857 284871 281875
      278880 280888 282894 287902 290911 291917 294922 298931
      301935 302940 302945 300952 301959 305957 311949 314945
      319943 327940 330937 333931 333920 335910 337899 338893
      341888 345878 344871 346864 351857 358850 362843 367833
      372824 375819 379815 395801 404783 407780 411777 420773
      424770 429765 440760 447752 451750 454750 457739 460726
      468707 472695 475682 479671 482659 483647 484636
 0.25 475129 472123 467120 462118 457113 458103 456098 452094
      441089 436088 435092 436095 444104 452112 453117 452121
      453126 455132 458136 464136 469133 475129
 0.25 474780 471773 468772 463775 460773 456772 456777 453782
      451784 447784 439782 435788 433792 432797 431806 432812
      434816 438822 441830 445838 447841 451842 457838 460832
      461826 460820 459811 466797 469790 473783 474780
 0.25 455081 453069 449058 446046 444040 441036 437033 432032
      428030 425026 419016 416012 411008 395999 387994 382992
      375992 366994 356998 338007 339010 343015 349020 355029
      366029 376027 382027 386029 389035 389041 386046 381043
      378041 373041 370045 365047 360049 357053 352064 357073
      357080 359083 365092 368093 369089 369085 372085 375084
      380085 382083 385079 388073 393071 399074 402072 416060
      422062 426065 429068 432074 436079 439081 442080 450082
      455081
 0.25 384124 382123 381122 379123 378123 377124 375125 374127
      375129 375130 376131 378131 379130 380128 382127 383126
      384125 384124
 0.25 379155 380148 380140 379135 378134 375132 373129 370129
      368127 368122 358116 353114 347116 345120 344124 345127
      349131 354133 359132 363133 367130 371134 373140 373147
      370151 370154 373156 379155
 0.25 382058 381056 380056 379055 377054 376054 374054 372055
      370057 372058 373058 375058 377059 379060 380060 382058
 0.25 348086 347081 343076 338073 333075 327076 326078 326083
      329088 333092 336097 340098 342096 343091 343087 348086
 0.25 343111 342111 341109 341108 340106 339106 338106 338108
      339109 340111 341111 342112 343111
 0.25 323102 322097 320092 314085 310083 303082 290080 284079
      281081 283085 288089 294089 300089 306090 309094 309097
      306097 302099 300104 301106 304108 310108 315110 319109
      323104 323102
 0.50 476656 476650 474644 471640 468641 464644 459645 451650
      444659 438668 428684 423690 415698 411704 403710 388723
      373735 367739 358741 349743 339747 329751 322758 309772
      305779 301788 300792 299797 302801 305804 309809 311815
      315819 318816 326810 327812 326815 325818 319825 317828
      316835 317841 316847 314856 309867 307878 306883 309886
      313888 316892 318902 321905 325907 327904 329899 330896
      329891 327885 327879 328871 330868 339863 343856 346853
      350851 353848 356844 359842 362838 363833 363828 364822
      360819 357819 353821 347828 343829 338826 331829 329825
      330820 338815 344815 353812 360805 366795 373789 386777
      389775 394773 403770 411764 417756 425748 432743 439739
      446732 450725 455715 458705 463696 469686 472678 473672
      475666 476656
 0.50 442057 426043 414019 408012 399004 389999 384997 378997
      373999 370004 359009 356014 356020 359025 364025 368021
      369013 370009 373009 381009 390015 400021 408030 415039
      418040 419043 421049 430057 437060 441060 442057
 0.50 395796 396791 394787 392787 391788 388790 387792 386795
      384798 383802 382804 385804 387803 389801 392799 393798
      395796
 0.50 397044 397041 396039 395041 394041 393043 394044 396044
      397044
 0.50 376080 377078 377076 377073 377071 376070 376069 375067
      374066 373065 371065 371066 372068 373069 374071 374073
      375075 375078 375080 376080
 0.50 378051 377051 376050 374048 372048 370049 369049 367050
      365051 364052 365053 367053 368052 369052 370051 372051
      374051 376051 377051 378051
 0.50 368066 368065 366063 364063 362063 361063 359065 360066
      362067 362068 364068 366069 367068 367067 368066
 0.50 316930 317924 316922 314922 312920 311916 308905 306895
      304891 298892 295895 294899 295911 298920 302928 304932
      308935 312935 315932 316930
 1.00 454671 453668 450666 445671 435683 431691 428697 413708
      403718 392729 382740 373754 370759 363763 359770 356779
      360790 364788 367785 372778 375770 379765 386761 389760
      392763 397763 403759 409753 414746 424735 428729 433720
      436715 440709 445702 450694 452689 454683 454671
 1.00 396011 395010 395009 394008 392007 390006 388005 388004
      387004 386004 387005 388006 388007 390007 391009 392009
      394010 395011 396011
 1.00 342777 342773 339771 333772 328773 323777 319780 315785
      313790 313794 315796 321795 326793 331790 335787 339782
      342777
 1.50 425722 425715 422711 418710 414713 408720 402727 397734
      395738 395744 396753 396756 400755 406749 411741 413737
      417734 420731 422727 425722
 2.00 421721 420715 417714 414718 411720 409724 405728 404732
      404738 407737 410735 413732 416729 419725 421721

$$




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