River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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077
FGUS51 KTAR 191608
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1106 AM EST Thu Jan 19 2017
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.95 ft at Jan-19 10:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     3.9/     3.9
.E2 :0120:/     3.8/     3.8/     3.8/     4.0
.E3 :0121:/     4.1/     4.0/     4.0/     3.9
.E4 :0122:/     3.8/     3.8
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.25 ft at Jan-19 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.1
.E2 :0120:/     3.1/     3.0/     2.9/     2.9
.E3 :0121:/     2.9/     3.0/     3.1/     3.1
.E4 :0122:/     3.1/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.09/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.56 ft at Jan-19 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     4.8/     5.0
.E2 :0120:/     5.0/     4.9/     4.8/     4.5
.E3 :0121:/     4.3/     4.1/     4.0/     3.8
.E4 :0122:/     3.7/     3.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.08/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.81 ft at Jan-19 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.6
.E2 :0120:/     3.5/     3.4/     3.3/     3.3
.E3 :0121:/     3.6/     3.8/     4.0/     3.9
.E4 :0122:/     3.8/     3.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.19/ 0.07/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.92 ft at Jan-19 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     1.9/     1.7
.E2 :0120:/     1.6/     1.5/     1.5/     1.4
.E3 :0121:/     2.0/     2.2/     2.1/     1.9
.E4 :0122:/     1.7/     1.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.69 ft at Jan-19 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     4.6/     4.6
.E2 :0120:/     4.5/     4.4/     4.3/     4.3
.E3 :0121:/     4.5/     4.7/     4.6/     4.5
.E4 :0122:/     4.4/     4.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.10 ft at Jan-19 10:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     4.0/     3.9
.E2 :0120:/     3.7/     3.6/     3.4/     3.6
.E3 :0121:/     4.0/     4.1/     3.9/     3.8
.E4 :0122:/     3.7/     3.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.76 ft at Jan-19 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.5
.E2 :0120:/     3.3/     3.2/     3.0/     3.0
.E3 :0121:/     2.9/     2.8/     2.9/     3.0
.E4 :0122:/     3.0/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.75 ft at Jan-19 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     5.7/     5.7
.E2 :0120:/     5.6/     5.6/     5.6/     5.8
.E3 :0121:/     6.0/     6.0/     5.9/     5.8
.E4 :0122:/     5.8/     5.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.21/ 0.03/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 11.22 ft at Jan-19 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/    11.1/    11.0
.E2 :0120:/    10.9/    10.8/    10.8/    10.8
.E3 :0121:/    10.9/    11.1/    11.3/    11.3
.E4 :0122:/    11.2/    11.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.19/ 0.07/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 642.90 ft at Jan-19 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/   642.3/   641.3
.E2 :0120:/   640.2/   638.8/   637.5/   636.1
.E3 :0121:/   634.7/   633.3/   632.1/   631.0
.E4 :0122:/   630.0/   628.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 29.20 ft at Jan-19 10:15 am
:
.ER AVON6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/    29.3/    29.2
.E2 :0120:/    29.1/    29.0/    28.9/    28.8
.E3 :0121:/    28.7/    28.6/    28.7/    28.7
.E4 :0122:/    28.6/    28.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.08/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.49 ft at Jan-19 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :0120:/     3.5/     3.4/     3.4/     3.3
.E3 :0121:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3
.E4 :0122:/     3.2/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.08/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.35 ft at Jan-19 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.3
.E2 :0120:/     3.1/     2.9/     2.7/     2.5
.E3 :0121:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4/     2.3
.E4 :0122:/     2.3/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.06/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 11.15 ft at Jan-19 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/    11.1/    11.1
.E2 :0120:/    11.0/    10.9/    10.8/    10.7
.E3 :0121:/    10.6/    10.5/    10.5/    10.5
.E4 :0122:/    10.5/    10.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.06/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.64 ft at Jan-19 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     1.6/     1.5
.E2 :0120:/     1.5/     1.5/     1.4/     1.4
.E3 :0121:/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4/     1.5
.E4 :0122:/     1.5/     1.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.08/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 687.55 ft at Jan-19 10:45 am
:
.ER CNDN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/   687.6/   687.6
.E2 :0120:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
.E3 :0121:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
.E4 :0122:/   687.7/   687.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.07/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.48 ft at Jan-19 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     4.5/     4.5
.E2 :0120:/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5
.E3 :0121:/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5
.E4 :0122:/     4.5/     4.5
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.36 ft at Jan-19 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     5.1/     5.1
.E2 :0120:/     5.1/     5.1/     5.1/     5.1
.E3 :0121:/     5.1/     5.1/     5.1/     5.1
.E4 :0122:/     5.2/     5.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.59 ft at Jan-19 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     4.0/     4.0
.E2 :0120:/     4.0/     3.9/     3.9/     3.9
.E3 :0121:/     3.9/     3.9/     3.9/     3.9
.E4 :0122:/     3.9/     3.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.03 ft at Jan-19 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20170119 E DC201701191106/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0119:       ::       ::/     5.0/     5.0
.E2 :0120:/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0/     4.9
.E3 :0121:/     4.9/     4.9/     4.9/     4.9
.E4 :0122:/     4.9/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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