River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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368
FGUS51 KTAR 151616
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1115 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.71 ft at Dec-15 11:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :1216:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :1217:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E4 :1218:/     3.5/     3.5
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.18 ft at Dec-15 11:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.0
.E2 :1216:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E3 :1217:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E4 :1218:/     2.0/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.68 ft at Dec-15 11:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     1.9/     1.9
.E2 :1216:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E3 :1217:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E4 :1218:/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.24 ft at Dec-15 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.0
.E2 :1216:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E3 :1217:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E4 :1218:/     2.0/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.64 ft at Dec-15 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     1.0/     1.0
.E2 :1216:/     1.0/     1.0/     1.0/     1.0
.E3 :1217:/     1.0/     0.9/     0.9/     0.9
.E4 :1218:/     0.9/     0.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.08 ft at Dec-15 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.6
.E2 :1216:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :1217:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E4 :1218:/     3.5/     3.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.79 ft at Dec-15 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     2.7/     2.7
.E2 :1216:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.6/     2.6
.E3 :1217:/     2.6/     2.6/     2.6/     2.6
.E4 :1218:/     2.6/     2.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.39 ft at Dec-15 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     2.1/     2.1
.E2 :1216:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1
.E3 :1217:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1
.E4 :1218:/     2.1/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.52 ft at Dec-15 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     4.5/     4.6
.E2 :1216:/     4.6/     4.6/     4.6/     4.6
.E3 :1217:/     4.6/     4.6/     4.6/     4.6
.E4 :1218:/     4.6/     4.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.25 ft at Dec-15 11:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     9.5/     9.3
.E2 :1216:/     9.0/     9.1/     9.1/     9.1
.E3 :1217:/     9.1/     9.1/     9.1/     9.1
.E4 :1218:/     9.1/     9.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 589.56 ft at Dec-15 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/   590.1/   590.1
.E2 :1216:/   590.1/   590.1/   590.1/   590.1
.E3 :1217:/   590.1/   590.1/   590.1/   590.1
.E4 :1218:/   590.1/   590.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 18.87 ft at Dec-15 11:00 am
:
.ER AVON6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/    16.5/    16.6
.E2 :1216:/    16.8/    16.9/    16.9/    16.8
.E3 :1217:/    16.6/    16.5/    16.4/    16.4
.E4 :1218:/    16.6/    16.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.88 ft at Dec-15 11:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     2.9/     2.9
.E2 :1216:/     2.9/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8
.E3 :1217:/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8
.E4 :1218:/     2.8/     2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.06 ft at Dec-15 11:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.0
.E2 :1216:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E3 :1217:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E4 :1218:/     2.0/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.16 ft at Dec-15 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     5.1/     5.1
.E2 :1216:/     5.1/     5.1/     5.1/     5.1
.E3 :1217:/     5.1/     5.0/     4.9/     4.9
.E4 :1218:/     4.9/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.33 ft at Dec-15 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     0.7/     0.7
.E2 :1216:/     0.7/     0.7/     0.7/     0.7
.E3 :1217:/     0.7/     0.7/     0.7/     0.7
.E4 :1218:/     0.7/     0.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/   687.5/   687.5
.E2 :1216:/   687.5/   687.4/   687.4/   687.4
.E3 :1217:/   687.4/   687.4/   687.4/   687.4
.E4 :1218:/   687.4/   687.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.40 ft at Dec-15 10:32 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     4.4/     4.4
.E2 :1216:/     4.4/     4.3/     4.3/     4.3
.E3 :1217:/     4.3/     4.3/     4.3/     4.3
.E4 :1218:/     4.3/     4.3
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.83 ft at Dec-15 11:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.8
.E2 :1216:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8
.E3 :1217:/     4.8/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7
.E4 :1218:/     4.7/     4.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.75 ft at Dec-15 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.6
.E2 :1216:/     4.4/     4.2/     4.0/     3.8
.E3 :1217:/     3.6/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3
.E4 :1218:/     3.3/     3.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.12/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.69 ft at Dec-15 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20171215 E DC201712151115/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1215:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.7
.E2 :1216:/     4.6/     4.6/     4.6/     4.6
.E3 :1217:/     4.6/     4.6/     4.5/     4.4
.E4 :1218:/     4.3/     4.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.15/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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