River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 201538
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1037 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2014
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.67 ft at Dec-20 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     2.7/     2.6
.E2 :1221:/     2.6/     2.6/     2.5/     2.5
.E3 :1222:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.4/     2.4
.E4 :1223:/     2.4/     2.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.44 ft at Dec-20 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     4.2/     3.7
.E2 :1221:/     3.3/     3.1/     2.9/     2.8
.E3 :1222:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.6/     2.6
.E4 :1223:/     2.5/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.57 ft at Dec-20 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.4
.E2 :1221:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4/     2.3
.E3 :1222:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3
.E4 :1223:/     2.4/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.41 ft at Dec-20 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     1.4/     1.4
.E2 :1221:/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3
.E3 :1222:/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3
.E4 :1223:/     1.3/     1.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.25 ft at Dec-20 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     4.2/     4.2
.E2 :1221:/     4.2/     4.2/     4.1/     4.1
.E3 :1222:/     4.1/     4.1/     4.0/     4.0
.E4 :1223:/     4.2/     4.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.10 ft at Dec-20 10:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     3.1/     3.0
.E2 :1221:/     3.0/     2.9/     2.9/     2.9
.E3 :1222:/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8
.E4 :1223:/     2.8/     2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.65 ft at Dec-20 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.5
.E2 :1221:/     2.5/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4
.E3 :1222:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3
.E4 :1223:/     2.2/     2.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.05 ft at Dec-20 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     5.0/     5.0
.E2 :1221:/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0
.E3 :1222:/     4.9/     4.9/     4.9/     4.9
.E4 :1223:/     4.9/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.28 ft at Dec-20 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/    10.2/    10.2
.E2 :1221:/    10.1/    10.1/    10.0/    10.0
.E3 :1222:/     9.9/     9.9/     9.9/     9.8
.E4 :1223:/     9.8/     9.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 594.50 ft at Dec-20 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/   593.6/   593.5
.E2 :1221:/   593.5/   593.4/   593.3/   593.2
.E3 :1222:/   593.2/   593.1/   593.0/   592.9
.E4 :1223:/   592.8/   592.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 22.98 ft at Dec-20 10:00 am
:
.ER AVON6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/    22.5/    21.7
.E2 :1221:/    20.9/    20.4/    20.0/    19.7
.E3 :1222:/    19.5/    19.2/    18.9/    18.7
.E4 :1223:/    18.5/    18.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.24 ft at Dec-20 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.1
.E2 :1221:/     3.0/     3.0/     3.0/     2.9
.E3 :1222:/     2.9/     2.9/     2.9/     2.9
.E4 :1223:/     2.9/     2.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.19 ft at Dec-20 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     2.1/     2.1
.E2 :1221:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E3 :1222:/     2.0/     2.0/     1.9/     1.9
.E4 :1223:/     1.9/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.56 ft at Dec-20 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     7.2/     7.0
.E2 :1221:/     6.7/     6.5/     6.2/     6.1
.E3 :1222:/     5.9/     5.8/     5.7/     5.6
.E4 :1223:/     5.5/     5.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.44 ft at Dec-20 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     1.4/     1.4
.E2 :1221:/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4
.E3 :1222:/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3
.E4 :1223:/     1.3/     1.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/   687.6/   687.6
.E2 :1221:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
.E3 :1222:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
.E4 :1223:/   687.6/   687.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Crest 3.90 at Dec-25 7am
:
.ER CPNN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :1221:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :1222:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E4 :1223:/     3.5/     3.5
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.76 ft at Dec-20 10:16 am
:
.ER BOON6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.8
.E2 :1221:/     4.8/     4.9/     4.8/     4.8
.E3 :1222:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8
.E4 :1223:/     4.8/     4.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.19 ft at Dec-20 09:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.2
.E2 :1221:/     3.1/     3.1/     3.1/     3.1
.E3 :1222:/     3.0/     3.0/     3.0/     3.0
.E4 :1223:/     3.0/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.88 ft at Dec-20 09:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20141220 E DC201412201037/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1220:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.8
.E2 :1221:/     4.8/     4.7/     4.7/     4.6
.E3 :1222:/     4.6/     4.6/     4.6/     4.5
.E4 :1223:/     4.5/     4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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