Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 241436
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
COZ000-NMZ000-AZZ000-UTZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/24/14 1436Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-15 1415Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:1023Z 1205Z
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LOCATION...COLORADO...NEW MEXICO...ARIZONA...UTAH...
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ATTN WFOS...PUB...BOU...ABQ...GJT...TWC...FGZ...SLC...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...BEST MOISTURE C AZ INTO S CENTRAL TO EASTERN UT AND WESTERN
COLORADO FOR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MOSTLY AFTERNOON...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BIG PICTURE SHOWED ACTIVITY ALONG THE
WEST COAST REINFORCING DRY AIR/RELATIVELY LOW PWATS S CA COAST AND
JUST OFFSHORE.  BUT THERE HAS BEEN ENOUGH ROOM FOR WESTERN EDGE OF WEAK
MOISTURE SOUTHERN CA TO DRIFT WEST.   THIS WAS IN RESPONSE TO UPPER
LEVEL WAVE PUSHING SLOWLY ACROSS CENTRAL AZ AND CONVECTION THAT FORMED
OVER N MEXICO AND MOSTLY SE AND E AZ TO SHIFT MODERATE MOISTURE WEST.
HIGHEST AND DEEPEST MOISTURE WAS OVER S CENTRAL AZ IN RESPONSE TO WEAK
N GULF OF CA SURGE FROM N MEXICO CONVECTION AND MODERATE MOISTURE THAT
HAS SHIFTED WEST.    BIG TIME MCS WELL TO THE SOUTH THIS MORNING IN
WEST CENTRAL TO SW MEXICO WILL LIKELY SEND A SURGE OF MOISTURE NORTH
FROM THE LOWER TO CENTRAL GULF OF CA AND WILL HAVE TO FOLLOW THAT OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT WILL HAVE NO IMPACT ON AZ IN THE NEXT 24HRS.
FURTHER NORTH...MOISTURE IN UT SHIFTING LITTLE IN SOUTHERN UT CLOSE TO
UPPER LEVEL HIGH AND NON- INFLUENCE OF EASTERLY WAVE SOUTH IN AZ AND
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PACIFIC NW TO IDAHO.   EXTENSION OF TROUGH INTO NE
NEVADA WILL SHIFT EAST AND BEGIN TO PUSH MOISTURE EAST OUT OF NORTHERN UT
AS THE DAY GOES ON.   THIS PUTS PRESSURE ON WESTERN COLORADO AS AN AREA
OF MODERATE MOISTURE OF 0.8" HIGH SPOTS TO 1.2" LOW SPOTS FOR HELP WITH
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MOSTLY THIS AFTERNOON AND SOME OF THAT ACTIVITY DRIFT
INTO EASTERN COLORADO PLANS AREAS IN RESPONSE  TO SHORT WAVE IMPULSES
IN SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF MAIN PACIFIC NW TROUGH SHIFTING EAST.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1430-2100Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...STABILITY AND DRIER AIR HAS WORKED INTO SE ARIZONA
FOR LESS ACTIVITY THERE THIS AFTERNOON.  BEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
HAS SHIFTED INTO S CENTRAL AZ NNE INTO N CENTRAL AZ/S UT INTO EASTERN
UT/W COLORADO.  AND WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THINNING CLOUDS IN THOSE
AREAS AND AROUND SHARP CLOUD/CLEAR AREAS FOR TEMP DIFFERENTIAL FOR BEST
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AREAS WITH MOUNTAIN AREAS GETTING AN AID FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THESE AREAS.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4007 10986 3985 10546 3468 10784 3097 11332 3432 11260
3790 11130
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