Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 190752
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/19/14 0752Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0745Z   KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...S CENTRAL TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...CRP...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...ANCHORED CONVECTION IN ZAVALA..SOME BACKBUILDING INTO UVALDE
COUNTY WITH MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE PLUME FROM TS POLO MAYBE INVOLVED...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...REMAINS OF ODILE BACK IN SE NM-INTERIOR
SW TEXAS.  OUT AHEAD A SHORT WAVE PRESSING EAST/SE AND FURTHER OUT AHEAD
IS THE ZAVALA-UVALDE ANCHORED CONVECTION THAT IS BEING FURTHER ENHANCED
BY PLUME OF MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE FROM TS POLO IN EAST PACIFIC JUST OFF
THE S MEXICAN COAST.  DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE WITH SEEDING FROM ABOVE WITH
TS POLO MOISTURE AND DEEP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE AND FURTHER WILL
BE ADDED IS ODILE`S REMNANT MOISTURE..AT LEAST APPROACHING THE AREA.
ALSO CONCERN CONTINUES IN CROCKETT COUNTY WITH UPSTREAM CONVECTION
TRYING TO ANCHOR THERE WHILE THROWING AN IMPULSE SE TO FEED INTO THE
UVALDE-ZAVALA ACTIVITY.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0800-1100Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...TWO AREAS OF CONCERN AND THEY BOTH ARE GETTING OR
WILL SHORTLY HAVE THE BENEFIT OF ADDED MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE FROM TS
POLO ORIGINATING IN THE EAST PACIFIC JUST SOUTH OF MEXICO.  MOISTURE NO
PROBLEM...BOUNDARIES AND CONVECTION FOLLOWING ALONG THE BOUNDARY OR
ANCHORED ALONG THE BOUNDARY TO BE WHERE POSSIBLE CONVECTION CAN HANG ON
FOR THIS PERIOD...MAYBE THE WHOLE PERIOD FOR EXCESSIVE POSSIBLY PERSISTENT
RAINS THAT CAN HEIGHTEN FF THREAT CENTERED IN CROCKETT AND TO THE SE IN
UVALDE AND ZAVALA COUNTY.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3000 10085 2932 9912 2859 9933 2902 10069
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