Text Products for FWS Issued by ABR

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD
Versions: 1 2 3 4

000
FNUS73 KABR 230210
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Carpenter GPA...South Wildland Fire
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
910 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2100 CDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
West winds generally under 15 mph are expected overnight, but with
a few higher gusts. The wind will increase again toward daybreak
Tuesday, but especially with daytime heating.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......400-500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........6 (high).

TIME (CDT)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  11  25  43  42  38  49  50  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  51  49  47  46  45  44  44  44
RH..............34  38  38  42  43  45  47  47  49
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   6   7   8   9   10  12  12  13
20 FT wind gust.12  9   10  13  16  17  18  20  22
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 15 to 24 mph with gusts to
                    around 35 mph shifting to the north 15 to 21
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-6700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph shifting to the north
                    around 20 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (75100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to very good (107700
                    knot-ft) in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or (low) to (high).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  5   3   6   15  23  23  26  28  27  25  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  42  44  48  51  53  56  58  60  60  62  62
RH..............54  61  58  58  53  49  44  42  39  37  34  34
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..15  16  18  22  24  24  23  23  21  20  16  15
20 FT wind gust.24  25  30  33  35  32  31  30  28  26  23  21
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......200-6400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 17 mph shifting to the east around 7
                    mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    southeast 7 to 10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (96700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  13  20  26  33  37  41  45  38  32  25  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............61  60  57  50  48  46  44  42  40  39  38  37
RH..............32  33  37  49  55  58  62  68  71  75  79  82
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..13  12  8   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.20  16  13  10  8   7   7   7   7   8   8   8
Smoke Dispersal.GD  GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    south 15 to 20 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......200-4200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph increasing to 20 to 24 mph
                    late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (82400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  42  39  35  32  43  55  66  67  69  70  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............36  35  41  46  51  55  59  62  64  65  65  65
RH..............85  89  73  63  54  47  40  36  34  34  34  35
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   8   10  13  15  16  17  18  20  20  20
20 FT wind gust.8   9   12  15  18  21  22  23  24  25  26  26
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...TDK
Requested by...Lane L Ostenson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411890.0/ABR
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lane.ostenson@state.sd.us
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
