Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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FNUS73 KABR 122122
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for AmericanCreek_FPNG...USFS
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
422 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 CDT on April 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry surface low pressure begins to push into the
region tonight and Saturday morning. This feature will have little
impact except on the winds. Winds will weaken as the center of the
low/trough nears central SD. Winds will also slowly shift to the
southwest and then west by around noon. Drier air in place will
keep the burn site from reaching full recovery in humidity tonight
or through the weekend. High temperatures on Saturday could range
between 84 and 88 degrees which would push RH down around 20
percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 18 mph. Gusts up to 29
                    mph.
Mixing height.......400-4500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (76200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or (moderate) to (high).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   3   4   4   5   6   6   7   9   10  12  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  65  61  56  53  52  51  50  49  49  47  46
RH..............26  28  32  39  42  44  46  50  52  55  58  63
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..18  17  17  17  17  17  16  16  15  14  13  12
20 FT wind gust.29  25  25  25  25  25  25  24  23  21  20  18
Smoke Dispersal.GD  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 10 to 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-6800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph shifting to the west 13
                    to 17 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (102000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........6 (high).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  22  21  19  18  16  13  11  9   8   6   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  44  47  52  62  68  72  76  78  82  83  83
RH..............65  69  65  56  43  36  33  29  26  23  23  23
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  12  12
20 FT wind gust.17  15  15  15  16  17  15  15  15  16  17  17
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  VGD

$$
Forecaster...Wise
Requested by...Brandon Fischer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410558.0/ABR
.DELDT 04/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon.fischer@usda.gov


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