Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 200523
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1223 AM CDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 317 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017

Hot and dry conditions will continue through tomorrow as an upper
level high sits above the Plains with a dome of high pressure east
of the CWA towards the surface. A trough of low pressure will be
found across portions of eastern Colorado and western Kansas. This
will lead to continued southerly winds, becoming breezy during the
afternoon hours. As for temperatures, lows tonight look to range
from the Upper 60s along the KS/Co border to mid 70s across
central and south central Kansas. Highs tomorrow are expected to
reach around 100 degrees across the entire CWA.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 317 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017

Hot and dry conditions continue Thursday night through Saturday as
the upper level high persists above the area. Models then suggest
a shortwave moving through the Northern Plains Saturday, which
will in turn push a surface frontal boundary into the Central
Plains. Thunderstorms are anticipated to form along this frontal
boundary. This frontal boundary will stall out across the area
Sunday with continued chances of precipitation through the
beginning of next week. Otherwise expect partly cloudy skies. The
upper level high then takes back over by mid week suppressing any
convection across the Central Plains. As for temperatures, highs
will reach to around 100 degrees through Saturday with around 90
degrees during the remainder of the long term period. Lows will
range from around 70 degrees along the KS/CO border to mid 70s
across central and south central Kansas through Friday night then
dip into the 60s to lower 70s throughout the remainder of the long
term period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Thu Jul 20 2017

Upper level high will slowly slide east across Kansas today with
model soundings indicating limited moisture will be present under
this upper high so VFR conditions can be expected. Southerly winds
at around 10 knots will increase to around 15 knots between 15z
and 18z Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  73 102  75 102 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  71 100  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  71  99  71  99 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  72 102  72 102 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  73 103  75 104 /   0   0   0   0
P28  74 103  76 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for KSZ030-031-046-065-066-
081-090.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Burgert



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