Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46
000
FXUS63 KDDC 241120
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
620 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2016

Ongoing weak rain showers and widely scattered thunderstorm have
been enhanced by outflow across the area this morning, feeding on
very good precipitable water values and steep mid level lapse
rates. So brief moderate rains and prolific lightning at times
will continue for the next few hours before probably dissipating
as the HRRR had been indicating. The possibility is good for late
afternoon redevelopment as the cold front pushes farther south
toward central Kansas. Additionally, the temperatures for this
afternoon may be significantly augmented by the weak outflow
moving through this morning especially wherever the ground has
become significantly wetted.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2016

No significant changes in the extended period. A return to near
normal early late July/early August highs and lows though the
period with possibilities for diurnally driven convective events
pretty much any day through late in the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 617 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2016

Early morning convection over western Kansas will continue to
diminish and shift east into central Kansas through 15z Sunday. A
cold front will drop south into western Kansas early today and
based on the NAM and RAP it appears this boundary will cross the
Hays and Garden City areas through 14z and then move through the
Dodge City area between 15z and 18z Sunday. As this front passes
the southerly winds at around 10 knots will shift to the
northeast. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible near and north
of this surface boundary late today and early tonight and based on
model soundings cloud bases late day should range from 3000 to
6000 ft AGL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  98  70  91  70 /  40  40  20  30
GCK  96  69  91  69 /  30  30  20  20
EHA  98  69  92  68 /  20  30  20  30
LBL 100  70  93  69 /  30  40  20  30
HYS  95  69  90  70 /  30  30  30  20
P28 103  74  94  72 /  30  40  30  30

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Burgert



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.