Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 201705
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1205 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 827 AM CDT Sat Aug 20 2016

WV imagery indicates a strong upper level trough of low pressure
transitioning eastward across the Central Plains and the Upper
Midwest. Near the surface, a broad area of high pressure is
shifting slowly east-southeast across the Northern Plains.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Sat Aug 20 2016

Cooler air will settle into western Kansas today with north winds
diminishing to light and variable late this afternoon.
Temperatures today will only max out between 75 and 79 degrees,
with 50s expected by tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Sat Aug 20 2016

A warming trend will commence by early next week ahead of the
next upper level trough. There is a chance of thunderstorms
Tuesday and Wednesday and the storms late Tuesday could be severe
with large hail given the strongly veering, albeit weak wind
profile, along with moderate surface based CAPE. Behind the
front, cooler air can be expected once again by Wednesday night
into Friday with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1203 PM CDT Sat Aug 20 2016

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through early Sunday
morning. Northerly winds 10 to 20kt will persist across western
Kansas through late this afternoon as surface high pressure moves
slowly east-southeast into the Northern and Central Plains. Winds
will then become light and variable tonight as the surface high
continues to shift across the Central Plains.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  77  55  85  62 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  77  53  85  62 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  78  57  84  61 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  78  55  85  61 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  77  53  85  63 /   0   0   0   0
P28  80  55  84  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...JJohnson
SHORT TERM...Finch
LONG TERM...Finch
AVIATION...JJohnson



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