Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 212039
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
339 PM CDT Fri Apr 21 2017


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 241 PM CDT Fri Apr 21 2017

An upper level trough was passing across western Kansas
this afternoon. Widespread rain was occurring on the
cool side of the front and this was keeping temperatures
from rising out of the 40s to lower 50s. This system will
pass off to the east tonight, with surface high pressure
building into western Kansas through Saturday. Temperatures
tonight should fall into the mid to upper 30s in far western
Kansas where skies may partially clear toward morning, with lower
40s in south central Kansas. Saturday will be partly to mostly
sunny and warmer with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 241 PM CDT Fri Apr 21 2017

Near freezing temperatures are possible Sunday morning with
clear skies and light winds. A frost advisory will likely be
needed for Dodge City westward to the Colorado line. Several
upper level disturbances will pass across the central plains
next week but low level moisture will be limited this far
west. There are small chances for showers and thunderstorms
with each system. Severe storm chances look rather limited
although it cant be ruled out, especially over south central
Kansas. Highs will warm to near 70 degrees Sunday and then
into the lower 80s by Monday before gradually falling into the
high 60s by Thursday. The best chance of rain is Wednesday
night as a stronger system passes. However, with all the day to
day changes in the various model solutions, confidence is very
low in a widespread precipitation event.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 109 PM CDT Fri Apr 21 2017

Showers will persist through 21-23z and then move off to the
east as an upper level trough passes. Cold advection will develop
tonight with low cloud persisting much of the night. CIGS may
lower to MVFR/IFR and then improve by 14-16z.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  38  58  34  69 /  50  10   0   0
GCK  36  58  32  70 /  20  10   0   0
EHA  36  57  35  72 /  10   0   0   0
LBL  37  58  33  71 /  10   0   0   0
HYS  39  59  36  70 /  80   0   0   0
P28  41  59  37  69 /  60  10   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Finch
LONG TERM...Finch
AVIATION...Finch



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