Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 060656
AFDDDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1256 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

...Updated Short Term Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1243 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

Pretty good westerly downslope setup today in between systems.
Temperatures are the only challenge in the forecast, and just how
tight the gradient will be against the remaining snowpack across
west central Kansas. 850mb Temps will warm to around +4 to +6C
which supports surface temperatures in the lower to perhaps mid
50s for highs in areas of no snow cover. Pretty much kept the
previous forecast going with only cosmetic adjustments. We will
start to see some high cirrus spread in late in the day/this
evening from the northwest in advance of the next northwest flow
shortwave trough. West to southwest winds will not be that bad
today in the 10 to 15 mph range. The winds will stay around 10 to
12 mph or so tonight, which will help keep temperatures from
really bottoming out. Lows tonight in the mid to upper 20s still
look pretty good.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z Saturday NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

More quiet aviation weather is forecast through Saturday and
Saturday Night. Prevailing wind will remain from the west to
southwest. Wind speeds should be at or above 12 knots at GCK and
DDC during roughly the 17z to 22z time frame. VFR flight category
is forecast through the period with upper level ridging moving in.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  52  27  46  24 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  48  24  43  22 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  54  27  45  22 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  55  27  47  24 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  42  29  42  25 /   0   0   0   0
P28  54  30  52  27 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Umscheid
AVIATION...Umscheid


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