Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 221700
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1200 PM CDT Fri Sep 22 2017

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 321 AM CDT Fri Sep 22 2017

A large upper level low will continue to dig into the Western
United States through the short term period. Mostly clear skies
are anticipated across the CWA through the early afternoon hours
with cumulus clouds developing along the KS/CO border as we head
into late afternoon. A few storms are expected to develop in this
area and spread eastward this evening into the overnight hours.
The best chance of precipitation will be across far western Kansas
with a lesser of the chance as you head eastward. Mostly cloudy
skies are expected tonight due to the aforementioned storm
development. Winds will continue to be breezy and from a southerly
direction due to a trough of low pressure across eastern Colorado.
As for temperatures, highs today look to reach into the low to mid
90s with lows tonight ranging from the low 60s along the KS/CO
border to low 70s across central and south central Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 321 AM CDT Fri Sep 22 2017

A wet pattern is expected this weekend into at least the first
part of next week as an upper level low slides eastward with
shortwaves moving around its periphery. The best chance of
precipitation will start out across far western Kansas Saturday
spreading eastward across the remainder of the CWA Sunday and
Monday. These storms are not expected to be severe, but heavy rain
and frequent lighting will be possible. A strong cold front will
move through the area Monday night into Tuesday leading to much
cooler temperatures across the forecast area. Winds before this
frontal passage will generally be from a southerly direction
shifting to a northerly direction behind the front. A slight
chance of precipitation will be possible as we head into the mid
part of next week, but confidence is low at this time. As for
temperatures, highs start out Saturday ranging from the upper 70s
west to upper 80s across central Kansas. Highs Sunday range from
the mid 70s west to upper 80s central Kansas then range from the
upper 60s west to upper 70s east on Monday. Slightly below normal
temperatures are anticipated through the remainder of the long
term period with low 70s expected Monday through Thursday. Lows
will start out ranging from the upper 50s west to upper 60s east
Saturday night, low 50s to mid 60s Sunday night, then mid 40s to
upper 50s Monday night. Lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s are
expected throughout the remainder of the long term.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1127 AM CDT Fri Sep 22 2017

VFR conditions through the time period. Gusty south winds will
affect all airports this afternoon into the early evening...sustained
24-29 kts with gusts of 34-38 kts. Later tonight LLWS of 50 kts
at 190 will be a factor for DDC, GCK, and LBL from 06 to 12Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  94  70  86  66 /   0  10  20  30
GCK  94  67  84  62 /  10  20  50  70
EHA  90  63  77  59 /  30  40  70  70
LBL  94  68  84  63 /  10  30  40  60
HYS  97  72  87  68 /   0  10  20  30
P28  93  70  89  68 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Tatro


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