Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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000
FXUS63 KDDC 190827
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
327 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

...Updated short and long term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 326 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

The current weather pattern depicts an upper level low spinning
over the Central Rockies today then sliding into the Central
Plains tonight. A shortwave is progged to move around its
periphery and into the Southern Plains this afternoon enhancing
lift across portions of the Southern and Central Plains. Towards
the surface, an area of low pressure will be located southeast of
the area through tonight brining northerly winds to the forecast
area. Ample moisture will be found in the lower levels of the
atmosphere. This in combination low level lift will lead to a
thick deck of stratus clouds through tonight. The only exception
to this will be along the KS/OK border where some clearing will be
possible towards sunrise tomorrow. In addition to the cloudy
skies, scattered rain showers or drizzle will be possible
throughout the day and into this evening. Precipitation chances
should then decrease from west to east tonight. Thunderstorms will
be possible across central and south central Kansas this afternoon
with a few strong to severe storms possible across south central
Kansas. As for temperatures, highs today look to range from the
upper 50s across west central Kansas to around 70 degrees across
south central Kansas. Lows tonight are forecasted to range from
around 40 degrees across west central Kansas to upper 40s across
south central Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 326 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

Cloudiness decreases across western Kansas Saturday with mostly
clear skies anticipated Saturday night into Sunday. Another round
of showers or thunderstorms will be possible Sunday night through
Monday as another upper level disturbance slides through the area.
Otherwise expect an increase in cloudiness. The remainder of the
long term period looks dry as an upper level ridge builds across
the western United States with high pressure being the dominate
feature across the Plains at the surface. Another day of highs in
the 60s is in store for Saturday, then rebounding into the 70s
Sunday and Monday. Upper 60s to lower 70s are expected Tuesday and
Wednesday with 80s possible towards the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1231 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

Low stratus clouds will continue this morning through this
evening bringing IFR conditions to southwest Kansas. Lower
visibilities will be possible through mid morning around the DDC
and GCK terminals over the next couple of hours. Otherwise lower
visibilities are not expected. Winds will be from a northerly
direction through the day becoming gusty at times.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  62  45  66  44 /  60  50  10   0
GCK  60  43  64  43 /  50  50  10   0
EHA  61  42  65  45 /  50  40   0   0
LBL  63  44  67  45 /  50  40   0   0
HYS  60  43  60  42 /  70  70  20   0
P28  69  48  67  47 /  80  60  10   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42



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