Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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122
FXUS63 KDDC 190555
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1255 AM CDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...Updated Short and Long Term...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Tue Jul 19 2016

For today, upper level warm ridging remains dominant across the
Central Plains with general subsidence and no chances for any storms
into tonight for southwest or south central Kansas. A surface lee
trough remains with a typical diurnal wind response of light south
winds increasing to 15 to 22 mph by afternoon. Highs today will
still be on the hot side mainly in the mid to upper 90s.

For tonight, same old forecast with light south to southeast winds
and lows from 70 to 74 with the warmest in parts of south central
Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Tue Jul 19 2016

For Wednesday into Friday, the heat wave continues with upper level
warm ridging and little to no chances for any rainfall. Highs will
be near 100 on Wednesday, then could be the warmest on Thursday and
Friday near 102. Lower dewpoints less than 70 should keep most of
the area just below heat advisory criteria. Lows will be warm and
in the low to mid 70s.

For the weekend, the upper warm ridge begins to breakdown with a
more active northern upper jet and waves moving across the Rockies
into the Central Plains. These upper level waves will give some
increasing chances for rainfall into Monday. Highs will be slightly
cooler and in the lower to mid 90s for Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1129 PM CDT Mon Jul 18 2016

VFR conditions will prevail. Light south winds become south at
15-23kt after 15-17Z as a surface lee trough continues.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  71  98  72 100 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  69  98  70 100 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  69  98  71  99 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  69 100  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  73  98  74 100 /  10   0   0   0
P28  73  98  74 101 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kruse
LONG TERM...Kruse
AVIATION...Kruse



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