National Weather Service Text Product Display

Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
Versions: 1 2

000
FNUS73 KDDC 181440
FWSDDC

SPOT FORECAST FOR 14B CHEAT...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
940 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON JUNE 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT WINDS ARE FORECAST AT IGNITION TIME AT LESS THAN 8 MPH ON AVERAGE.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN RATHER LIGHT THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON
HOURS...HOWEVER THERE WILL BE A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST TENDENCY. TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM INTO THE 80S ALLOWING FOR BETTER SMOKE VENTILATION WITH MIXING
HEIGHTS INCREASING TO GREATER THAN 6000 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON...LIKELY
PEAKING AT AROUND 9500 FEET LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL
AVERAGE SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900-9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........30     45     43     50     57
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............76     85     87     87     85
RH..............59     48     45     43     45
20 FT WIND......SW 5   S 6    S 6    SE 7   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     15     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 4   S 5    S 5    SE 6   SE 6
     WIND GUST..       10     15     15     20
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........59     42     52     60     65     71
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............83     77     74     72     68     65
RH..............46     58     64     76     83     90
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 9   SE 8   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6   SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6
     WIND GUST..20     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH INCREASING
                    TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 39 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........75     71     66     63     58     52
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............65     70     77     81     83     83
RH..............93     81     64     58     55     54
20 FT WIND......SE 9   S 16   S 22   S 25   S 24   SE 22
20 FT WIND GUST.10     25     30     35     35     30
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 7   S 13   S 18   S 20   S 19   SE 18
     WIND GUST..10     25     30     35     35     30
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...UMSCHEID
REQUESTED BY...BILL WALN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130618.14BCH.01/DDC
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
