Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 022122
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
322 PM MDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 321 PM MDT WED SEP 2 2015

ENOUGH DRY AIR ALOFT APPEARS TO BE PRESENT TO CONTINUE WITH A DRY
FORECAST TONIGHT. FOR THURSDAY SOME INCREASE IN MID LEVEL MOISTURE
APPEARS TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE AREA
FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS THE UPPER PATTERN SHOWS A RIDGE AXIS TO THE
EAST AND TROUGH ACROSS THE WEST/PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 PM MDT WED SEP 2 2015

UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL BE THE
MAIN UPPER FEATURE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IT WILL WEAKEN LATER IN
THE PERIOD AS A TROUGH DIGS INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES NEXT WEEK.
IN THE MEANTIME...WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS CLIMBING THE RIDGE IN THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING LOW CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT...BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN NEAR THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATE WITH AFOREMENTIONED NORTHERN ROCKIES SYSTEM WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA ON SUNDAY BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR TO
THE REGION BEGINNING ON MONDAY. POST FRONTAL UPSLOPE MAY AID IN
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH SOMEWHAT BETTER
FLOW ALOFT AND EMBEDDED WEAK DISTURBANCES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1150 AM MDT WED SEP 2 2015

FOR KGLD AND KMCK VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS AT BOTH TERMINALS
GENERALLY FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST AT SPEEDS UNDER 10KTS.
CLOUDINESS GENERALLY CONFINED TO MID AND/OR UPPER
LEVELS...INCREASING FROM THE WEST/SOUTHWEST TOWARD THE TAIL END OF
THE TAF PERIOD. MAY SEE SOME FAIR WEATHER CU/TCU DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...99



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