051
FXUS63 KGLD 290713
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
113 AM MDT Mon Apr 29 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy frost possible in northeast zones around sunrise
  Monday morning.

- Active weather may return mid-week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 301 PM MDT Sun Apr 28 2024

The closed upper low that brought meaningful rainfall to portions of
the area yesterday continues to lift to the northeast, into
portions of central Nebraska. Visible satellite imagery shows
the low centered over central and western Nebraska, and some
clearing skies across eastern Colorado. The low is expected to
continue to lift to the north/northeast overnight with clearing
skies. There will be a brief period of a few hours Monday
morning where some patchy frost may develop.

Monday and Tuesday, weak ridging, followed by zonal flow brings
warmer temperatures and sunny skies to the area.  High temperatures
Monday will be in the 70s. A few 80s cannot be ruled out on
Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 113 AM MDT Mon Apr 29 2024

At the start of the long term period, the area is under
southwesterly flow aloft as an upper level trough axis is crossing
the Rockies. At the surface, a cold front will have recently moved
through, placing temperatures slightly below normal, only into the
middle-upper 50s to upper 60s. Light showers and a few rumbles of
thunder may continue for parts of the area through the day (25-35%
chance) and even on into the weekend (~20% chance) as weak
disturbances move through the generally zonal flow. The area will
undergo a warming trend beginning Friday, with temperatures climbing
into the middle 60s to low-mid 70s, upper 60s to middle 70s
Saturday, and middle 70s to low 80s Sunday. Overnight lows from 30s
to near 40 Thursday night-Friday morning to 40s Friday night, then
middle 40s to middle 50s through the remainder of the long term.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1000 PM MDT Sun Apr 28 2024

KGLD...VFR conditions are expected through the period. A light
southwest wind under 10kts at taf issuance will slowly veer to
the west by 11z with speeds near 10kts. Winds continue to veer
to the northwest Monday morning, gusting up to 20kts from late
morning through early afternoon. Winds then back to the
southwest by late afternoon at speeds under 10kts, continuing to
back to the south then southeast at speeds under 10kts through
the rest of the taf period.

KMCK...VFR conditions are expected through the period. A light
and variable wind at taf issuance will continue through 15z.
From 16z through 00z, winds establish a westerly direction at
speeds up to 10kts, backing to the southwest at similar speeds
through the afternoon. Monday evening, winds continue to back
to the southeast at speeds under 10kts.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Wekesser
LONG TERM...CC
AVIATION...99