Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 221114
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
614 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 207 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

A pleasant day is anticipated across the region today with
seasonably mild temperatures and dry weather conditions. We
may see a few gusts to around 15 knots at times during the
afternoon hours across central KS but most locations will
experience lower wind speeds.

Monday-Tuesday...a progressive clipper system is progged to dig
across the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley areas on
Monday driving a cold front south across the Central Plains
states. This will bring gusty winds and elevated grassland fire
danger to much of the area while temperatures struggle to climb
out of the lower 60s across the area on Tue.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 207 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

The pattern begins to change Wed-Thu as the deep mid/upper trough
across the Great Lakes area is forced eastward as a vigorous
trough digs across the Northern Intermountain region and into the
Rockies. As this system emerges over the plains states, a strong
cold front will usher in much cooler air late in the week and into
the weekend. The coldest air of the season may bring the first
widespread freeze across much of the area Friday night into
Saturday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 613 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

VFR conditions are expected across the region today as an area of
Canadian high pressure builds over the area.  Some departing high
clouds over SE KS will shift east this morning.

Ketcham

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 207 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

A cold front will surge south across the area on Monday afternoon
bringing gusty northwest winds and much drier air to the area
helping to boost the grassland fire danger index into the very
high category. Very dry air will remain in place across the area
on Tuesday with another breezy day anticipated. This will drive
the grassland fire danger index into the very high category once
again, especially across portions of central KS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    71  46  71  44 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      71  45  71  43 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          69  44  69  43 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        69  44  70  44 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   69  45  71  44 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         71  46  69  41 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      71  45  70  41 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          71  47  70  44 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       70  44  70  43 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     69  42  72  45 /  10   0   0   0
Chanute         68  44  70  43 /  10   0   0   0
Iola            68  43  69  44 /  10   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    69  43  71  44 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...Ketcham
FIRE WEATHER...MWM



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