Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 310455
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1155 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

...UPDATED FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS AFTERNOON A STATIONARY FRONT CURVED FROM FAR WEST TX ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL OK TO THE AR/MO BORDER. THIS HAS RESULTED IN RAINY &
VERY COOL WEATHER FOR KICT COUNTRY WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVING BEEN
RUNNING ON TREAD MILLS WITH READINGS FROM 65 TO 70 DEGREES IN MOST
AREAS. COOLEST HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS MAY BE SET.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 956 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

AS CLOUDS CLEAR TO THE SOUTHEAST...THINKING PATCHY FOG WILL BECOME
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...DUE TO LIGHT
WINDS AND MOIST LOW-LEVELS. UNSURE HOW WIDESPREAD AND/OR DENSE
THE FOG WILL BE GIVEN DRIER AIR TRYING TO FILTER SOUTH...ALONG
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW CLOUDS LINGERING OVER FAR
SOUTHERN/SOUTHEAST KS. BUT THINKING AT LEAST A FEW PATCHY AREAS OF
DENSE FOG AREN`T OUT OF THE QUESTION...ESPECIALLY FOR SHELTERED
AND/OR LOW-LYING AREAS.

ADK

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

TONIGHT:
THE STATIONARY FRONT MENTIONED IN "SYNOPSIS" WILL GET FORCED SE
TOWARD THE RED RIVER (NO DOUBT AS A COLD FRONT) AS A COMPACT MID-
LEVEL SHORT WAVE PUSHES SE ACROSS CENTRAL OK...REACHING THE OK/AR
BORDER EARLY THU MORNING. THE WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN OCCURRING
ACROSS THE NEIGHBORHOOD WILL VERY SLOWLY END IN A NW-SE MANNER
WITH LIGHT RAIN CONFINED TO FAR SOUTHEAST KS BY DAYBREAK.
EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER SHOULD PREVENT RECORD LOWS FROM BEING
REALIZED IN ALL AREAS.

THU:
SOME "WRAP-AROUND" LIGHT RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPARTING MID-
LEVEL SHORTWAVE MAY CLIP FAR SOUTHEAST KS & AS SUCH HAVE RETAINED
~20% POPS TO THESE AREAS. A VERY STABLE AIRMASS WOULD PREVENT
THUNDERSTORMS FROM DEVELOPING.

FRI-SAT NIGHT:
EXCELLENT WEATHER AWAITS THE NEIGHBORHOOD AS A STRONG...MASSIVE
UPPER DECK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SPREADS SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE
ROCKIES. AMPLE SUN WOULD ENABLE HIGHS TO REACH 85-90F ACROSS ALL
AREAS FRI & SAT.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

NICE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL AREAS UNTIL NEXT WED WHEN THE
NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ARRIVE. A WEAK-MODERATE MID-
LEVEL TROF MOVING SE FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS SHOULD REACH EASTERN
PARTS OF SD & NEBRASKA ON WED. THE ATTENDANT SE-MOVING COLD FRONT
MAY REACH CENTRAL KS LATE WED AFTERNOON. ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP SHOULD DO SO WELL TO THE N & NE OF THE NEIGHBORHOOD
FROM THE DAKOTAS & NEBRASKA TO ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1151 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY AT CNU WHERE MOISTURE IS DEEPEST. FURTHER
NORTHWEST...FOG CHANCES WILL BE A BIT MORE PATCHY AT ICT-HUT-SLN-
RSL WHERE DRIER AIR IS ENCROACHING FROM THE NORTH. THINKING FOG
HERE MAY BE A BIT MORE SHALLOW...AS IS LIKELY THE CASE CURRENTLY
AT HUT. ALL-IN-ALL...WIDESPREAD IFR AND BELOW IS LIKELY AT
CNU...WITH PATCHY IFR AND BELOW AT ICT-HUT...AND PATCHY MVFR TO
POTENTIALLY IFR AT SLN-RSL.

ADK

&&

.CLIMATE...
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

RECORD COOLEST HIGHS FOR TODAY (JUL 30TH):

CHANUTE: 72 IN 1971
WICHITA: 73 IN 1903
RUSSELL: 77 IN 1990
SALINA:  76 IN 1971

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    61  83  62  88 /  10   0   0  10
HUTCHINSON      59  84  63  88 /   0   0   0  10
NEWTON          60  83  62  87 /  10   0   0  10
ELDORADO        60  83  62  85 /  10   0   0  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   61  82  62  86 /  90  10   0  10
RUSSELL         59  84  63  88 /   0   0   0  10
GREAT BEND      58  83  63  88 /   0   0   0  10
SALINA          59  87  62  89 /   0   0   0  10
MCPHERSON       59  84  62  88 /   0   0   0  10
COFFEYVILLE     63  82  61  86 / 100  30   0  10
CHANUTE         62  83  61  86 /  30   0   0  10
IOLA            61  83  61  85 /  20   0   0  10
PARSONS-KPPF    62  82  61  86 / 100  20   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$




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