Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 182349
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
549 PM CST THU DEC 18 2014

...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 321 PM CST THU DEC 18 2014

CLOUDS PLAGUE THE AREA AFTER A FOGGY AND DRIZZLY START TO THE
MORNING ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS. TEMPERATURES HAVE HOVERED AROUND TO
JUST ABOVE 32 DEGREES WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS. ALOFT THE
SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT US THE SNOW IS EXITING TO THE WEST WITH
ANOTHER WAVE ON ITS HEELS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN US.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 321 PM CST THU DEC 18 2014

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN/CHALLENGE IS LOW CLOUDS AND FOG THROUGH
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. CLOUDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
FOG POSSIBLE AGAIN IN THE MORNING ACROSS THE AREA. DO EXPECT
CLOUDS TO LINGER FRIDAY AS WELL...BUT FOG SHOULD LIFT DURING THE
DAY...SIMILAR TO TODAY. AGAIN SATURDAY MORNING A PERIOD OF FOG
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF KANSAS.

WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY BY TOMORROW. HIGHS WILL REMAIN COOL
TOMORROW...BUT STEADILY CREEP UP THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 321 PM CST THU DEC 18 2014

THE NEXT WEATHER EVENT WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
AND APPROACH FROM THE WEST...NORTHWEST. A COUPLE OF FRONTS WILL
MOVE THROUGH ON MONDAY...ONE EARLY AND A SECONDARY PUSH LATER
MONDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION...MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS...BUT AT THIS TIME FEEL THE
MOISTURE SHOULD REMAIN IN LIQUID FORM. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
COOLER...BUT IT WILL NOT BE AN ARCTIC AIRMASS.

HIGHS WILL COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE 40S FOR TUESDAY AND THE
HOLIDAYS.

SOMETHING TO WATCH WILL BE THE FOLLOWING SYSTEM FOR THE END OF
NEXT WEEK. THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE HAS FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
ABOUT TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF A SYSTEM FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. THE SYSTEM TRACKS A LOW ACROSS TEXAS/OKLAHOMA WHICH WILL
PUT KANSAS IN THE SECTOR FOR SNOW. SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND WILL NEED TO WATCH THE FORECAST FOR THE POTENTIAL INTO
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST WILL CHANGE...SO BE SURE TO WATCH THROUGH THE
UPCOMING DAYS AS YOU PLAN YOUR HOLIDAY TRAVELS.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 535 PM CST THU DEC 18 2014

LOW CEILINGS AND PATCHY FOG THIS EVENING WILL BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT. WIDESPREAD LIFR IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
AREA TONIGHT LINGERING INTO THE MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY. THE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE PROFILE APPEARS TOO SHALLOW FOR DZ/FZDZ BUT PATCHY
DZ WILL BE HARD TO RULE OUT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    29  39  30  46 /  10  10   0   0
HUTCHINSON      26  39  28  46 /  10  10   0   0
NEWTON          27  38  29  45 /  10  10   0   0
ELDORADO        28  39  30  45 /  10  10   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   30  40  30  47 /  10  10   0   0
RUSSELL         24  42  27  48 /  10  10   0   0
GREAT BEND      24  43  28  49 /  10  10   0   0
SALINA          25  39  29  46 /  10  10   0   0
MCPHERSON       26  38  29  46 /  10  10   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     33  41  31  44 /  10  10   0   0
CHANUTE         31  39  30  43 /  10  10   0   0
IOLA            31  39  30  43 /  10  10   0   0
PARSONS-KPPF    32  40  31  44 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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