Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 211118
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
618 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 242 AM CDT Sun Aug 21 2016

Tranquil conditions will prevail through early next week across the
area as high pressure at the surface translates slowly eastward
toward the Middle Mississippi Valley area before diminishing.
Light and variable winds will become southerly and begin to
increase across central KS late today and tonight as low pressure
begins to deepen across the Central and Northern High Plains. This
will bring rising temperatures to the area through early in the
week but values are expected to remain below climate normals.

A shortwave trough will approach late Monday night bringing
scattered showers and a few storms to the area. The best chances
for rain may be across central & south central KS mainly after
06z as low level moisture returns north. This activity may drift
eastward into southeast KS early on Tuesday where the highest pops
were maintained. Limited insolation on Tue should result in
another day with below normal temperatures across much of
southeast KS while highs will return to seasonable values near
90s over central KS.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 242 AM CDT Sun Aug 21 2016

A cold front will arrive late Wednesday bringing another round of
showers and storms while driving temperatures below normal once
again for Thu-Sat. Unsettled weather conditions may persist
through the latter portion of the week and into the weekend as a
series of shortwave troughs move toward the area in southwest
mid/upper flow.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 617 AM CDT Sun Aug 21 2016

VFR conditions are expected across the region for the next 24 hours.
Expect to see a gradual wind shift back to the south for most
locations by this afternoon.

Ketcham

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    83  59  86  69 /   0   0   0  30
Hutchinson      84  61  87  68 /   0   0   0  30
Newton          83  58  86  68 /   0   0   0  20
ElDorado        82  58  86  68 /   0   0   0  30
Winfield-KWLD   84  59  88  68 /   0   0  10  40
Russell         85  62  89  68 /   0   0   0  20
Great Bend      85  62  89  68 /   0   0  10  20
Salina          84  60  88  68 /   0   0   0  20
McPherson       83  60  87  68 /   0   0   0  20
Coffeyville     83  59  86  68 /   0   0  10  30
Chanute         82  57  84  69 /   0   0   0  20
Iola            82  57  84  69 /   0   0   0  20
Parsons-KPPF    83  58  85  68 /   0   0   0  30

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...BDK



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