Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 170725
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
225 AM CDT WED AUG 17 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 216 AM CDT Wed Aug 17 2016

Hot and humid conditions will be on tap for Kansas today with
upper 90s possible over central KS and low to mid 90s across
southern Kansas. Still expecting arrival of richer gulf moisture
to spread northward across Kansas on Thursday. This will keep
daytime highs a bit lower but humidity levels will be on the
increase. Showers/storms could develop over southern Kansas
Thursday afternoon/night as the richer gulf moisture moves into
the area. The better rain chances still look to occur on Friday
night as the cold front and associated upper trough move into the
region.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 216 AM CDT Wed Aug 17 2016

Models have reverted back to a similar solution on timing of the
cold front and a progressive upper trough from a couple days ago.
Instead of focusing on the daily changes with the long range
models for this period, we will focus on the pattern which keeps
us highly confident in cooler below normal temperatures spreading
across Kansas for the upcoming weekend. Sunday/Monday are shaping
up as 5-star weather days with below normal temperatures and
lighter winds.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1125 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2016

VFR conditions are expected for most locations west of the KS
Turnpike. Could see some patchy fog develop across SE KS late
tonight or early Wed morning as surface temps fall to near their
crossover temp. Think the fog could drop vsbys to the MVFR range and
possibly IFR for the 10-13z/Wed time frame. So will include this
mention in the KCNU taf site for early Wed morning.

Ketcham

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    94  69  89  70 /   0   0  10  10
Hutchinson      94  69  89  70 /  10   0  10  10
Newton          93  68  88  69 /  10   0  10  10
ElDorado        92  69  87  69 /   0   0  10  10
Winfield-KWLD   92  69  88  69 /   0   0  20  20
Russell         96  66  93  68 /  10  10   0  10
Great Bend      98  66  92  69 /  10   0   0  10
Salina          97  69  92  71 /  10  10   0  10
McPherson       95  68  89  69 /  10   0  10  10
Coffeyville     90  68  87  70 /   0  10  20  30
Chanute         89  69  87  70 /   0  10  20  20
Iola            89  69  87  70 /   0  10  10  20
Parsons-KPPF    89  69  86  70 /   0  10  20  30

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...KETCHAM



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