Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS63 KICT 221138
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
638 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 337 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND RIDGING
ALOFT ACROSS THE AREA WILL ENSURE A DRY AND SEASONABLY MILD
DAY. ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE UPPER TROF OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS EARLY THIS MORNING...WHICH IS PROGGED TO MOVE EAST
OVER THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES TODAY THEN SLOWING AS IT
MOVES OUT ACROSS THE PLAINS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. WHILE
THE BETTER DIURNAL SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY WILL STAY OUT
ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS TO THE EAST OF THE LEE SURFACE TROF
ON TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY...ELEVATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL
RESULT IN MODEST INSTABILITY FURTHER EAST ACROSS CENTRAL
AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN KANSAS. THIS IN CONCERT WITH THE
MIGRATORY LIFT FROM THE APPROACHING UPPER TROF MOVING INTO
THE AREA WILL RESULT IN CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS. THIS
IS HANDLED FAIRLY WELL IN THE GOING FORECAST WITH ONLY SLIGHT
TWEAKS NEEDED TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO HOVER NEAR SEASONAL CLIMO.

DARMOFAL

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 337 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

THE UPPER TROF WILL BECOME TRAPPED UNDER THE BUILDING UPPER
RIDGE/BLOCKING PATTERN ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST LATE IN THE
WEEK...WITH SOME RETROGRESSION OF THE TROF OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO FRIDAY. WHILE ISOLATED CONVECTION CANNOT BE
RULED OUT IT APPEARS INSTABILITY WILL BE LACKING OR WEAK SO
WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY FOR THE END OF THE WEEK FOR NOW.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 638 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

ALL AREAS TO MAINTAIN VFR STATUS UNTIL VERY LATE TONIGHT (~09Z) WHEN
TSRA MAY ARRIVE KRSL WHEN 4-5SM VSBYS MAY BRIEFLY OCCUR WITH +RA.
CLOUDINESS TO BE LIMITED TO 8,000-10,000FT ALTOCU THROUGH VERY LATE
TONIGHT AS LIGHT E-SE WINDS SHIFT TO SOUTHERLY & SLIGHTLY INCREASE TO
~10KTS ~18Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    79  56  81  59 /   0  10  30  50
HUTCHINSON      78  56  79  58 /   0  20  50  50
NEWTON          76  55  78  57 /   0  10  40  50
ELDORADO        77  54  79  57 /   0  10  30  40
WINFIELD-KWLD   78  56  80  59 /   0  10  20  30
RUSSELL         78  56  78  58 /  10  60  60  50
GREAT BEND      78  56  79  58 /  10  50  60  50
SALINA          78  56  78  58 /   0  20  60  60
MCPHERSON       77  55  78  58 /   0  20  50  60
COFFEYVILLE     77  54  79  55 /   0  10  10  10
CHANUTE         76  53  78  55 /   0  10  10  10
IOLA            75  53  77  55 /   0  10  10  20
PARSONS-KPPF    77  53  79  55 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.