Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 232031
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
231 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 229 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

A shortwave trough impacting the California coast will translate
eastward over the Rockies tonight. Low pressure will deepen across
the high plains of southeast Colorado keeping breezy southeast winds
and mild temperatures in place across the forecast area tonight.

Above normal temperatures will continue into Tuesday across much of
the area before a cold front arrives ushering in more seasonable
temperatures for late Jan. Afternoon temperatures may fall in the
wake of the front across portions central and south central KS.

Wed-Thu...Northwest mid/upper flow will prevail through the period
with dry weather conditions & temperatures remaining near climate
normals for late Jan.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 229 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

The large-scale pattern will remain nearly unchanged as we move
through the weekend and into early next week with north/northwest
mid/upper flow prevailing across the central Conus. Dry weather
conditions and near normal temperatures will prevail with some
subtle modification anticipated as we move through the weekend and
into early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1130 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

Main aviation concern will be some wind shear overnight.

Weak upper ridging is in place with some shortwave energy coming
on shore over southern CA. Ahead of this wave, surface low
pressure is strengthening over eastern CO/far western KS. SW winds
just off of the surface will increase overnight to the 35-40kts
range which will create some speed shear through sunrise Tue. At
this point it appears the better low cloud and fog chances will
remain over northeast KS. So will keep with VFR conditions area
wide through Tue afternoon.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    39  65  30  41 /   0   0  10   0
Hutchinson      37  63  28  40 /   0  10  10   0
Newton          38  63  28  38 /   0  10  10   0
ElDorado        40  64  30  40 /   0  10  10   0
Winfield-KWLD   42  67  30  43 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         36  50  25  37 /   0  10  10  10
Great Bend      37  54  26  38 /   0  10  10   0
Salina          36  55  29  38 /   0  10  10  10
McPherson       37  59  28  38 /   0  10  10   0
Coffeyville     41  67  33  44 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         38  64  32  42 /   0  10   0   0
Iola            37  63  31  41 /   0  10   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    40  66  32  43 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...RBL


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