Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KICT 101732
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1132 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 242 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2017

A large mid/upper ridge will remain in place across the Central
Great Basin area while a series of shortwave troughs are progged to
rotate through the mean mid/upper trough across the Great Lakes
area. This will result in a continuation of northwest mid/upper flow
across the central Conus with dry and mild weather conditions
persisting.

A clipper system will dig across the Upper Mississippi Valley area
on Monday driving a cold front south across the area. Gusty winds,
low relative humidities and dry fuels will likely elevate the
grassland fire danger on Monday afternoon over much of the region.

The front will usher in a subtle and short-lived cool down with
highs on Tuesday ranging from the mid 40s to mid 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 242 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2017

Another clipper system is progged to dig across the Northern and
Central Plains states toward the middle of the week. The current
track would result in a dry forecast, but any trend south may
bring some low probabilities for light precipitation to the area.
The front will usher in some cooler air for Thu although above
normal temperatures are expected to prevail. As we move towards
the end of the week and into the weekend, a series of shortwave
troughs may help to break down the persistent ridge across the
Central Great Basin, but the current storm track may keep any
precipitation north of the area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1129 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2017

VFR conditions are forecast at all sites throughout the period.
Occasionally gusty winds this afternoon will decrease mid to late
afternoon. Front moving through area late in the forecast will
result in strong/gusty northwest winds developing tomorrow morning.
-Howerton

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 242 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2017

Mild temperatures, low relative humidity, strong northwest winds,
and cured grasses will result in a very high to extreme grassland
fire danger across much of the area on Monday afternoon,
especially across central Kansas where the highest GFDI values
are expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    64  32  61  29 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      64  31  61  27 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          62  30  59  27 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        62  30  60  28 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   64  30  62  29 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         66  31  59  24 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      66  30  59  24 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          65  32  59  27 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       63  30  59  26 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     61  29  62  30 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         60  31  60  29 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            60  30  58  29 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    61  30  62  29 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...PJH
FIRE WEATHER...MWM


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.