Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 270457
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1157 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...UPDATED FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 315 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

THE FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS HAS PUSHED
SOUTHWARD INTO OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. NORTHERLY WINDS REMAIN IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH SCATTERED CLOUDS AND TEMPERATURES
MAINLY IN THE 80S ACROSS KANSAS...WITH SOME UPPER 70S MIXED IN.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

SATURDAY WILL BE A NICE SUMMER DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD. BY SUNDAY HOWEVER...A DISTURBANCE MOVING
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL PUSH A FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS
THE AREA. A SECONDARY PIECE OF ENERGY IS MOVING SOUTHWARD OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS THAT WILL FURTHER ENHANCE LIFT SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THE HIGHER-RESOLUTION NAM INDICATES THE
POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTION FIRING DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS
SUNDAY ALONG THIS FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER...SURGING
BACK INTO THE 90S WITH PLENTIFUL MOISTURE. CAPE AND SHEAR ALIGN
ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND IF THE CAP CAN BREAK...IF
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP THEY COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS ENDING EARLY MONDAY.
MONDAY LOOKS TO AGAIN BE ANOTHER WARM DAY WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING OVERHEAD.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

THE PLAINS CONTINUES TO SIT UNDER NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. THERE ARE PERIODIC
DISTURBANCES THAT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD INTO THE EASTERN CONUS TROUGH
WHICH WILL BRING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. DO NOT EXPECT IT TO RAIN THE WHOLE
TIME...JUST PERIODIC CHANCES. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR
CLIMATIC NORMS...IN THE LOW 90S THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

EXCELLENT FLYING WEATHER THROUGH SAT EVENING AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO SPREAD SLOWLY EAST ACROSS KS. MAY SEE SCT 3,500-5,000
FT STRATOCU DEVELOP LATE SAT MRNG OVER THE KSLN & KCNU TERMINALS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    65  86  66  93 /  10   0   0  20
HUTCHINSON      63  86  65  95 /  10   0   0  20
NEWTON          63  84  65  92 /  10  10   0  20
ELDORADO        63  84  64  91 /  10  10   0  20
WINFIELD-KWLD   65  85  65  92 /  10  10   0  20
RUSSELL         62  86  64  95 /  10   0   0  20
GREAT BEND      62  86  64  94 /  10   0   0  20
SALINA          63  86  65  95 /   0   0   0  20
MCPHERSON       63  85  65  94 /   0   0   0  20
COFFEYVILLE     65  84  64  88 /  10  10   0  10
CHANUTE         64  83  64  87 /  10  10   0  20
IOLA            63  82  63  87 /  10  10   0  20
PARSONS-KPPF    64  83  64  88 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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