Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 290759
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
259 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 256 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING AND LINGER DURING THE DAY.
THIS CONVECTION COULD LIMIT THE NORTHWARD EXPANSION OF THE MOISTURE
TRANSPORT TRYING TO SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO KANSAS...AND RESULTANT
PRECIPITATION COVERAGE. WE STILL EXPECT SOME SHOWERS/STORMS TO
SPREAD INTO KANSAS TODAY...AND LOOKS TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE FOR
THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT AS MAIN UPPER LEVEL WAVE PUSHES OUT INTO
THE REGION. THE COMBINATION OF DECENT WIND SHEAR/ELEVATED
INSTABILITY COULD YIELD A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE ELEVATED STORMS
OVER SOUTHERN KANSAS FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF FOR LATE TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL
WAVE ROTATES ACROSS KANSAS...WITH SOME LINGERING LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY/SUNDAY OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN
KANSAS.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL ON MONDAY/TUESDAY AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OVER THE REGION. OTHERWISE
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THEREAFTER WITH LONG RANGE MODELS
SHOWING A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
THIS PERIOD IS LOOKING MAINLY DRY AS RICH GULF MOISTURE IS SHOVED
WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

AREAS OF -RA WL CONT TO SPREAD NE ACRS PRIMARILY SC KS THE REST OF
THE NGT. IN MOST AREAS VSBYS WOULD REMAIN VFR...ALTHO 3-5SM VSBYS
WOULD BE PSBL WHERE MODERATE RA OCCURS. CIGS ACRS ALL AREAS WOULD
QUICKLY DROP INTO "LOW-END" MVFR COUNTRY W/ CNTRL & SC KS TERMINALS
LKLY TO DROP INTO THIS CATEGORY ~09Z. IFR CIGS ARE LKLY AT KGBD &
KRSL ~12Z. TS WOULD BE NO GREATER THAN ISOLD & AS SUCH TSRA HAS
BEEN LEFT OUT OF ALL TERMINALS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    64  48  68  45 /  80  80  10  10
HUTCHINSON      59  46  65  44 /  80  80  20  10
NEWTON          63  48  67  45 /  80  80  20  10
ELDORADO        65  52  69  46 /  80  80  20  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   66  50  70  46 /  80  80  10  10
RUSSELL         51  41  59  41 /  90  90  40  20
GREAT BEND      52  42  61  41 /  80  80  20  20
SALINA          57  45  65  44 /  80  80  40  20
MCPHERSON       59  46  65  44 /  80  80  20  20
COFFEYVILLE     69  54  73  48 /  80  80  20  10
CHANUTE         67  57  70  48 /  80  80  30  10
IOLA            67  57  70  48 /  80  80  30  10
PARSONS-KPPF    68  56  72  48 /  80  80  20  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...EPS



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