Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 190442
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1142 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

...UPDATED FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 314 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

A COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
COUNTRY...THE FIRST OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND THE SECOND OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING TO THE
WESTERN PORTIONS. CLOUDS HAVE KEPT TEMPERATURES COOL AGAIN TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 314 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY RISE THROUGH THIS PERIOD. WITH 80S
TOMORROW...LOW 90S BY SUNDAY AND INTO THE MID 90S ON MONDAY. WITH
THE MOIST LOW LEVELS...HEAT INDICES WILL BE BETWEEN 100-105 IN
CENTRAL KANSAS SUNDAY AND AREA WIDE BY MONDAY.

A DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL SPARK
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS...SOME OF THIS
ACTIVITY MAY CREEP INTO CENTRAL KANSAS EARLY SUNDAY...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON IF IT WILL ACTUALLY REACH CENTRAL KANSAS SO
HAVE LEFT THE MENTION OUT OF THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 314 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THROUGH THIS
PERIOD...TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR
LATE JULY...IN THE 90S. A DISTURBANCE MOVING SOUTHWARD AROUND THE
EAST SIDE OF THE UPPER HIGH MAY CAUSE PRECIPITATION TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AFTER THAT PERIOD...PRECIPITATION CHANCES
DIMINISH THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.

BY FRIDAY THE GUIDANCE IS PULLING A FRONT THROUGH THE STATE...AND
AS THE LOW LEVELS MIX AND DRY OUT...TEMPERATURES WILL BROACH 100
OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHERN NEBRASKA.

HEAT INDICES WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGH THROUGH THE WORK WEEK...NEAR
100 TO 104.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD DEBRIS FROM STORMS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS
WERE BLANKETING MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS TONIGHT.
AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VISIBILITIES MAY REDEVELOP AFTER 09-10Z ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS IMPACTING KICT, KHUT AND KRSL AS
THE AIRMASS REMAINS MOIST WITH TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS WITHIN A FEW
DEGREES AT MANY LOCATIONS BEFORE MIDNIGHT. THE LOW CIGS SHOULD BE
SHORT-LIVED AND ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO VFR BY AROUND 15Z AS
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH RETURN TO THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    61  85  68  90 /   0  10  10  10
HUTCHINSON      60  87  68  93 /  10  10  10  10
NEWTON          59  85  67  90 /   0  10  10  10
ELDORADO        59  84  66  89 /   0  10  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   60  84  67  89 /   0  10  10  10
RUSSELL         61  88  70  95 /  10  10  10  10
GREAT BEND      60  88  69  93 /  10  10  10  10
SALINA          61  89  69  95 /  10  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       60  87  68  92 /  10  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     59  85  65  89 /   0  10  10  10
CHANUTE         59  85  65  88 /   0  10  10  10
IOLA            59  84  64  88 /   0  10  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    59  85  65  88 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$







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