Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 051730
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1130 AM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday)
Issued at 154 AM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

The cold air has arrived as temperatures are now as much at 40
degrees colder than this time yesterday in some areas. CAA
continues to move into the region this morning as well. The
biggest change is the dry air which continues to advect into
region. Dew Point temperatures are in the single digits. This is
making the RHs very low and will keep the precipitation chances
out of the forecast for the foreseeable future. Wednesday,
temperatures will remain near normal as there is a little WAA
noted in the mid level but this is not expected to last long. CAA
will take over again by the late evening as a re-enforcing shot of
cold air will be moving into the region from the northeast. Winds
will be brisk over the region during the afternoon today and
Wednesday. This combined with the dry conditions will push the
fire danger into the very high category for today and Wednesday.

Thursday looks to be the coldest day as mid level moisture will
be on the increase. Moisture levels and forcing in the mid levels
look good enough to produce some light precipitation, either
sprinkles or flurries Thursday afternoon and Friday. However, the
low levels look way to dry to allow any precipitation to reach the
ground. This will keep Thursday and Friday cooler and prevent any
precipitation.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Monday)
Issued at 154 AM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

Long term forecast looks for temperatures to recover and will
likely rise above normal. Wind flow will return to the west which
make it easier for the warmer temperatures. The Gulf of Mexico
looks to remain cut off during this time. This will keep the skies
rather clear and sunny as well as dry.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1128 AM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

VFR conditions will prevail for central and southern Kansas during
the next 24hrs. Westerly winds will decrease by this evening and
increase and switch to the northwest for Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 154 AM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

Continued very dry conditions and brisk northwest winds will keep
the fire danger in the very high category for today and tomorrow.
The I-70 corridor is the area that will likely have the very high
fire danger levels today. Wednesday the very high fire danger
will spread south more and will likely cover most of the area.
Winds will calm down some for Thursday and Friday bringing the
fire danger below very high levels.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    49  30  47  24 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      49  28  46  22 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          48  28  46  22 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        48  29  46  23 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   49  29  48  24 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         49  25  45  19 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      49  25  46  20 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          50  29  46  21 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       49  28  46  20 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     49  30  49  25 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         48  29  46  24 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            47  29  46  23 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    48  30  48  24 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ELM
LONG TERM...ELM
AVIATION...CDJ
FIRE WEATHER...ELM



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