Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42
000
FXUS63 KICT 270533
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1133 PM CST Sat Nov 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 249 PM CST Sat Nov 26 2016

Current satellite water vapor imagery shows next weather system over
California which will move eastward across the Rockies tonight and
eject out into the central plains on Sunday. Modest moisture
transport ahead of this upper level wave will moisten up the low
levels with drizzle possible in the morning. Otherwise a line of
scattered showers or possibly a few embedded weak thunderstorms
look to develop for late Sunday morning and move eastward across
Kansas. South winds will increase during the day as surface
cyclone deepens with tightening pressure gradient. Mixing depth
will be limited given moistening of the low levels preventing
steep low-level lapse rates. None the less we could still witness
wind advisory winds across central Kansas and portions of south
central Kansas from the tight pressure gradient alone.

Dry weather for Kansas on Monday and Tuesday as strong subsidence
overspreads the region in the wake of deep upper trough axis.
Daytime highs will be above normal on Monday with westerly down
slope effects in play, and near normal temperatures for Tuesday as
cooler air spreads across the area.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 249 PM CST Sat Nov 26 2016

Confidence is high that dry weather and below normal temperatures
will prevail this period across the region, as a upper level low
pressure center remains over the upper Mississippi valley region
Wednesday-Friday. Northerly surface winds are expected to remain in
place across Kansas with reinforcing shots of colder air.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1131 PM CST Sat Nov 26 2016

Low level moisture will increase after 07-09z tonight with
increasing southerly winds. Flight categories are expected to
lower as we move into the morning hours on Sunday. Southerly
winds will increase into the 30-35 knot range with gusts to
around 40 knots at times. Drier air will wrap into the area on
Sunday evening as the storm system deepens over the Northern
Plains states.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 249 PM CST Sat Nov 26 2016

South winds will really increase during the day on Sunday which
will raise the fire danger levels into the very high category for
Sunday afternoon across much of the region. However rain showers
will be possible during the afternoon ahead of the upper level
wave.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    46  61  43  61 /   0  60  30   0
Hutchinson      45  61  40  60 /   0  60  20   0
Newton          45  60  42  60 /   0  60  30   0
ElDorado        45  60  46  61 /   0  60  40  10
Winfield-KWLD   47  62  46  63 /   0  60  40  10
Russell         44  64  36  58 /   0  50  10   0
Great Bend      45  63  36  58 /   0  40  10   0
Salina          46  62  40  60 /   0  60  10   0
McPherson       45  61  39  60 /   0  60  20   0
Coffeyville     43  59  53  64 /   0  50  60  20
Chanute         41  58  50  62 /  10  60  60  20
Iola            41  57  50  62 /  10  60  50  10
Parsons-KPPF    42  58  51  64 /  10  50  50  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...MWM
FIRE WEATHER...CDJ



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.