Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 261942
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
142 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1257 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

A weak short wave will move through the region Monday. Moisture
transport is rather weak but there will be enough moisture and
lift to allow form scattered light rain across much of South
Central and Southeast Kansas. Further to the North in Central
Kansas, the moisture in the area with light winds Tuesday morning
may produce some patchy fog.

The next weather maker will come through on Tuesday afternoon and
overnight. This system is much stronger than the shortwave coming
through Monday night. Moisture transport is decent but the low
and mid level forcing is impressive for this time of year. Shower
activity is likely with some isolated thunderstorms also possible
during the early morning hours Wednesday in Southeast Kansas as
the front passes. Since the front is expected to pass during the
morning hours, Wednesday`s highs will occur in the morning as
temperatures will fall quickly. Many areas of Central Kansas are
likely to get some light snow as the precipitation ends. Little to
no accumulation is expected at this time as the system is
expected move out of the region rather quick.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 1257 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

The long range looks to be rather quiet as a high pressure system
will build into the region behind Wednesday`s weather system.
Temperatures will slowly climb and remain above normal for the
remainder of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1137 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

Light winds will prevail across the area this afternoon with
decreasing mid clouds from west to east as we move through the
afternoon hours. Low level moisture will return north with
increasing southerly flow as we move through the morning hours on
Monday with MVFR cigs prevailing after 14-15z across much of the
area.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1257 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

Winds will pick up significantly for Wednesday which will bring
the fire danger up. However, the expected precipitation will
temper the Grassland Fire Danger Index and will keep it below the
very high category.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    54  34  59  44 /  10  10  20  10
Hutchinson      54  31  59  41 /  10  10  10   0
Newton          52  32  58  43 /  10  10  20  10
ElDorado        52  34  59  45 /  20  10  20  10
Winfield-KWLD   54  36  60  46 /  10  10  20  10
Russell         52  26  58  36 /   0   0  10   0
Great Bend      53  27  58  37 /   0   0  10   0
Salina          52  28  59  40 /  10   0  10   0
McPherson       53  29  58  40 /  10   0  10   0
Coffeyville     54  36  63  50 /  30  10  30  10
Chanute         52  33  62  48 /  30  10  30  10
Iola            51  33  62  48 /  30  10  30  10
Parsons-KPPF    53  35  63  49 /  30  10  30  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ELM
LONG TERM...ELM
AVIATION...MWM
FIRE WEATHER...ELM



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