Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 091722
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1122 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 235 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

The combination of a cold start this morning and low clouds over
western Kansas spreading eastward into central/south central Kansas
could hamper daytime heating, especially if low clouds linger during
the daytime hours with below normal temperatures expected. Daytime
highs on Saturday will be closer to seasonal averages with
increasing south winds bringing warmer air into the region. The
southerly winds will continue for Saturday night into Sunday with
models showing increasing moisture advection trying to saturate
the low-levels. This could give way to a period of drizzle over
southeast Kansas for late Saturday night into Sunday. A cold front
will slide southward across Kansas during the day on Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 235 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

Near normal temperatures will continue for Monday however long range
models are in decent agreement with a deep upper level polar vortex
developing over southern Canada and migrating eastward towards the
Great Lakes region during the Tuesday-Thursday period. This will
dislodge more arctic air and push it southward across the central
plains. The first push of colder air will arrive on Monday night
and give way to below normal temperatures for Tuesday. A second
reinforcing shot of even colder air is projected by the models to
spread across Kansas Tuesday night. This would result in even
colder temperatures than what we witnessed this past Thursday.
Despite the dry low levels models show a upper level wave moving
across Kansas which could generate some light snow for Tuesday
night into Wednesday. At this juncture any snow would yield little
to no accumulation with much colder temperatures being the main
weather change.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1122 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

VFR Stratocu bases-cigs will affect areas west of the Kansas
turnpike until early this evening. Diurnally gusty south to
southeast winds will prevail across central Kansas this afternoon
and again by midday on Saturday.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    31  21  44  33 /   0   0   0  10
Hutchinson      30  20  44  30 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          29  19  42  31 /   0   0   0  10
ElDorado        29  20  42  33 /   0   0   0  10
Winfield-KWLD   32  22  45  35 /   0   0   0  10
Russell         29  17  40  25 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      30  18  41  26 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          29  17  41  28 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       29  19  43  29 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     31  21  43  36 /   0   0   0  20
Chanute         31  19  42  34 /   0   0   0  20
Iola            30  18  41  32 /   0   0   0  20
Parsons-KPPF    31  20  43  35 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...KED


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