Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 201523
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
923 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

...Updated for Fire Weather Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday night)
Issued at 245 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

Tranquil weather conditions are anticipated across our forecast
area as we look ahead at the busy travel week leading up to
Thanksgiving day and the weekend following.

Above normal temperatures will prevail again today and tonight
before another cold front ushers in more seasonable air on Tuesday.
Other than a transient period of mid clouds, quite weather
conditions are anticipated with the frontal passage.

A ridge of high pressure at the surface will sink southward across
the region on Tue night and early Wed bringing much drier air and
light winds with more seasonable temperatures for late Nov. Return
flow is expected across central KS on Wed helping to drive
temperatures to near 60 while much of eastern KS will see highs
in the mid and upper 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 245 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

Moderating temperatures are anticipated on Thu-Fri with dry
weather conditions and highs in the 60s and 70s. Another cold
front will arrive late Fri into early Sat bringing more seasonable
air back into the area with highs in the 50s on Sun.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 541 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

VFR conditions are forecast at all sites throughout the period.
Gusty southwest winds are expected during the daylight hours. A
cold front will move through KRSL/KSLN and KGBD late in the period
with a wind shift and possibly some some mid clouds.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 923 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

Per collaboration with surrounding offices to the east and south,
issued a red flag warning for Greenwood-Elk-Chautauqua counties on
east this afternoon. Reasoning: upstream morning soundings
indicates quite a bit of dry air just off the surface, so lowered
afternoon dewpoints and raised temperatures a few degrees. Not a
"slam dunk" red flag warning as indices are marginal, but close
enough for good collaboration.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    65  43  57  26 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      67  41  55  23 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          64  42  53  23 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        64  43  56  25 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   65  42  58  26 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         70  40  53  24 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      70  40  54  24 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          67  40  53  23 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       67  41  54  22 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     64  42  60  26 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         64  42  56  24 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            64  42  55  24 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    64  42  58  25 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for KSZ070>072-
094>096-098>100.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...PJH
FIRE WEATHER...ADK



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