Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 280736
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
236 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 236 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

Progressively drier low level air will accompany the more
tolerable temperatures across central and eastern Kansas this
weekend. The main challenge will be precip chances/trends Saturday
night and Sunday. For today and Saturday, the drier northeast to
easterly low level flow and progged thickness values support max
temperatures close to or perhaps just a bit shy of 90F, which is a
few degrees below late July climo. By Saturday night and Sunday,
a shortwave upper trof with a monsoonal tap emerges on the north
side of the ridge axis aloft, moving from Colorado across western
and central Kansas. Despite the drier/more stable low levels, the
increasingly moist/relatively cooler mid-levels and associated
lift should support some elevated convection across central Kansas
to perhaps as far east as the Kansas turnpike on Sunday. The
increasing clouds should also limit the diurnal rise and have
trimmed maximum temperatures a few degrees into the lower 80s.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 236 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

The medium range solutions support a general amplification of
the mean western CONUS ridge and likewise the eastern CONUS
trof by the middle to latter part of next week. This looks to
keep the area mainly dry with temperatures averaging slightly
below climo.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1130 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017

Scattered showers and isolated storms should gradually diminish
and end overnight across southeastern Kansas, as a frontal
boundary pushes slowly southward out of the area. Areas of MVFR
ceilings are most likely to impact the CNU and possibly ICT
terminals for a few hours in the morning, where slightly cyclonic
isobaric curvature is indicated and dewpoint depressions become
favorable. Otherwise, relatively light northeasterly winds are
progged during the forecast valid period, with scattered afternoon
cumulus.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    89  67  88  66 /  10   0   0  10
Hutchinson      89  65  88  64 /   0   0  10  10
Newton          88  64  87  64 /   0   0   0  10
ElDorado        87  64  86  63 /   0   0   0  10
Winfield-KWLD   90  66  89  65 /  10   0   0  10
Russell         89  66  87  65 /   0  10  10  40
Great Bend      89  65  87  65 /   0  10  10  40
Salina          90  66  89  65 /   0   0  10  10
McPherson       88  64  87  64 /   0   0  10  10
Coffeyville     88  66  87  64 /  10   0   0   0
Chanute         87  65  86  62 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            86  64  85  61 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    88  66  86  63 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...JMC



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